No one knows that price will go up for today.
...Or down tomorrow. But you are claiming you know. Which you don't

As for long-term, true, you can't figure that out from price history. That you can only guess based on fundamentals - you make your own judgement based on facts, and believe in it. Some believe it has a basically infallible foundation for future growth. Others think it's a scam which will get somehow ruined or forgotten. Can respect both opinions. But *knowing* that it will jump 25% down tomorrow? That's psychic, sorry
