Something to remember: In the Bitcoin world, numbers and graphs are not the only variables, you also have to add the ''Surprises'' ''FUD'' ''Miracles'' variables in as well.
Of course, on paper, right now, today, according to ''numbers and graphs'' anyone can safely assume that ''IN 6 MONTHS THE SKY WILL FALL''...
Nonsense. Only if you don't know how to interpret numbers or graphs.
...but the truth is, no-one knows what tomorrow has in store.. may that be a miracle share pump or a miracle chip sale, or a surprise competitor's death or a surprise reversal of hashing power etc etc.
No one knows.
No one can guarantee that The Easter Bunny won't show up and make all of us rich, but most adults discount that possibility in their financial prognoses. Stop banking on miracles, and, I can assure you, your prognoses will suddenly become more accurate.
Truth.
You might be right, that's my problem, I got lucky too often in my Bitcoin Adventure and met the almighty Miracle Bunny more than once.