Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;)
by
aminorex
on 04/09/2014, 01:49:02 UTC
It's so easy to be fooled by randomness.  Here's several simulations of the same underlying exponential growth model.  But instead of solving a regular differential equation to get a smooth exponential curve, I'm solving a stochastic differential equation that adds process noise.  The people in Alternate Universe #1 who get to ride the upper purple curve will think bitcoin is the most fantastic thing!  The people riding the bottom blue curve are going to make up story after story about how it's failing.  But in all cases, the only difference was randomness.  



loved your example. will steal it. thanks