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Showing 6 of 6 results by JoshYouArent
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: New Member
by
JoshYouArent
on 02/01/2014, 09:39:01 UTC
Please correct me if i'm wrong but if the players have a positive "expectation" You will have a negative "expectation"
Take PrimeDice for example, at x2 they give the player 49.5% chance to win which means in the long run the odds are against the player by just .5%
If it were to be the other way around you would be the one with the negative profit.

I'm sorry ,maybe I didn't explain clearly  because my mother tongue isn't English

The payout must associate with the prize pool in a positive "expectation" game. and the payout must be limited
for example:

dice from 1-100

your bet = 1BTC  
the prize pool = 100BTC
the payout no more than the pool
Prize: #1  chance   1%       dice =1                payout:   20+(pool/10) x   = 30 BTC     expectation=0.3
Prize: #2  chance  25%    1Prize: #3  chance  74%   25have a negative "expectation"
but  when the prize pool grow   the  "expectation" will be positive
your bet = 1BTC  
the prize pool > 300BTC
Prize: #1  chance   1%           dice =1           payout:   20+(pool/10) x   > 50 BTC     expectation>0.5
Prize: #2  chance  25%      1Prize: #3  chance  74%     250.5+0.5+0 - 1 > 0

so the prize pool will float near 300BTC  

this is just a simple example


No problem, your english was perfectly understandable.
I didn't think you had thought it through but it seems good.
I'm far from a mathematician lol but that makes sense to me, nice work.
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Worryingly long time (nervous newb)
by
JoshYouArent
on 02/01/2014, 09:31:11 UTC
Somebody else suggested resetting the blockchain in Multibit, that worked.
Thanks for your help everybody.
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: New Member
by
JoshYouArent
on 02/01/2014, 06:48:44 UTC
Please correct me if i'm wrong but if the players have a positive "expectation" You will have a negative "expectation"
Take PrimeDice for example, at x2 they give the player 49.5% chance to win which means in the long run the odds are against the player by just .5%
If it were to be the other way around you would be the one with the negative profit.
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Topic OP
Worryingly long time (nervous newb)
by
JoshYouArent
on 02/01/2014, 06:26:42 UTC
Hi guys,
around 8 hours ago I withdrew some btc from btc-e
It shows with 69 confirmations on the blockchain at the moment
but is not yet in my wallet..
I'm sure I am just being overly paranoid, but is this usual?


Thanks

Fixed.
Any other newbies having this same issue, if you are using Multibit (no idea about other wallet software) try to reset your blockchain, that fixed it for me.
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: New Member
by
JoshYouArent
on 02/01/2014, 06:20:41 UTC
I want to develop a new bitcoin dice game, and the mathematical expectation of the prize will be positive.
So you want to lose money?  Huh
Post
Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Newbie
by
JoshYouArent
on 31/12/2013, 12:20:18 UTC
Hopefully, by posting a coherent sentence in this thread followed by four hours of patience, I will then be able to post somewhere else!

And yes, Im new aswell Tongue
Hello, I'm new too, started mining a week ago but i've been reading this forum for quite a bit Tongue
Hi, I'm a newbie too  Tongue
im nooob  Sad
Hello  Smiley
Another newbie here.
Hey fellow noobs. Anyone else having problems not able to post anywhere but in this forum...Even after waiting 4 hours? I figured I'll wait a little while longer before I PM a mod about it. Just wondering if I'm the only one! Grin

EDIT:
um oops, hasn't been 4 hours haha! Man I thought I made that post earlier in the day.
No you are not the only one stuck here. I have been stuck here for a few days already.
Hi!
I too am also a newbie. Hello fellow newbies Smiley