Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Re: Primedice | Most Popular Bitcoin Game| 0.91% Edge| PVP | Jackpot | Faucet
by
BusyBeaverHP
on 19/08/2014, 04:21:57 UTC
Let me explain to you where I'm looking while betting, with one screenshot:

http://i.imgur.com/ul00Gcn.jpg

Multitasking is hard work!  Grin

Are you some kind of a crazy person? Smiley

What does random.org and MD5 hashing have to do with playing on PrimeDice?
I'm glad you asked. I actually SHA-256 hash my seeds and truncate a part of it to fit into the PD3 client seed. Like I said in another thread: OCD about entropy.

Notice the Excel sheet, I keep record of the periodicity of 7+ streak failures to investigate my strategy with a series of value derivation versus the mathematical expectations. The mathematical expected odds of running into a 7+ streak is about 1 in 119, my actual strategy after 20,000 rolls is about 1 in 215.

I have a similar record of PD2 that also reflected this trend (at 1 in 238, exactly 2x).

So in the long run you expect to predict a pattern or is it just a part of your OCD?
I have a series of falsifiable hypotheses to be tested out.

To me, it isn't about finding a winning strategy, after all, the house edge will fail any strategy in the long run, it is about finding the point of failure, and determine the risks vs reward in pursuing my betting pattern.