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Showing 20 of 36 results by Barabbas0
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 07/01/2015, 16:03:57 UTC
Im not sure if i asked this already. Can swaps paid back in full before the time ends you took the swap for? If so, does one have to pay the full times interest then? Im only wondering how one could handle short margin trades. For example someone thinks bitcoin will rise only until the end of day or so.

The lends are callable, meaning the borrower can return the loan at any time. I think interest is computed every 4-6 hours, but only paid out daily. I could be wrong.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 07/01/2015, 15:05:55 UTC
It seems to me converting FRR lenders into bot users is a compromise now? I agree with it for reasons mentioned elsewhere; it breaks up one massive order into many small ones. It will allow the market to adapt more easily to liquidity spikes, rather than letting the FRR dam break.

I would reiterate the recommendation that swaps get their own books based on duration. 2 day and 30 day offerings entail completely different risks, including opportunity and interest rate risks, that make them incomparable, just as bonds, or options, or futures, with various expiration dates get traded separately. The time value renders them totally different instruments.

If MarginBot gets put on a repository, I'll see if I can help by merging any of my code.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 06/01/2015, 22:09:01 UTC
lmfao, is that why there's spikes in the historical rates charts? If you paid attention to your own exchange would see money leaving the lends in droves. You've lost 10% in the past week alone. This means the next spike will only be more violent.

I have no idea what you're trying to gain by calling me greedy and a troll. Act like a damn professional and fix your problems instead of hiding from them and blaming others.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 06/01/2015, 21:42:38 UTC
lol, mjr, do you even know what the word "liquidity" means? You demonstrate your incompetence every reply.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 06/01/2015, 19:16:13 UTC
As the creator of an unpublished bot very similar to HowardF's, this exactly. All the market participants act independently, currently FRR acts like a "blob". The only time it will increase is during liquidity spikes, which should be minimized/eliminated. That is, the only time FRR increases is when the FRR liquidity is already consumed. By that time, there's no liquidity to tilt the average up. Interest rates could be >400% annualized, but with no volume it doesn't move the average from the millions already lent out at low rates.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 06/01/2015, 16:20:12 UTC
mjr is a joke. Only response is to say lenders are greedy and want better rates. At best, it's laziness. The simple fact is, I'm pulling my money back from lending. Not because of low interest rates, but because of low interest from BFX. They would rather run from a problem than admit it. There will undoubtedly be more volatility and shortages of liquidity.

This community has put forth some great ideas. I'm looking forward to Bitfinex reacting (not really, I expect nothing more than further ignorant insulting from mjr). In the meantime, the equity markets are far more interesting. Additionally, my stock broker actually answers my emails, so I'm content giving my money to them instead. They also know something about fixed interest lending.

That is a perfect response. If you can find a better use of your funds, that is how you "vote" on the rate on the swap market. If enough people feel the way you do, there will be a lack of supply and the rates will rise. If they get attractive enough, perhaps you will offer swaps again. Either way, good for you for making decisions about how you want to use your money, that is the free market in action!

You still think that the lend market is driven by supply and demand. FFS, open your eyes and use your head. I've explained before why FRR is "breaking" the lending market. You dismissed me as a "greedy lender". My whole argument has always been, and still is, when you ignore a very obvious issue in your market, you lose liquidity. Markets are never 100% efficient, you're assuming they are. By your own admission, there's a lag with withdrawing/depositing USD. For that reason alone, it's obvious why liquidity is an issue. As long as the majority of the market remains "lazy" and offering at FRR, rates will inevitably decrease. It's decreasing to the point where lenders, like me, are pulling money off. Demand has nothing to do with lend rates. When volatility is X% per day, a 0.0X% rate is nothing. What traders are increasing their volumes due to decreasing margin rates? Now what happens when BTC has a volatility spike? Margin traders click "buy" and, due to the volume, the lendbook gets obliterated. All the liquidity providers, like me? We left, because you claimed supply and demand would fix the problem.

You're a pro at demonstrating your incompetence. Please learn anything, even just the basics, of how markets, especially fixed interest ones, work.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 05/01/2015, 19:45:34 UTC
mjr is a joke. Only response is to say lenders are greedy and want better rates. At best, it's laziness. The simple fact is, I'm pulling my money back from lending. Not because of low interest rates, but because of low interest from BFX. They would rather run from a problem than admit it. There will undoubtedly be more volatility and shortages of liquidity.

This community has put forth some great ideas. I'm looking forward to Bitfinex reacting (not really, I expect nothing more than further ignorant insulting from mjr). In the meantime, the equity markets are far more interesting. Additionally, my stock broker actually answers my emails, so I'm content giving my money to them instead. They also know something about fixed interest lending.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 05/01/2015, 14:38:26 UTC
Wow, we've gone full swing to traders wanting outright manipulation and market fixing to protect their rates. The solution is quite simple, first, remove FRR. With the number of autolending bots, there's no need for it.

Second, put lend durations on their own books. Have, say, four lend books total, 2 day, 7 day, 14 day, and 30 day. This more accurately reflects how true fixed interest markets work. It would also prevent bid/ask from crossing. Additionally, because the lends are callable (the borrower can end the loan and return the funds at any time) borrowers can automatically take the best rate from any book they want. All the time duration risk lies on the lender and can be reflected in yield curve.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 01/01/2015, 15:51:36 UTC
digital american toilet-paper.

/thread

That's why we can't have good conversations. When you use language like that, you demonstrate that you have no grasp on what currency actually is.
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Board Economics
Re: being responsible whales
by
Barabbas0
on 01/01/2015, 15:30:38 UTC
Honestly, a decent derivatives exchange would really help. Whales could have sold covered calls to provide liquidity without outright selling.

With Bitcoin's volatility, leveraged derivatives would really not be necessary to make money.

That's if you're using derivatives for leverage. You could just as easily use them to hedge your position without selling. I'm talking about using BTC as a financial tool, which requires stability, not as a trading instrument.

A derivative needs two people to take opposite positions. Usually, you have a speculator on one end. Speculators provide liquidity to derivative markets and play an important role.

Absolutely. Basically what happens is risk gets traded. The speculator offloads risk from the hedger. It's a change in risk:reward balance.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 01/01/2015, 15:22:51 UTC
Well low rates are good for traders. There is too much of supply atm so the rates are very low. But i guess when demand increases and rates shoot up there might be some shortage but it won't last long, market should stabilize it.

It's terrible for traders. Right when you hit buy to jump in on the next rally, there will be no liquidity to lend from. You end up having to pay XXX% (annualized) for a leveraged position which eats into your P/L. It amplifies the time value of your position, immensely. For example, if the market trends sideways for a little bit, you'll be paying out the ear for the time of holding an outrageously expensive loan.

It's a ticking time bomb, BFX really doesn't understand liquidity and the importance of stability in fixed income markets. Things like interest rate risk really shouldn't factor into traders' decisions.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 31/12/2014, 21:48:53 UTC
total swap at $21.8 million but rates continue to slide - I guess someone just lend about $500k at 0.02+ (6.2% after fees)

things are getting ridiculous

Things will get interesting when they compete with bonds. Right now, I think it's only a combination of people who don't want to move USD from Bitfinex (awaiting BTC entry) or folks who haven't moved their money, yet. Still no word from BFX. Last I heard "they're working on a solution", lol. But we're still just greedy lenders, right? They're going to be screwed when no one will margin trade because there's no liquidity left.
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Board Economics
Re: Bitcoin price insurance
by
Barabbas0
on 29/12/2014, 19:24:22 UTC
Dude you are supossed to deal with the responsability of lossing the money if you are freely putting it into Bitcoin the first place.

Dealing with the "responsibility of loosing the money" includes hedging, such as buying insurance, options, or futures.


lol, Oblivi has no idea how credit works in relation to financial markets. Hedging actually benefits instruments as it allow investors confidence to invest more funds. I can guarantee you I'll invest more into a married put than I will a naked position.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 29/12/2014, 15:37:23 UTC
I would also mention, BFX is no longer the only game in town when it comes to P2P margin lending.  And the other sites doing it don't have any kind of FRR to manipulate the market.  I've always been a huge fan of BFX's, but business is business, and if they don't do something to fix the broken system they have in place with FRR, I'm pretty sure at least some of my $ will be moving on soon.

Care to mention competitors? I know BTC-E offers margin trading, but I think they lend out client funds without their knowledge.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 29/12/2014, 10:16:38 UTC
And ultimately, if it causes lenders to leave, it's a bad idea. The whole point of all this is to provide a way for margin traders to borrow USD. If there's no lenders then there won't be liquidity when the borrowers need it. BFX needs to do something soon. The easiest would be to outright disable FRR, however that's a temporary solution at best.

BFX are of the expressed and understandable opinion that they're not in the business of guaranteeing a return to swap providers.

BFX are great at demonstrating they have no idea how markets work. This debate isn't about guaranteeing returns to swap providers. It's about providing a fair market place that maximizes participants.


If people leave then the remaining pool of funds will become more expensive to use... if that happens to coincide with a sudden reason for increased demand then maybe it'll get a little crazy before those who left get themselves organised to return. As someone putting money into swaps I somewhat welcome the idea; even just one mad week of stupidly high rates would renew my flagging spirits.

That's a solution!? Stupidly high rates are what causes margin traders to leave. It should be an appropriate and consistent rate. Right now it's a violent feast/famine cycle. What causes that? Lack of lending liquidity. When a whale clicks buy on margin, they suck up all the liquidity driving up rates to ludicrous levels for an extremely temporary time.


Whatever happens, it'll sort itself out in the end - if the demand is there without the supply to fill it then rates will rise until they're sufficiently enticing, even if there's some "stickiness" in both directions (people hanging on past the point where they start to feel unhappy with the return, or taking time to arrive as and when rates come back up).

No. It won't. If it would "sort itself out in the end", it would be sorting itself out now. The situation's getting worse and worse everyday. BFX should be encouraging lenders for when there's actually a bull run and they'll be needed.
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Board Economics
Re: Dollar coming to an end
by
Barabbas0
on 29/12/2014, 10:07:04 UTC
The fed is not purchasing additional bonds however they are still holding bonds they previously purchased (and have a larger then usual balance sheet - much larger). They are also manipulating the bond market via their promise to keep short term interest rates low for a very long time (it has been ~5 years so far)

In comments at private appearances, Ben Bernanke has stated that he does not expect interest rates to normalize in his lifetime.  If the rate on the Japanese 10 year went to 2%, all the tax revenue of the Japanese government would not suffice to service the coupon payments.  That is where the U.S. is heading, and it is no secret, merely an unmentionable elephant.  Given that it is unlawful to default on the debt of the U.S. Treasury, the only possible outcome is hyperinflation:  No austerity, no financial repression, no feasible growth will suffice to overcome the magnitude of the debt mountain.  The debatable aspect is the timing of that hyperinflation.  Everyone wants time to roll out of USD before it breaks loose.

 

Please, investors are running from Japan to US. They are incomparable. Do you know what a yield curve is? If you did, you would know that all that doom and gloom you're spreading is not evident at all.

We're fighting deflation, not hyperinflation. No one's "rolling out" of USD, they're flocking to it. Also, Treasury "debt" does not work like corporate or individual debt. It works more like company shares than anything else. That is, when a country's doing good (exporting) it's currency rises in price. That's what's happening to USD. It's getting bought up and the price is skyrocketing.

I'm out of this thread. There's no logic or intelligence here. Just an anti-USD, pseudo-economist, pro gold and BTC, circlejerk.
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Re: being responsible whales
by
Barabbas0
on 29/12/2014, 09:59:42 UTC
Honestly, a decent derivatives exchange would really help. Whales could have sold covered calls to provide liquidity without outright selling.

With Bitcoin's volatility, leveraged derivatives would really not be necessary to make money.

That's if you're using derivatives for leverage. You could just as easily use them to hedge your position without selling. I'm talking about using BTC as a financial tool, which requires stability, not as a trading instrument.
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
Barabbas0
on 28/12/2014, 23:54:52 UTC
And ultimately, if it causes lenders to leave, it's a bad idea. The whole point of all this is to provide a way for margin traders to borrow USD. If there's no lenders then there won't be liquidity when the borrowers need it. BFX needs to do something soon. The easiest would be to outright disable FRR, however that's a temporary solution at best.
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Board Economics
Re: Dollar coming to an end
by
Barabbas0
on 28/12/2014, 12:48:08 UTC
dollar is the one only good for investment

It has been a good investment sometimes but it is one of the worst investment among the big choices an investor has right now

USD Interest rate has been maintained too low for a long time and it looks like there is a pressure within to hike the rates or else overall it is will be bad in long term.

USD interest rate is low right now because Asian and European investors don't want to invest in those markets. Japan's economy is tanking fast and Greece is starting to spread contagion fears throughout Europe. Money is flooding into US bonds. As bonds get purchased, their prices rise. When their prices rise, yields decrease, due to the fixed coupon payments. As a result, US interest rates are flat, just because of the rush of foreign capital.

The FED is keeping the interest rate at zero

You do realize there's a bond market, right?
The bond market is being manipulated by the fed via QE as well as the fed's promise to keep short term interest rates low for a long time. There are people speculating that the fed will continue to keep short terms rates low which pushes the market rate for longer term bonds low as well

QE already ended. Please, your right wing fears are entirely unfounded. Go back to hoarding gold and whining about monetary inflation.

The FED didn't unwind its balance sheet and didn't raise rate so we are still in a very lose monetary policy environment with a weak economy. The public debt is still growing fast and the Dollar will likely start crashing in 2015 or 2016

lol, okay. As soon as you start pulling dates out of thin air with no evidence I know you're full of shit. You can spew anti-US FUD, doesn't make it true.


The FED didn't unwind its balance sheet and didn't raise rate so we are still in a very lose monetary policy environment with a weak economy. The public debt is still growing fast  : those are facts we agree on

Yeah, so what? USD is still the world's safest asset.

By the way, I don't think you understand how QE works. The Federal Reserve issued low interest short term bonds to buy back high interest long term bonds. Also, the US is anything but a weak economy. It's been 6 years since recession, get over it.
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Re: Bitcoin - Sending without fees ?
by
Barabbas0
on 28/12/2014, 12:41:25 UTC
Why not just pay the fees?
It would guarantee that the transaction goes through without delay.

Because the miners are making enough money and there's absolutely no shortage of hashes. If the folks like me, who actually store a copy of the blockchain, saw any of the transaction fee, I might feel differently.