Here is my prognosis:
The chances of sub $50: only 10% chance
sub $100: 20% chance
70% chance of:
"Final capitulation" .... looks to stand at around $120-$250
So zero% chance you are wrong? Seems like you'd have a lot more credibility if you admitted some fallibility.
He didn't place a date on it. Ergo, there is zero chance that he is wrong. Zilch, Zero, nil.