Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: [ANN] Asset Allocation during Financial Crash by S3052 @ BullBearAnalytics.com
by
KJO
on 14/09/2014, 23:22:50 UTC
This is to share that I will publish my real asset allocation live here in a regular basis. I do this as it might be helpful to see for people who also agree that we are just before a major financial turbulence.


My hypotheses are:
1) Stocks will crash by 2016 and will mark new 15-20 year lows.
2) Precious metals will survive better but will also decline first before rallying strongly. It is key to own physical precious metal, not paper certificates.
3) The US Dollar will initially fare better against other currencies (particularly against the EUR), but then crash as well and may disappear in its current form by 2017-2018.
4) Overall asset prices and prices of goods will decline = we are in a unprecedented deflation.

You don't have to agree to this view. Most of these views are also similar to those offered on www.bullbearanalytics.com, but this specific thread is solely based on my personal point of view.


Assets September 14, 2014.

90% Cash (USD)
6% Gold
2% Short Stocks (S&P 500)
1% Bitcoin
0.8% Monero
0.2% DIEM (as a "playground play", no serious fundamentals behind)



I would increase the S&P short to 10% and switch physical gold to physical silver as it is more undervalued but that is just me.

Interesting strategy, I hope it works out for you but I am worried about you holding 90% fiat. Bail ins are right around the corner.

Good luck and thanks for sharing your viewpoint.