Post
Topic
Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: Ryan Pumper: Pumpers Picks (Updated Daily)
by
RyanPumper
on 17/12/2014, 22:52:48 UTC
07 Dec - 17 Dec
Total return: 102%
Coins: SDC, QSLV

When trading is going well it will seem effortless. If trading isn’t going well, you can’t force it right by working harder. If you are in a particularly bad trading period, when nearly every decision you make seems to be wrong, trying harder won’t help. It will only make matters worse. You can work harder in doing more research. You can work harder in trying to figure out what’s going wrong. But you can’t work harder at trading. If you are out of sync with the markets, trying harder will often make the situation even worse. The hard work in trading comes in the preparation. The actual process of trading, however, should be effortless. You have to let the arrow shoot itself. In trading, whenever there is effort, force, straining, struggling, or trying, it’s wrong. The perfect trade is one that requires no effort.

SDC


Most Coins behave uniquely when compared with others. This is due to the psychology of the people who are trading them. Different Coins have different batches of traders behind them, and so they behave differently. One Coin may have a habit of trending, while another will have a habit of staying range bound.

Once you begin to authentically tune into tracking price movement, you’ll notice that coins repeat similar patterns over and over again and have set things that they do in both the short and long term time frames. Once you begin to take advantage of this, your odds of making money will skyrocket. In fact, for traders, this is one of the most potent means of pulling consistent returns.

Now here’s the thing about SDC. From Sep 14, to Nov 13, SDC was probably the most predictable coin in the entire Crypto market. Not only was it predictable, but the turnaround time between opening and closing a trade - with profit - was quite swift. And, to add to that, if you look at the chart you will see that trading volume was maintained at a very high level during this period.

On Sep 14 SDC moved from 16452 and hit 27400 by Sep 23 – a 66% gain.

The price then began to fall into decline from 27400, making a smooth landing at 13972 on Oct 19. That’s a -49% decline in value.

From this point, the price then rocketed to 36500 on Nov 18, providing a 161% profit to those who were prudently milking this coin for endless piles of BTC.

It doesn’t end there though. You see, after hitting 36500... SDC shed -52% of value after a period of decline which came to an end when the price crash landed at 17172 on Dec 3

What happened next?

You guessed it...

SDC sprang back into action, as it has done so many times before.. a slow crawl upwards turned into a stampede as price range after price range was breached, one after the other.

After hitting a low of 17172 on Dec 3, SDC hit 40000 last night – putting out a 132% profit to every trader who was in-tune with these exploitable patterns.  

There are some traders who are reading this that have already realised what the exploitable pattern here is.

For those who haven’t...


Exploitable Pattern: After every price surge, SDC dropped by 45% – 55%. Making the correct “buying in price” painfully obvious and simple to work out ahead of time.

Price Patterns are like cheat sheets that give you the most unfair advantage over the average market participant. They reveal all of the relevant price points within a price cycle that can be exploited, again and again, for continuous profit.
 

Tip: There are several solutions to properly defining the behaviour of the crypto market and, once you become aware of them, trading will become like operating your own personal money machine.  Winning streaks often lead to complacency. This is something I stress to members. Complacency  leads to sloppy trading. In these winning periods, traders are least likely to consider what might go wrong, especially worst case scenarios. The moral is: when your positions are sailing to new highs almost daily, and when all of your trades are working, be 10 times more cautious! These are the times to guard against complacency and to be extra alert in order to lock profits in.


QSLV


After seeing the price tumble -85% from 11100 on Nov 14 to 1600 on Nov 30, many would have assumed QSLV to be just another “shitcoin” relegated to the pages of history never to return again.

This clearly wasn’t the case.

A coin that is in danger of becoming obsolete or “dead” won’t receive any attention whatsoever from the market after such a rapid decline in value.

However, that isn’t what I saw here. What I saw was small amounts of BTC entering this market incrementally. What I saw was the price surging upward and then being forced back down as jittery novice traders relinquished their positions, one after the other, due to the fear of losing out.

What I saw was accumulation.

After establishing what the accumulation price range was, I rigged up my buy orders in order to catch some falling fruit as the trees were being shook

You see, the aim of the game is to purchase the largest possible portion of a coin during accumulation. The larger the position, the greater the profit.

Those that get this right are able to scale out of their positions as prices are rising – via both the sell side and buy side, giving them much more flexibility than those who use a more static method of liquidating profit.  
 

Tip: Do more of what works and less of what doesn’t. This is unnecessary to state, but what is surprising is how many traders fail to adhere to this seemingly obvious principle. Some traders may be good at taking well thought out longer term positions, but then also take short-term trades based on whims in which they have no edge. Many traders may not even be fully aware of where they are making and losing money. One useful thing that you can do is to analyze your past trades by segmenting winners and losers. Often, such analysis will reveal patterns with certain types of trades being predominant in either the winning or losing categories. When you find that certain types of trades are making money and other types of trades are losing money then, as I advised earlier, do more of what works and less of what doesn’t.

SIDENOTE: You want to eliminate as many poor-percentage and high risk trades from your repertoire as possible. Once you have done this, you will see a dramatic boost in your overall profitability. Trading less and taking only the best-percentage trades are such an important part of pulling consistent wins. Ask yourself before each trade, “why am I taking this trade?” If you don’t have an answer – or can’t justify the answer, then skip the trade.  To develop the mentality needed to win in Crypto, you must develop a high probability strategy. It is as simple as that. You must have the discipline to sit and wait for only the most optimal trades where all the factors of a bull run are lined up and painfully obvious. Only then should you be putting on a trade.

Note: BTC is a buy right now. Pay attention to the price and execute your buys at the low points. Oct - Dec will be very interesting.

Twtter: @Pumper_Ryan follow for daily picks, and updates.