It can bleed to 30k-60k if there is still no promising updates or news from the devs and all it gets is a sea of FUD. Though fud is good though at least there is activity and someone still cares for the coin, unlike coins getting no hype or fud at all which is mostly headed to pure oblivion sub 10k or 1k satoshi.
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i would be surprised.  this coin has not showed much down trending at all.  if it drops below 94k you may be right (94k was lowest traded before the last big pump. but i dont expect the price to be at 100k for long