The MNs I'm looking after has payment variance of 2 to 8 Drks. All have been paid. I think generating a new MN privkey is sufficient. Changing the IP seemed to have no extra effect for me. Hope that helps someone.
Sadly, no.
We're going on 96 hours now with no payments on my MN. I understand variance, but I'm beginning to lose faith here. Even under the most optimistic projections (500 nodes and only 50% paid blocks) we're looking at (1 - ((499/500)^(298*4))) = 91.96% chance of my node having been paid.
NO! PAY ATTENTION!
It is entirely possible, even probable and likely, that the block that would have paid you was issued by a pool that is not performing payments. The block that had your name on it might have paid you if it came from a legitimate pool.
The point being, the block that paid you was probably found, and you would have gotten paid; but there are still enough bad actors on the network that even thought the probability says you'd get paid, that block was issued by an entity that is refusing to comply and keeping the coin for itself instead of paying you like it should have.
Due to the density of bad actors still on the network, it could be as long as 2 weeks before you get paid becasue if you're exceptionally unlucky, plus that block pops out of a non-paying pool, even when you do get voted lucky, you're still not getting paid because the pool kept it for itself instead of paying you.
How many times do I have to explain this shit!
I think people are looking for some type of deterministic, predictable payout. I know I am.
Some sort of balance between time since paid weighted by time on network.
Not necessarily round-robin, but favoring equal distribution using some appropriate metrics.
The gaussian nature of the current rewards could be addressed with the proper consensus enforcing which potential *set* of nodes are to be paid next with subsequent sets automatically pruning previous reward winners.
Just an idea that seems possible.