I personally have a lot more trouble with the mid term calls than with the short term predictions. Identifying a likely developing trend, and selling or buying into it seems relatively easy for me. But the question how to take your profits, in USD or BTC, *that's* the tricky bit, imo. Park them in BTC, and you'll see your profits melt away. Park them in USD, and one swing you missed later, and you only buy 2/3 of your original coins back.
How about open a small "
hedge fond"? You stay with 50% of profit from beating the market (for example).
Not sure, but is this a test of sorts? I'm absolutely sure I'm not the only one outperforming the market (i.e. buy & hold), and pretty sure there are a lot more successful traders than me, both in percent and absolute profits. I'm doing... okay.
Anyway, I only started trading last year, and wouldn't claim I really know what's going on, and handle other people's money. Also, a very practical consideration: in an illiquid market like this, I'm already struggling with slippage at my current volume. No idea how that could be handled if managed funds are more - guess that requires a completely different type of trading strategy, that I simply have no clue about.
No test, only a proposal.
It's that I experienced for myself not to be able to bear the stress. If you say, that you can handle it and you are successful beating the market (no reason to not to believe you) why not extend your talent? You could set a limit and start trading with peanut amounts to test it out.
I know that there are a lot more successful traders out there and maybe some of them are already trading with other peoples money and I know that it is something very different to trade with your money or the money of other people.
Think about it.
Maybe there will be more people interested. You set a limit: Max 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 BTC per Person, max total amount: 10, 20, 40, 60, 80, 100 BTC.
If you feel uncomfortable at all, no problem. As I said, only a proposal ;-)