Here are a few from your "group buy".
Please don't troll this thread. Thinking that the difficulty will raise nonstop with 15% is simply unreal and it's bad intended.
Let's see what happened around the time of my prediction and afterwards:
Apr 17 2014 6,978,842,650 14.04%
Apr 29 2014 8,000,872,136 14.64%
14% average increase.
May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10%
May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66%
14% average increase
June had a 17% average increase and first July increase was
3% and the next one is projected to be ~10-12% which will make the
average increase only 7%. From my point of view I was right with the diff prediction.
Not taking into consideration that the summer was a "hot" one with many vendors releasing new miners (Bitmain, KnC, SP-Tech and AM). Autumn and winter (after the SP30 arrives) will bring us more stagnation I think. I may be wrong here, but I don't think there will be many vendors releasing new miners/chips after SP30 until winter! Mark my words.
I will refrain from making any assumption regarding the difficulty because nobody knows what hashing power will be deployed in the future and i don't want to influence people by telling them that difficulty will be X or Y. Everyone should make take their own decision based on what they find fitted for themselves, but i will only say that a nonstop grow of 15%-20% is unsustainable. If you think that it's not worth buying miners then there are many more like you which means that difficulty will grow at a slower rate than 15%-20%. For me it's simple. I will just give you an example. At 100 billion difficulty and 500$ per BTC having 100TH which consumes 100kW would make you around 3k$ per month that's not taking into consideration the cooling that you will need. Also deploying 100 TH means investing A LOT of money. Who would invest A LOT of money just to make a couple thousand per month? Actually if we take into consideration the cooling i think that you are already in the negative values which means the big growth will stop or slow down very much.
Not sure what's the wrong assumption here.
Also how about you show me the context of that prediction? I think it was before specs were released because the specs definitely change the prediction. Also the market price of the time of the prediction matters and also the time of the actual price announcement matters. So don't be a journalist which pulls things out of context to give things a different meaning.
Nope it was after specs were released.
Ok after specs, but
what was the market $/Gh back then? I can't remember
when did FC announced the pricing. Any help?
Around 8million units are needed just for the mainstream server/switch/san production a year.
or around 22 000 servergrade psu's a day just for mainstream servers, no clear numbers for other industrial applications or whitelabel servers.
So yeah, must be soooo hard for them to have to produce another few thousand for spondoolies...
Production capacity availability are 2 different things! Nobody said they can't produce a few thousand PSUs for SP-Tech, but the timing is critical. Look at TSCM. They have the biggest production capacity when it comes to chips, but yet the availability is their biggest kept secret and people pay a premium to have chips delivered faster.