Cypher is a forgiving person and having all your eggs in one virtual basket is always risky.

I read a quote from Eric Sprott the other day that silver from a mine delivered costs $22-25 per oz, with some caveats like recycled silver and silver produced as a by-product of other mines. I'm guessing gold is in a similar situation. Physical PM sales in September were double that of previous months and the sales came from existing stock because the production of coins at places like the US mint is below current demand. But in the PM arena physical demand/supply has no bearing on the paper price. Apple purportedly makes 20-30% profit on each iphone. If they were taking a 20% loss per unit then either Apple would go broke or they would have to raise the price. It would be logical to think that PM miners will need higher prices or face going broke but logic also doesn't play a huge part in financial markets these days. Either way, you could make a reasonable case for silver right now imo.