As you already stated, you yourself don't fully believe that your prediction will always be correct, because you believed that it is indeed very risky.
So what is your purpose on asking for a Fee for your prediction, that is uncertain to make a profit?
There is a speculation thread here in this forum, why don't you try and help them instead of making them pay.
I was referring to operational risk, not the risk of loss from trading activities, which can be handled with risk management (i.e never risk more than 2-8% of equity on a trade).
I will never pay for any services like this even with discounted price because there is no way for anyone to predict what exactly will be the movement of the price of Bitcoin. And lets say your previous prediction are right but that is all just speculations and no real proof, that is why we can say that it is just a luck. And I also think that people will not have any interest on paying for this, they would rather pay for pump and dump groups (which is also not recommended) than pay for predictions that have no guarantee that it is accurate.
VitKoyn (or others), what kind of proof would suffice to convince you?
I've written 5 predictions here in realtime, 5/5 were correct.
If I would write 30 predictions (in realtime, that you can verify prices match bitfinex) of which around 24 would be correct, would that suffice?
If I would manage a portfolio, with trades written in realtime in the forum, which generates at least 50% profit in 1 month, would that suffice?