Post
Topic
Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: Why today's cryptocurrencies are doomed
by
Anders
on 14/08/2014, 21:58:29 UTC
The original Bitcoin protocol is very innovative. However, there are several reasons for why today's cryptocurrencies will fail:

1. Too slow transaction times for general use.
2. Too bloated block chain for mainstream adoption.
3. Having to store coins "under the mattress" is a step backwards.
4. Proof of work will lead to too large transaction fees.
5. Proof of stake leads to the rich getting richer.
6. Lack of government support prevents mainstream use.
7. Trading against ordinary fiat currencies causes volatility.


Your're assuming that All of today's cryptocurrencies are made for one purpose, to infiltrate the mainstream population which is not true. There are many niches that Needs to be filled in the cryptocurrency secter.

For ex: One niche would be a store of value coin, another would be a privacy/anonymous coin, etc.

If that was true, we would have seen a success story by now. Bitcoin is a success for investment and currency trading, but could be a limited one. We will see. I stick with my prediction that the bitcoin price will not go much higher than $5,000 because of lack of mainstream adoption.

Though Bitcoin's success is not in its FIAT valuation, here is an interesting stat that u may like...

A statistical explanation why 1BTC may equal 1M USD in future...

Value of 1BTC (around figure)

2009 => 10-2 USD
2010 => 10-1 USD
2011 => 100 USD
2012 => 101 USD
2013 => 102 USD
2014 => 103 USD
2015 => 104 USD
2016 => 105 USD
2017 => 106 USD

--- Early Adoption Ends Here and The Price Stabilizes ---

Could happen. My guess is that the lack of mainstream adoption will put a limit to the bitcoin price already within a year or two, and not much above $5,000. In a way bitcoin is already a huge success and I'm still a great fan of the general idea of cryptocurrencies. It's just that some puzzle pieces are missing.