Remember when in May I said that there won't be any rally in the next few months? Now, seeing the price going down so much, I am CONFIDENT we won't see anything more than $400 in the next 6-8 months, even more.
Bitcoin is simply not traded anymore. Maybe it's used as currency, I don't know. But trading volume is insanely low.
I don't want to doubt your psychic abilities or to imply that your crystal ball isn't working

but the trading volume was really high on mid Sept - mid Oct (maybe on a 6 month high). Does "bearwhale slaying" ring any bells?