it looks to me that mining would be best described as being in a
Pure Strategy Nash Equilibrium - cypherdoc
Highlights are mine:"
A pure strategy Nash equilibrium is a profile of strategies such that each players (miner's) strategy is a best response ((results in the highest available payoff (block reward)) against the equilibrium strategies of the other players (miners).
A pure strategy Nash equilibrium only requires that the action taken by each agent (miner) be best against the actual equilibrium actions taken by the other players (miners), and not necessarily against all possible actions of the other players (miners). In other words, it's expected for some miners to be malicious.
A Nash equilibrium has the nice property that it is stable: if each player expects 'a' to be the profile of actions played, then no player (miner) has any incentive to change his or her action (no incentive to start cheating). In other words, no player (miner) regrets having played the action that he or she played in a Nash equilibrium."
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1968579Nice. I hadn't looked at it that way but it makes perfect sense.
Nash equilibrium works well in theory, the real world is a little more messy.
Pre-mass adoption there are so many outside interests seeking bitcoin failure that there are other incentives at play.
Once there is more distribution and buy in, the full effects of the Nash Equilibrium will be much stronger than they are today.
Wasn't Nash's basic premise also that you win and lose as a team in that if you have actors (miners) competing to achieve the same goal (bitcoin block reward) then it is favourable to act as a team to achieve that goal rather than individually? So doesn't that mean to collude with each other to try to get the block as team (or 51% attack a network as a team to push it to an extreme?), because it doesn't make sense to try to do it individually.
Or maybe its just that the team notion he talks about is analogous to mining pools working to try to get that carrot, and the size of the pools is a side-affect of the size of the teams which is an external byproduct of an unregulated ecosystem.