Post
Topic
Board Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: When did Nakowa first show up?
by
PacoMartin
on 23/06/2014, 11:39:53 UTC
That's because we had one huge whale and he kicked our asses...  Smiley
We did better once he stopped playing, it's true.

I am trying to guess how much you make on big bets from gamers other than nakowa,

Convention always say that casinos need whales to make a good profit. But that's not always true in B&M. Sometimes very homely little casinos with very loyal customers make superb profits.

That's profit as a percentage of the amount wagered?

I will use Profit/Wagered (P/W). In the first year there were 22 days with P/W over 7%, and only 9 with P/W under 7%.

The big money gaming days are prevalent, but not dominant. The date: Fri, Oct 4, 13 is when 'mechs' lost his 7000 BTC. None of them obviously seem like days Nakowa was playing.

Yet those 22 days add up to 18,515 BTC profit, which is almost as high as the total profit of the year at 18,940 BTC.


   Date      Profit/Wagered      Profit      Wagered   
   07/07/2013      18.73%      750      4,004   
   04/03/2014      16.65%      445      2,674   
   01/08/2014      12.99%      1,849      14,229   
   06/06/2014      12.92%      744      5,756   
   07/04/2013      12.42%      380      3,062   
   12/30/2013      9.57%      872      9,116   
   11/28/2013      9.50%      270      2,847   
   12/14/2013      9.34%      2,308      24,720   
   04/19/2014      9.15%      208      2,269   
   01/22/2014      9.10%      512      5,628   
   01/26/2014      8.80%      2,226      25,306   
   10/04/2013      8.79%      5,608      63,819   
   02/04/2014      8.11%      205      2,524   
   04/25/2014      8.08%      181      2,239   
   09/08/2013      8.08%      416      5,151   
   12/28/2013      8.06%      240      2,975   
   12/08/2013      7.91%      405      5,121   
   12/22/2013      7.69%      224      2,915   
   03/18/2014      7.45%      108      1,446   
   07/09/2013      7.31%      259      3,538   
   05/17/2014      7.18%      234      3,266   
   06/23/2013      7.03%      71      1,003   
                        
   06/22/2013      -7.31%      -58      796   
   01/23/2014      -7.38%      -415      5,628   
   12/26/2013      -7.77%      -174      2,242   
   08/24/2013      -8.73%      -224      2,563   
   12/06/2013      -8.90%      -295      3,310   
   12/15/2013      -10.43%      -299      2,871   
   01/12/2014      -11.71%      -197      1,685   
   01/14/2014      -12.32%      -194      1,571   
   12/29/2013      -12.60%      -339      2,691   
                              

Your 11 days with profit over 1000 BTC add up to 23,600 BTC.

   Date      Profit/Wagered      Profit      Wagered   
   10/04/13      8.79%      5,608      63,819   
   09/25/13      1.70%      3,006      176,993   
   10/11/13      2.70%      2,722      100,678   
   12/14/13      9.34%      2,308      24,720   
   01/26/14      8.80%      2,226      25,306   
   01/08/14      12.99%      1,849      14,229   
   09/27/13      4.29%      1,418      33,064   
   07/24/13      5.31%      1,284      24,167   
   07/20/13      5.56%      1,092      19,642   
   09/26/13      3.81%      1,078      28,255   
   02/14/14      4.06%      1,048      25,835   
                        
   01/25/14      -6.58%      -1,023      15,531   
   10/03/13      -3.00%      -1,419      47,313   
   09/29/13      -0.15%      -2,264      1,553,358   
   09/22/13      -5.59%      -2,345      41,941   
   07/13/13      -2.90%      -2,485      85,587   
   09/21/13      -1.82%      -2,566      140,897   
   09/23/13      -1.20%      -4,607      384,966   

Some sort of moving average might be helpful. You've had that below .40% up for over 6 months, and it is always influenced by events last fall. You may want to indicate P/W for the last 30 days.

   Date      P/W 30 day moving average   
   4/30/14      1.864%   
   5/1/14      2.024%   
   5/2/14      2.125%   
   5/3/14      1.629%   
   5/4/14      1.660%   
   5/5/14      1.747%   
   5/6/14      1.706%   
   5/7/14      1.472%   
   5/8/14      1.700%   
   5/9/14      1.774%   
   5/10/14      1.832%   
   5/11/14      1.840%   
   5/12/14      1.938%   
   5/13/14      1.882%   
   5/14/14      2.066%   
   5/15/14      1.767%   
   5/16/14      2.109%   
   5/17/14      2.485%   
   5/18/14      2.454%   
   5/19/14      1.995%   
   5/20/14      1.847%   
   5/21/14      1.885%   
   5/22/14      1.755%   
   5/23/14      1.652%   
   5/24/14      1.705%   
   5/25/14      1.676%   
   5/26/14      1.670%   
   5/27/14      1.620%   
   5/28/14      1.531%   
   5/29/14      1.657%   
   5/30/14      1.549%   
   5/31/14      1.427%   
   6/1/14      1.433%   
   6/2/14      1.420%   
   6/3/14      1.480%   
   6/4/14      1.509%   
   6/5/14      1.506%   
   6/6/14      2.560%   
   6/7/14      2.608%   
   6/8/14      2.654%   
   6/9/14      2.639%   
   6/10/14      2.555%   
   6/11/14      2.664%   
   6/12/14      2.479%   
   6/13/14      2.628%   
   6/14/14      2.557%   
   6/15/14      2.482%   
   6/16/14      2.275%   
   6/17/14      2.130%   
   6/18/14      2.220%   
   6/19/14      2.601%