Re: ★★★★★ My NBA expert picks: Subscription record: 13-18, -6.462u ★★★★★
Day 5
Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 1.897 (-111) L
Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: Milwaukee Bucks +10 1.942 (-106) L
San Antonio Spurs v Utah Jazz
Game: San Antonio Spurs -9 1.882 (-113) L
Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
Game: Miami Heat +4.5 1.971 (-103) W
Portland Trail Blazers v Detroit Pistons
Game: Portland Trail Blazers -8 1.952 (-105) W
Day 6
Los Angeles Clippers v Indiana Pacers
Game: Los Angeles Clippers -6.51.952 (-105) W
Washington Wizards v Orlando Magic (2units)
Game: Washington Wizards -51.942 (-106) L
Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets
Game: Boston Celtics +2.51.933 (-107) L
Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
under 202.51.924 (-108) W
Record: 13-18 (w-l)
units won (after commission fee): -6.462
Not the best of starts, the inverse of my start to November. However, not unexpected. The lines of have gotten sharper adjusting to the season, and results have been sporadic, especially ATS results. Lots of close games that could have went either way between a superior team vs inferior team (record, matchup, stat wise)
As you can see, there is no gimmicks here. My goal is to win and have my subscribers win. No martingale strategies, or "gimmicky" parlays. I post parlays sparingly if I find them profitable. I don't post it to try to show a profit so I don't have to refund 50% to my subscribers. I don't give a shit about those .2 btc's if I have to refund. I have 3 subscribers, and 2 people I am giving this subscription away for free. I put in about 1-3 hours a day to this, so my goal here is not in the interest of money. My goal is for my subscribers to win and myself as well.
These kinds of posts make me sick:
Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 1.897 (-111) L
Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
Game: Milwaukee Bucks +10 1.942 (-106) L
San Antonio Spurs v Utah Jazz
Game: San Antonio Spurs -9 1.882 (-113) L
Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns
Game: Miami Heat +4.5 1.971 (-103) W
Portland Trail Blazers v Detroit Pistons
Game: Portland Trail Blazers -8 1.952 (-105) W
Day 6
Los Angeles Clippers v Indiana Pacers
Game: Los Angeles Clippers -6.51.952 (-105) W
Washington Wizards v Orlando Magic (2units)
Game: Washington Wizards -51.942 (-106) L
Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets
Game: Boston Celtics +2.51.933 (-107) L
Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
under 202.51.924 (-108) W
Record: 13-18 (w-l)
units won (after commission fee): -6.462
Not the best of starts, the inverse of my start to November. However, not unexpected. The lines of have gotten sharper adjusting to the season, and results have been sporadic, especially ATS results. Lots of close games that could have went either way between a superior team vs inferior team (record, matchup, stat wise)
As you can see, there is no gimmicks here. My goal is to win and have my subscribers win. No martingale strategies, or "gimmicky" parlays. I post parlays sparingly if I find them profitable. I don't post it to try to show a profit so I don't have to refund 50% to my subscribers. I don't give a shit about those .2 btc's if I have to refund. I have 3 subscribers, and 2 people I am giving this subscription away for free. I put in about 1-3 hours a day to this, so my goal here is not in the interest of money. My goal is for my subscribers to win and myself as well.
These kinds of posts make me sick:
Bookmarked and watching atm.
However... Parlays
I am still yet to see a solid pick subscription that does not rely on something gimmicky like parlays or martingale betting strategy to cover the losses
However... Parlays
I am still yet to see a solid pick subscription that does not rely on something gimmicky like parlays or martingale betting strategy to cover the losses
^ Record should have been 13-17 after day 6. Counted the same game as 2 losses on accident.
Day 7 Thur 12/11
Quote
1 unit
Cleveland Cavaliers v Oklahoma City Thunder W
under 202.51.942 (-106)
Houston Rockets v Sacramento Kings L
under 197.51.942 (-106)
Last nights thoughts: really liked my picks for last night, thought they were pretty sharp. Was pretty unlucky that the SAC v HOU game was clearly going to go under 198 when score was 95-92 with 20 seconds left. But game ends up going OT where they scored 32 points in 5 min.
Cleveland Cavaliers v Oklahoma City Thunder W
under 202.51.942 (-106)
Houston Rockets v Sacramento Kings L
under 197.51.942 (-106)
Last nights thoughts: really liked my picks for last night, thought they were pretty sharp. Was pretty unlucky that the SAC v HOU game was clearly going to go under 198 when score was 95-92 with 20 seconds left. But game ends up going OT where they scored 32 points in 5 min.
Day 8 Fri 12/12
Quote
Tonights picks
1 unit:
Basketball - NBAMiami Heat v Utah Jazz Game: Miami Heat +4 1.780 (-128) W
Basketball - NBACleveland Cavaliers v New Orleans Pelicans Game: New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 1.924 (-108) W
Portland Trail Blazers v Chicago Bulls over 195.5 1.787 (-127) W
Basketball - NBA Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota TimberwolvesGame: under 204 1.942 (-106) W
Basketball - NBANew York Knicks v Boston CelticsGame: New York Knicks +8.5 1.721 (-139) W
Basketball - NBALos Angeles Lakers v San Antonio Spurs Game: Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 1.924 (-108) W
Will tell thoughts during game time...
Thoughts about tonights games: MIA v UTAH is my most confident pick tonight. MIA is not messing around because they have a great chance to get good position in the East. Utah on the other hand is an ok team in the West. Mediorcy in the west will get you no where. Also MIA matches up great vs Utah.
I like how Pelicans matches up with CAV. They play tough on offense and they have ok defense. Cavs are b2b with a banged up lebron and kyrie, who were uncertain if they were playing. Without them, CAV offense is all messed up and has no chemistry.
Portland v Bulls, 2 teams that have solid chemistry plus shooters, they are good at defense but I definitely see this going over 195.5.
OKC v Minnesota... 2 athletic teams, both competing. OKC competing for playoff position and Timberwolves have several aspiring young players. Least confident of all my picks tonight, but 204 seems a bit high for 2 teams that have new lineups put together recently.
NYC v Bos, ny matches up great vs boston. They're team is actually quite deep, but just hasn't found their rhythm on offense. Also some more hustle and less ego would help too (especially for the scorers).
SAS is really not playing well this year. LAL is starting to pick it up. They match up great vs SAS. +12.5 is a steal imo.
We shall see how the night unfolds. Have been running extremely below expected value this month. Odds of this continuing to happen is astronomical. Several times where I lose when I am 90% favorite going into the final seconds. For example, last night in the SAC v HOU game.... the DEN v TOR game... and a few others.
Right now it is looking okay for our picks, lets hope nothing out of ordinary happens.
1 unit:
Basketball - NBAMiami Heat v Utah Jazz Game: Miami Heat +4 1.780 (-128) W
Basketball - NBACleveland Cavaliers v New Orleans Pelicans Game: New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 1.924 (-108) W
Portland Trail Blazers v Chicago Bulls over 195.5 1.787 (-127) W
Basketball - NBA Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota TimberwolvesGame: under 204 1.942 (-106) W
Basketball - NBANew York Knicks v Boston CelticsGame: New York Knicks +8.5 1.721 (-139) W
Basketball - NBALos Angeles Lakers v San Antonio Spurs Game: Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 1.924 (-108) W
Will tell thoughts during game time...
Thoughts about tonights games: MIA v UTAH is my most confident pick tonight. MIA is not messing around because they have a great chance to get good position in the East. Utah on the other hand is an ok team in the West. Mediorcy in the west will get you no where. Also MIA matches up great vs Utah.
I like how Pelicans matches up with CAV. They play tough on offense and they have ok defense. Cavs are b2b with a banged up lebron and kyrie, who were uncertain if they were playing. Without them, CAV offense is all messed up and has no chemistry.
Portland v Bulls, 2 teams that have solid chemistry plus shooters, they are good at defense but I definitely see this going over 195.5.
OKC v Minnesota... 2 athletic teams, both competing. OKC competing for playoff position and Timberwolves have several aspiring young players. Least confident of all my picks tonight, but 204 seems a bit high for 2 teams that have new lineups put together recently.
NYC v Bos, ny matches up great vs boston. They're team is actually quite deep, but just hasn't found their rhythm on offense. Also some more hustle and less ego would help too (especially for the scorers).
SAS is really not playing well this year. LAL is starting to pick it up. They match up great vs SAS. +12.5 is a steal imo.
We shall see how the night unfolds. Have been running extremely below expected value this month. Odds of this continuing to happen is astronomical. Several times where I lose when I am 90% favorite going into the final seconds. For example, last night in the SAC v HOU game.... the DEN v TOR game... and a few others.
Right now it is looking okay for our picks, lets hope nothing out of ordinary happens.
Subscription record to date: 20-18
Units after sportsbook commission: -1.442