..let me know a few hours before your rig goes down, next time, ok? I would like a "warning, blockfinding-spree ahead!" warning system! ;-)
It all evens out after some time.
Ente
Actually ... no it doesn't.
If you lose out in a good luck spree there is no guarantee whatsoever that you will get it back later.
There is no memory in bitcoin hashing.
Kano: Central limits theorem.
IMHO Kano is correct, and I don't see the relevance of the
Central Limit Theorem to the question of whether bad luck
in the past will be compensated for
in the future. The idea that tossing a fair coin and getting, say, six heads in a row will be "evened out" by disproportionally more tails in future tosses is known as the
Gambler's Fallacy. If you've had bad [or good] luck in the past, then your lifetime expectation for luck is bad [or good]; you cannot change the past -- it is the baseline for your future. More generally, probability theory deals with unknown (often future) events, not known past events.