Basically I have given up trying to guess what they are doing, until something tangible comes out my gamble is a loser, but hope it changes to a winner in the not too distant future

There's only a few alts and Bitcoin 2.0 platforms that I truly believe in and sometimes it's hard to keep faith even in those. When I start to doubt crypto in general because of the risk, maturity level and negatives you have to deal with, I always ask myself: How would I have been 6 months - 1 year into Bitcoin. Those early days must have been rough for most. I try to keep that perspective on many of the alts and Bitcoin 2.0 platforms. For many, this is just the beginning. Hell, for Bitcoin this is just the beginning.
its not crypto in general its just this coin. I chose how much I was prepared to gamble, and I will keep them down to zero. what I mean is how much do you actually know about the team? How much do you know their plans? add to the fact that that they haven't been able to keep their own deadlines on more then one occasion. I think you would have to be nieve in the current state of affairs to keep saying it going to be a winner. I mean look at bholzers last post, missed two teleconference calls and even he who has been on the some of the conference calls with fusion hash doesn't really know who they are or what their plans are
bit like god, elusive and never comes through for you (censored version)
you know, it's all part of the game. only invest what you can afford to lose. there is risk and many more transparent coins out there. i have stopped buying Octo because I reached the goal I set at 200,000 Octocoins. Now I'm moving on to the next coin to invest in. I'm not saying I won't buy anymore Octo, it's just that I reached my goal so it frees me up to move on. I'm sure I'll grab some random amounts here and there.
I understand everything you are saying though. You never know.