I would expect a pretty substantial bounce from here, something more than one's typical bear market rally or at least the start of such. There's a myriad of reasons - sentiment is far too negative, buy-back blackout period ending, Federal Reserve dovish hints, earnings will be better than expected, DXY rolling over, negative divergence on 2 year yields, seasonality, etc etc. I think we need S&P ~4000 before general risk appetite returns and results in a Bitcoin breakout.

The guy is so full of shit. He distinctly stated on multiple occasions when he first launched ETC (now ETH) that he had "zero intention of making ETC out to be Bitcoin, or trying to compete with Bitcoin."

Seems like this week will be an inflection point in traditional markets and as it were, transitively for Bitcoin. I personally believe there will be a trend reversal and am targeting 4200 (+/- 50) on the S&P by EOD Friday. Let's see.

I just do not accept the theory about influencers applies to Ethereum.

New telegram post by the master in Bitcoin Beavers

Oчeнь жиpнaя бычья дивepгeнция нa нeдeльнoм. Пoxoжe идём нa 80к.

Very bold bullish divergence on the weekly. Looks like we're going to 80k.

Just to confirm, the "perpetual market" is essentially the "end of cycles" hypothesis that's currently making the rounds? Per EW theory cycles are inherent in the rhythms of man's life rather than something specific to bitcoin (or any other asset for that matter). It's only from being "man-made" and subject to man's whims that bitcoin inherits cycle behavior so how do we reconcile the end of cycles despite still existing within the realm of man's behavior?

Okay, I try to fit the different forecasts out there.
-If BTC makes a new high in 2022, it could equate to the end of CYCLE I
-If after the halving of 2024 we see a new ATH, it could occur in 2025-2026
-between the maximum assumption of 2022 and the halving of 2024 should be the minimum of CYCLE II, then it would have a duration of less than 2 years.

in your opinion:
-the duration of CYCLE II could perfectly fit Elliot's Wave Theory and be followed by a CYCLE III (which would be mind-blowing)

ETH now has another competitor due to insane gas price which becoming really hard for everyone. People are moving towards alternative but demand for big players growing very fast and this is pushing towards the new level. I think other blockchains will give though time in coming days.

On a more abstract note, the iconic Elliott Wave 5-3 fractal pattern can be used on everything from price action to our lives as human beings, and everything humanity touches. Nothing goes up in a straight line and natural growth is always 3 steps forward, two steps back. Not to get woo-woo, but it's increasingly clear (at least to me) that the Elliott Wave pattern is deeply embedded in human psychology, affecting everything from who we are and how our lives unfold, to the things we touch and create.

While I'm 100% on board with Elliott Wave theory holding interpretative power, I'm not fully convinced in its predictive power, especially when the resolution gets down into the lower cycles (minor, minute, minuette, etc). At this level it seems our hard-wired pattern-seeking brains are simply trying to wring signal from noise, claiming meaning from randomness. I'm open to be convinced otherwise though.

To this day I'm still impressed with the accuracy of OP's earlier 2019 Cryptocurrency (Elliott Wave) thread. Masterful work. Glad to see the effort continues here. This thread is one of the handful of reasons I make it a point to visit this forum on a regular basis.