My opinion is that non-infrastructure (Aventus, Viberate and etc) projects will die first.
Also a big risk in projects related to real estate (Paragon, Atlant, Real), there is no legal possibility of regulation.
Projects that can survive - payments system (OMG, Monetha), blockchains (Tezos, EOS)
Also I very much believe in projects with a reputation and users, like KIN (Currency for KIK Messenger -
https://icodrops.com/kin/), Unikoin Gold (Gaming bets project with a large audience -
https://icodrops.com/unikoingold/).
Summary
Will die: Non-Infrastructure, Real Estate, Small niche projects
Can survive: Infrastructure projects, payments solution, projects with reputation and users
Great analysis! Quite useful.