This was predicted by that research paper I footnoted in a prior post[2].
When the
nominal debasement rate declines too rapidly, then the miners look for another coin to pump up.
These political fights are probably just an artifact of that "Programmed Design" driven economic decline.
I hadn't considered that as a motivator, it makes sense; however, they did continue to fund both a nascar and a bobsled after the first halving (where the value did not increase, nor were there political explosions). Why weren't there major political blowups then? I made the point that there would have been less blowups if, instead, they had funded core development (this is the major focus of Monero currently) here:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/2akwwx/i_was_having_a_chat_with_moolah_support_when_this/cixfq8k . Perhaps, both the decreasing block reward and lack of core innovation lead to a negative political blowup?
But again, this would lead to the previous points about having an unfocused community. Did they have any type of leadership? I'll have to look that up I guess.
edit: Maybe it's because there was a lack of leadership, and the pull for someone to fill that role became too big? I really don't want to dig all over Dogecoin posts to see if they had leadership, but I'll be doing that now.
another edit: using only Dogecoin as an example (and accepting that decreased block reward (possible value reward) under a leaderless scheme will correlate to catastrophy), we'd expect to have a 'vacuum effect' at least established by the first 'halving' (Monero - April 2016 I think, somewhere around 8.8/block) and then total political failure after the second 'halving' (Monero - April 2017 I think, somewhere around 4.4/block) if the role is not fulfilled.