It looks like Raphael hasn't logged into bitcointalk for about two days. Is this unusual?
No activity on his reddit account (where he is at least that active) as well. So many aspects that make me feel uneasy.
5. several reported litecoin withdrawal problems.
this is the first time I´m reading about these alleged litecoin withdrawal problems

Besides, I think their strategy isn´t to run off with the funds in the worst case scenario.
I rather expect them to handle it similar to the last flash crash where they simply freeze trading and
do a roll-back of trades.
This would also explain why they don´t respond to your concerns because obviously that would once
again show that lenders would get saved on the cost of the traders who won´t get their profits of
shorts (obviously these profits would be insane in case of a huge BTC crash).
As it was written so many times they can only do this if this is a temporary flash crash. If we go to 200 (and I'm explicitely stating a value of 200, not something outrageous like 1 dollar) with a flash crash and stay there they are done for. What would they do?