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Showing 20 of 34 results by Chopperman
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Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Chopperman
on 26/08/2015, 19:40:21 UTC

I'm sure there will be miners who mine on the shorter chain. And you know what? I'll spend on their chain, because I can. And to annoy everyone else.
I hope we can fuck this whole bitcoin system to the max.


Yup, why not?   There are many home miners from the early ASIC days who turned off when the mega-miners came in, why wouldn't they want to stick it to the majority who took the fun out of the game.
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Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: [Guide] Surviving the fork, or How to double your bitcoins (or save fiat)
by
Chopperman
on 20/08/2015, 19:28:29 UTC
Something else came to my mind:

If both chains continue to exist, would it be possible to do 'merged mining' on both blockchains,
similar to merged mining of BTC and NMC today ?


No one has answered this.  The answer must be yes, it would be possible with a modified client. 
Another scenario comes up when you consider the shadow miners, all the at-home ASIC owners who turned off their machines as they lost out to the mega-miners.   They'd surely consider turning them back onto mining on the "losing" fork at reduced value, because the difficulty will drop dramatically as well.   Shadow miners are mostly from the idealistic phase of Bitcoin, so their incentive to continue on Core if XT wins out will be great.

Both forks continue, one will not die to zero.   One may become sub $1 again, but that's OK for some people.
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Are we delusional?
by
Chopperman
on 13/07/2015, 19:53:08 UTC
. For every price increase, some of the early hoarders pull the ripcord, this distributes the coin in the fairest way possible.

 

Will we have to make impassioned pleas for these belevolent early hoarders to exchange some of their precious hoard with the common folk for "worthless" fiat currencies, or will they only take property such as real-estate?   Those early hoarders sure are nice people.  Without them, the Bitcoin economy couldn't function.

Or, is that the 1% in a fiat-based society?
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: I hate myself -_-
by
Chopperman
on 13/07/2015, 19:31:02 UTC

Consider that a cheap lesson: don't buy when the price is rising, buy when it dips and sell when it rises or hold until it rises more.


LOL. Buy the f*cking dip.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0akBdQa55b4
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: I'm a sceptic, convince me!
by
Chopperman
on 03/02/2015, 03:41:49 UTC

Gold does not have to be backed by a commodity, because it is a commodity.

I don't agree that it's useless.

I don't agree that perception is reality. Reality is what is is. regardless of what people believe it is.


So what will happen to gold price when suddenly everyone stop perceiving it as valuable? What if no one buys it as an investment or store of value and the price is solely dictated only by its practical usage (such as electronic and aerospace components)? Will it remain 10% of its current value?

The fact is that most of the gold's price is created by the general agreement that it is precious and valuable, so the 90% (out of the ass estimate) is backed only by perception.

So everyone over night stops seeing a pretty thing as pretty? That would need a cultural revolution the world over   Few substances have the color of gold with tarnish-resistence.
https://www.fourmilab.ch/documents/golden_glow/

Gold's inate properties make it desirable amongst a periodic table of silvery and dull metal colored elements.   That perception of worth is very difficult to remove, unlike the perceived value of e.g. Tulip bulbs, where many people in the day were commenting "but why does it carry such worth when the Rose has much more beauty and variety?"
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Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: The life of a late adopter
by
Chopperman
on 03/02/2015, 03:29:18 UTC
Ironically it's people like you that make the price tank.

If you sell just because you think the price will drop (with no intention to rebuy once it does drop) and not because you absolutely need the money, you are just fueling the drop.
Or just trying to preserve any remaining value of their original investment, like a sane investor.

Quote
Never invest money you can't affort to put aside for a long amount of time. And only sell when you got profit or when an unexpected event happens and you really need the money.
Or upon re-evaluation, come to the conclusion that the time horizon to profit comes with too much risk

Quote
You only make a gain or loss when you decide to sell. If you bought Bitcoin for $800 and its currently at $227 you didn't make a loss unless you actually sell them. If you wait, price may recover to $1000 and you may actually make profit. Patience is important in trading. Patience makes money, impatience makes you poor.
This is a strawman argument. Compare OP to a new investor whose basis is now $227.   If the price goes to $1000, new investor now has more profit than the OP, whose only problem is having paid too much (basis cost too high).   Why did he pay too much - because of the drum beat of the hodlers (according to OP).
It's normal for OP to blame the drum-beat in this situation.  

On the way down, a person who bought at $1000 and sells at $200 loses less than a person who bought at $1000 and sells at $10 (e.g. at the point of complete market failure / loss of confidence).
Venture Capital companies do a lot of due dilligence when it comes to "throwing good money after bad",  why shouldn't OP?
By repeating the mantra that BTC is still in Beta / don't invest more than you can lose, the message is that everything to do with the price in fiat is a gamble.  
Is the BTC world a casino?
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Board Off-topic
Re: Forensics on 12HmUEdk3fqz9W4SEf1xjxPqvkGDqAqHyc
by
Chopperman
on 12/12/2014, 19:50:33 UTC
Chopperman was led to believe that the 10% finders fee from the IRS is 10% of any recovered tax payment that the IRS finds was unpaid, so not 10% of the total amount uncovered.

Otherwise, mazel tov!
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Black Swan Event
by
Chopperman
on 03/10/2014, 20:02:44 UTC
That's just the EMC cold wallet.

Estimates for BFL total wallets are 10,000 to 50,000 BTC.

Up until the judge ordered this, no one was expecting a forced sell event of any kind.    That it's going to be done orderly has no meaning.  Everyone will want to get their sell orders in first.

What are these estimates based upon? I understand BFL has always converted BTC from product sales to dollars. Do estimates assume differently, or do estimates assume that they mined 10-50k bitcoins and held them?

Traced BFL related blockchain payments, a lot of speculation about this in the hardware thread.    It's way more than just the EMC cold wallet.  The "$1M pre-order" BTC hasn't even moved since that press release.
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Black Swan Event
by
Chopperman
on 03/10/2014, 19:47:49 UTC
That's just the EMC cold wallet.

Estimates for BFL total wallets are 10,000 to 50,000 BTC.

Up until the judge ordered this, no one was expecting a forced sell event of any kind.    That it's going to be done orderly has no meaning.  Everyone will want to get their sell orders in first.
Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Black Swan Event
by
Chopperman
on 03/10/2014, 19:37:31 UTC
Judge in FTC versus BFL case orders all of their bitcoin to be converted to USD.
This is a black swan event - nobody saw it coming.
Nobody other than BFL knows how much BTC this is going to be, but it's all coming onto the market.
Nowhere to go but down.


http://ia902308.us.archive.org/32/items/gov.uscourts.mowd.117531/gov.uscourts.mowd.117531.54.0.pdf

---------------------------
All parties shall cooperate in transferring Receivership Defendant’s bitcoins to a Court controlled bitcoin wallet,

Conversion of Receivership Defendant’s substantial bitcoin holdings to cash on a systematic and reasoned basis;
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: It costs $0.09 cents to send $0.24 cents of Bitcoin? Really?
by
Chopperman
on 25/08/2014, 22:02:33 UTC
Bitcoin payment isn't really viable for restaurant type establishment.
I disagree. A while ago, we took my brother to Ocean Blue Sushi. I forgot what the dollar amount was, but with tip it came to 136.2 mBTC. The Mycelium mobile wallet used the default fee of 0.1 mBTC, which is less than 0.1%. My payment was confirmed in a few seconds by the network, which was reported to the app (Coinbase?) on the restaurant's tablet.

So instead of the restaurant paying about 10c to process your credit card (and you getting about 1c in Credit Card points), you paid about 5c on top of the bill.  Via coinbase, they pay 0% fees to sell the BitCoin to them instantly for $$ (first $1M) 
No wonder businesses are interested, 0% chance of chargeback, and the customer pays the fees.     Unless the businesses gives you a discount for BitCoin purchases, it's not to your benefit though.
Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: I thought about this and I wonder why Asic builders don't stop building?
by
Chopperman
on 25/08/2014, 21:25:16 UTC
If you can sell a $100 miner to the public for $500 why not?  Then you can take the $500 in revenue and buy 5 of your own in-house miners and the net result would be 6 units added to the network at the cost of 1 to the miner company.  The miner company would get 500% the hash/$ as you do and have minimal downside with increasing difficulty.

If they didn't have plans to do so now they do  Grin

Lol, that's the business model they used to fund their companies. Now they don't have to deal with all of the hassles of retail sales.

I'm guessing that they just prefer not do deal with the public for the marginal profit from selling 1000 miners when they can just build them by the container-load for themselves and other large operations.

Sure, it goes against everything bitcoin was founded on. But there's nothing we can do to stop this freight train now. It's just going to run us over before it crashes at the end of the line all while slowly destroying bitcoin in the process.

Agreed 100%. BFL is sitting on much "free" money from the first ASIC generation, it doesn't matter how bad they make the second gen, they still win with this business model.

And to think that Yifu decided to design the Avalon because he was worried that BFL represented a threat to the future of Bitcoin by monopolizing production of mining equipment. 
http://bitcoinmagazine.com/3203/avalon-ships-bitcoins-first-consumer-asics/
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Topic
Board Hardware
Re: {BFL} Here's a LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOK at your Monarch!
by
Chopperman
on 18/08/2014, 19:14:09 UTC
Im wondering about the card width.  Looks larger than 2x slots and thats the general spacing on most motherboard every second slot for PCIe and very few cases support more than 8 card slots.

Also your right they were using 4U cases in their examples so that still matches.

They really need to give specs like how long, deep and wide the cards are plus details on the radiator and tube length.  Trying to work out where to mount everything is kinda important for people trying to decide if they can use these things or a refund is the only option.

Jesus, REFUND.  Why are people still contemplating whether or not to get refunds?  They shit the bed on delivery.  They shit the bed on pricing.  They shit the bed on efficiency.  BTC is in a slump, get a refund and enjoy the best possible return on your 'investment' even if you're in the red.

There is absolutely no scenario here where if you have the option to refund, you shouldn't.

Note the fine print - refunds in currency or vouchers.    Chopperman foresees another shit coming when the refunds are only available as 50% usable currency and 50% worthless BFL money. Chopperman is guessing that it's 50% worth of hosted mining coupons.    How's that for a final dump on customers.
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Topic
Board Hardware
Re: BFL creates new charity project to donate 1000 BTC to [ROFL!]
by
Chopperman
on 12/08/2014, 01:12:45 UTC
BFL is now 59.6% complete with their 1000BTC project (I can't bring myself to call it a charity).

2014 Year-To-Date Donation total: 0 BTC

Note, they forgot to list a 25 BTC donation to the Lifeboat bitcoin endowment fund that brings the total to 596 (site still says 571).

So, still 404 BTC outstanding...

As noted in the BFL fucks us thread, the Lifeboat thingy website lists BFL Josh as a board member, so no surprise there.
Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: Antminer S3 - Profit is Impossible
by
Chopperman
on 08/07/2014, 19:57:24 UTC
What if the coin goes DOWN?

Can you profit buying the coin (shorting BTC is very difficult from what I understand) if the exchange rate drops?  A miner can.

Purchase miner for 0.75BTC.  Mine 0.375BTC.  BTC goes down to say $100.  You have 0.375BTC worth $37.50.
Don't purchase miner, keep the .75BTC.  BTC goes down to say $100.  You have 0.75BTC worth $75.00.

No matter what happens with the exchange rate of BTC or whether it goes up or down, 0.75BTC is always more than 0.375. 
At this point I simply refuse to believe that anyone can be this obtuse or ignorant.  You must be trolling. 

There's a hidden variable here though.   If 1000 or 10000 people decide the same thing (purchase BTC direct rather than mine it), then the
additional purchase pressure makes the exchange rate less likely to go down. (and more likely, up)

The attractiveness of mining now is partly getting BTC from the pool of newly minted coin every day, rather than on an exchange, where
you are opening yourself up to unknown fraud potential, KYC rules, and possibly enriching an early adopter by purchasing their old coin,
or otherwise contributing to the demand side.   

The thing that baffles me though is that the upside is completely capped by the size of the initial investment.   Because of rising difficulty,
all mining investments become trickle income in a few months.   It's like congratulating yourself for buying a share in Apple at $100 (pre
split) and watching it grow to $700.    You only realize the $600 profit if you sell it, and you only have one to sell.   Once that's done, you're
out of the game.   People who purchased a miner and used it for a few months are partial BTC owners, they are not on the path to
the "new wealthy elite".    The logical thing at that point is to turn off that miner and move on.   It is not logical to decide that they need to
10x the size of their initial investment just to stay in the game.

Once the initial miners decide to get out, the hardware will go on the open market at blow out prices, there will be purchasers for those
who will make new ROI decisions on old hardware at trickle income rates. 
Post
Topic
Board Hardware
Re: [BFL] List of Lies
by
Chopperman
on 02/07/2014, 19:49:05 UTC
The BFL "charity" page at BidtoinDF.org shows:

571 coins donated
 408 coin remaining, and no outgoing donations listed since August 2013.

Blockchain shows the address as having received a total of 1503 coins, with a final balance of 408 coins.
Initial funding of the donation address shows 3 lots of about 500 coins each going in in June 2013, and one lot of about 500 coins going out to an address that hasn't been touched since. Probably a BFL account.

BFL started this with the 1000 coins they promised to charity (*1) because the 65nm products didn't meet original power expectations.

(*1) At the time, most people assumed they meant a real charity, BFL set up their own non-profit entity purely for the sake of receiving this 1000 coins.

One of the latest donations (December 31, was that a tax avoidance move?) is 25 coins to the lifeboat foundation, which basically plans to HODL coins for future value, and their grand plan of surviving the computer singularity.    List of board members includes Josh Zerlan, no surprise there.

Stinky stinky pseudo charity.
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Topic
Board Hardware
Re: {BFL} Here's a LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOK at your Monarch!
by
Chopperman
on 27/06/2014, 23:19:27 UTC
I have never lied in response to a direct question.

Direct question, do you consider yourself an ethical person?
Direct question, are there any unethical things you have done in conjunction with BFL?
Direct question, do you know of unethical things BFL is doing or has done without your help?
Direct question, do you know of unethical things BFL is planning on doing?
Direct question, do you have, and which are your sockpuppet accounts?
Direct question, do you know which are BFL and Josh's / Inaba's sockpuppet accounts?
Direct question, how do you feel working for the most incompetent hardware company in bitCoin world?
Direct question, are you just a simple employee of BFL, or is there some other arrangement (profit sharing/stock/part owner)?
Direct question, what was your motive in working for BFL?
Direct question, are you going to continue to work for BFL once your current task is done?
Direct question, is your Monarch refund being handled the same way as any other customer's would be?
Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Why Bitcoin might soon make your 401k obsolete
by
Chopperman
on 27/06/2014, 19:55:37 UTC
Problem with 401K is that it's not inflation proof.  Your Grandmother, presumably if she's old enough, likely remembers when she only paid $0.05 for a Coca Cola in a restaurant; whereas today, a Coca Cola costs up to $2 (if not $3 in a bar).  Coca Cola increased 40 to 60 times within generational memory.  The samething will happen to your 401K - it'll decrease in value by 20 to 60 times by the time you collect.


Holy Sh*t.   Does that mean there are people who could have saved Coca Cola in bottles when they purchased them in the 50s and can now sell them for 4000% profit?  Where are these early adopter soft drink mavens?  They found the secret to beating inflation.

Inflation is certainly a problem, but comparing the last 50 years with the next is not meaningful economics.
Post
Topic
Board Mining
Re: BFL Monarch, in the Cloud.. (600GHs)
by
Chopperman
on 27/06/2014, 00:16:38 UTC
http://eligius.st/~wizkid057/newstats/userstats.php/1EnHrZYB8Bi6Pq41wDMmZdCRCshEvhH3cW

"... a courtesy to customers who have been waiting the longest, we will provision these boards in a hosted environment (BFL Cloud Mining facilities), equal to the original processing power you ordered. ..." - BFL Cloud Mining

BFL delivered me a cloud..?!

QG

EDIT: You can find pictures of my real physical miners here: http://imgur.com/a/mRbMZ

Question: Did you decide to post about it on this forum from your own idea or did BFL ask you to post about it?? 
Chopperman wonders because BFL asked early 65nm customers to post when their order came, and many did.
Post
Topic
Board Hardware
Re: {BFL} Here's a LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOK at your Monarch!
by
Chopperman
on 27/06/2014, 00:07:29 UTC
How do you know they are actually mining for you and not just creating payouts to simulate mining?

lol  Cheesy

Especially as the deployed boards are most likely 360GH (same as demonstrated) and the allocated GH is showing very close to 600GH with some variance.      The math don't add up unless all boards are underclocked to 300 GHash.

Someone should try pointing their units at another pool so the BFL pool software can't fudge the numbers.