Quote from: rpietila
I have been doing the downloads vs. users analysis with Bitcoin in the past, and found a rough estimate that adoption is 1/3 of the downloads of a mandatory update. (I don't know where the 2/3 go but this is what the data has suggested in the past Smiley).
This part might actually partly assuage one of my earlier points. It would, if there were two mandatory updates in the time frame considered, with download numbers for both.
As for where they go, I'd guess part of it is people trying out, and not sticking with it. I have a few wallets here that I likely won't ever use anymore.
Once mirrors start popping up, it'll become harder to keep track of downloads btw. I don't think there are any yet.
The last mandatory Monero update was June 11. It's on the first page of the ANN thread.
Some percentage of the downloads are the same person with more than one computer but rpietila's numbers take that and all other possibilities into account as they are bottom line estimated numbers as explained by him and linked and posted on this and the previous page. I like putting everything in one sentence
hope it makes sense.FWIW I don't have a reddit account and only go there via links provided in bct.