Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: What are the odds we'll find a collision by the time the last bitcoin gets mined?
by
theymos
on 26/03/2011, 21:05:03 UTC
I didn't examine the calculations for the larger 9.7E-29 figure (equal to 93 tosses) but it's probably the chance to succeed in one of a large number of attempts.

It's the probability of any two addresses matching in a set of ~17 billion random addresses. The probability for finding one specific address is 1 in 2160 per attempt, as you pointed out.