Post
Topic
Board Exchanges
Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Timetwister
on 17/09/2014, 16:28:05 UTC
And some estimations for today:
Code:
Estimated "true" TH1 income for 90 days:
if difficulty will get +30% every adjust: 0.765032 BTC;
if difficulty will get +20% every adjust: 0.919727 BTC;
if difficulty will get +15% every adjust: 1.023131 BTC;
if difficulty will get +10% every adjust: 1.151170 BTC;
if difficulty will get + 5% every adjust: 1.312023 BTC;
if difficulty will get + 0% every adjust: 1.517354 BTC;
if difficulty will get - 5% every adjust: 1.784133 BTC;
if difficulty will get -10% every adjust: 2.137610 BTC;
Source code: https://github.com/apsheronets/divananalit/blob/master/sim.ml
You can also see past difficulty adjustments here.
TH1 is definitely overpiced.

Added: whoops, it just fell down to 1.11 BTC. Not overpriced anymore. Smiley
Added 2: screw it, the orderbook is empty.

It's underpriced then, unless you expect a very big jump in difficulty, when you take into account the interest from lending it.