Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: ★★★★★ My NBA expert picks: Subscription begins Dec. 5th ★★★★★
by
CoinTheCoin
on 05/12/2014, 17:37:55 UTC
There have been several fiascos on this site with people paying for subscriptions - I've seen people lose a lot while being "promised" by the person making the picks they would be positive ev at the end of the week.  I've seen people just get shafted when they stop making picks too after they get a few subs or they start losing bets. 

In other words guys, if you paid this guy for picks, it's not going to end well...I promise.

In terms of getting shafted, that will not happen.  I'm not a scammer, lol.  In terms of winning or losing, I can't promise winning but I am fairly confident I will win.  A lot of paid services lose after the vig, and I'm probably going to be winning after the vig.  We'll see.  Stay tuned bud.

If there are issues or questions about anything, I would be willing to stand in as an escrow for membership fees between xiaoxiao and the customer.  If Xiaoxiao also would like, I can help track his bets for him on a google shared spreadsheet, please refer to Stayeduptolate's thread where I do this service for him to see a sample of what the spreadsheet would look like.  My payment would come in the form of free sports picks as long as they are put out.

Please let me know if your interested xiaoxiao.

+1

This would go a long way in reassuring customers... especially if an escrow is held for the full month's period before being released.  

As it stands right now, it's pretty hard to keep track or verify your bets.  Working with DebitMe will help keep your thread organized and make it easier for customer interaction.

From reading some of your posts, it seems that you're very passionate about basketball and definitely have some knowledge about the sport.

You've mentioned that you go over and study previous game tape.  Can you take some time and provide some in-depth game analysis that includes what you saw that reconfirmed your thoughts about efficiencies or inefficiencies of offensive and defensive gameplans and matchups?

Are these capped games based mostly on observational analysis or do you take into consideration line movement, betting volume, and history as well?

I still don't understand your argument of parlays over straight wagers however.  Usually gains are made by making multiple +EV (positive expected value) bets over the course of a long period.  If it gets to the point of hedging out the last legs of the parlays, I believe this should be avoided as it is widely believed to be -EV unless you're working outside a proper bankroll.

Regardless, I wish you luck in your endeavours.  Hope you have a great season Smiley