Damn.  I predicted that Shrem would never go to jail.  This prediction was based in part on my guess that he'd cooperate fully and help glue some pieces together from Bitcoin's early times and that Krapholes was the main target.  Another part was that what Shrem did was simply not all that big a deal and for not all that much money (so far as I know from mainstream reports.)

I hate to be wrong.  I'll modify my prediction to be that if he does do any 'time' it will be one of those deals where he get's to check in on weekends or whatever.  I should just retract my prediction, but I'm stubborn like that.