...and why would anyone buy and hold (for dear life) B.EXCH? (B.MINE+B.SELL) That's stupid. Do it for short terms at a profit. WATCH B.SELL's dividends (esp. lack thereof) like a hawk... it's a HOLD or EXIT signal.
With the buy back (even @ 2% less and especially so), you can't miss.
FYI what you dismiss as "predicting the future" I subsume as statistical analysis.
Hmmm ... OK maybe you're right. So when will the next B.SELL dividend be?