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Showing 20 of 68 results by KTE
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Re: Parity watch -> Mali
by
KTE
on 09/04/2013, 14:49:01 UTC

Mali, this is the least depressing picture I could find. Hope we will not stay here long.



Your wish has been granted. Honduras next. I had a copy of this image from Honduras on my wall some years ago:

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Re: What is the deal with hoarding?
by
KTE
on 08/04/2013, 08:17:59 UTC
This is so funny and sad at the same time. In recent months BTC has seemingly lost its true utility -- a currency -- and has become a speculative asset that provides no utility because if you use it, you'll potentially be leaving money on the table. Amazing Shocked Everyone start paying with Paypal and Dwolla again Cheesy

Even though Bitcoin is rising sharply, it doesn't mean that you wouldn't want to use it as a currency. Think about it:

1) Who wouldn't want to receive bitcoins now if they were fine with them before?
2) Why would you prefer any other form of payment if you would have to pay someone?
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Re: Money Flow
by
KTE
on 07/04/2013, 18:16:16 UTC
What the OP graph really tells us for the recent days is that cash is flowing in much, much more than out. It doesn't really tell anything about being at a turning point or not. A whopping one preceding incident of money flow meeting price equaling crash doesn't establish a pattern. No matter how cool of an arc the data draws.

Disclaimer: this doesn't mean that it couldn't be a turning point. I'm not in the business of proving negatives.
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Re: Parity watch -> Eritrea
by
KTE
on 07/04/2013, 16:54:55 UTC
Got independence from Ethiopia in 1993, has had a lot of tension with Ethiopia about the border lines.
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Re: [[SMOOTHIE PRICE CALL #2]] Bitcoin will touch $440 by April 30th 2013
by
KTE
on 04/04/2013, 19:41:31 UTC
I like your style, you don't take the easy route and lowball it. I'll say I'm very a little hardly surprised if we touch $440 within a month but it would still be so sick. I'd rather go for $260.
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Re: One thing's for sure: MTGOX SUCKS!!
by
KTE
on 03/04/2013, 14:28:12 UTC
EDIT: Didn't realize this thread was a bit older.
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Re: Peer to peer digital Ponzi.
by
KTE
on 03/04/2013, 11:36:58 UTC
I am now of the opinion that bitcoins are a Ponzi.  As in most of the gains are coming from new investors and not from any economic activity.

It is hard for me to conceive of enough drugs, gambling and Alpaca socks to justify all this value.  Then again if I really think about it is hard for me to believe that there are seven billion people in the world.

Common mistake is to assess market price based only on current value without taking into account estimations of future value. You shouldn't make investment decisions considering only the bubble that is the present.
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Re: OK, THIS IS FUCKING INSANE
by
KTE
on 03/04/2013, 10:19:42 UTC

Dude I'm close to paying off my mortgage!!! my only two concerns are:
* When do I take my profits. (at one point I must take some profits, I haven't ever since I started mining and buying I haven't sold a single BTC)!
* How to avoid getting taxed like crazy when I transfer fiat back to my account.


I'm in the same boat as you (except I'm lucky to not have any debt). What I'm going to do is lighten up the load by 10% when that is enough to recoup my initial investment. My mean buy price is $20 so there's still a bit to go. Then I'll make my next game plan.

When doing my first investment at the turn of the year, I decided that I will hold for 1yr and see where we are at that point and make plans accordingly, unless there's a big change in fundamentals that shakes my beliefin bitcoin. I also made half-jokingly a plan that if the value increases tenfold, I will cash out my initial investment because the hit to my BTC portfolio will be relatively small for the gains I get in fiat in that point.

Sure, if btc goes up another 10x I only get a 9x growth at that point, but hey - you can't have your cake and eat it too.

I know you might already be beyond the 10x threshold, but I feel like mine is a solid plan. I'll invest the cashed out portion to some more stable instruments.
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Re: [POLL] Benjamin parity by end of April?
by
KTE
on 01/04/2013, 14:59:30 UTC
Well, it didn't happen in March, but 80% got it right. Congrats everyone!
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Re: Yet another analyst :)
by
KTE
on 31/03/2013, 17:56:41 UTC
I don't know that - I'll leave the price calls to Lucif and his charts Smiley. All I know is that in financial markets if you reach the point where everyone knows something, then the exact opposite is usually about to occur.

Bitcointalk is a very small minority of bitcoin holders. It's a big world out there.
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Re: Easter and Bitcoin
by
KTE
on 31/03/2013, 11:10:24 UTC
It's Easter now, which is a massive (western) worldwide holiday. A lot of people travel or spend a lot of time with their families during Easter, and banks are on holiday as well.

If you look at bitcoincharts ( http://www.bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg5ztgOzm1g10zm2g25zv ) you'll see that the action starts to quiet down on Good Friday, when people get do their last moves before going for a holiday, and then basically dies for the weekend with lower volumes than during normal weekends. There is no cash flowing in due to banks being closed and people are 'offline' due to being on vacation. As the exhanges are online, I am a bit surprised the price hasn't gone down, since people do have the chance of selling while new money is not available.

On monday the action will likely pick up a little bit, but it's still a western holiday so it'll probably be much quieter than a normal monday. Come tuesday, the game is back on. Even as us geeks spend loads of time online 24/7 and here in bitcointalk it's fun to look at how the coin is doing, it doesn't mean the rest of the world has got nothing better to do during holidays.
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Re: Yet another analyst :)
by
KTE
on 31/03/2013, 10:43:40 UTC
I'm surprised it never actually made it to $100, with people as excited and irrationally bullish as they have been of late. Now I'm not sure if it will ever see $100 this year at all (it may, but it's questionable). It's just been kinda flat/dead lately with unusually low volume, which was not quite what I expected this week but does make sense.

It's Easter now, which is a massive (western) worldwide holiday. A lot of people travel or spend a lot of time with their families during Easter, and banks are on holiday as well.

If you look at bitcoincharts ( http://www.bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg5ztgOzm1g10zm2g25zv ) you'll see that the action starts to quiet down on Good Friday, when people get do their last moves before going for a holiday, and then basically dies for the weekend with lower volumes than during normal weekends. There is no cash flowing in due to banks being closed and people are 'offline' due to being on vacation. As the exhanges are online, I am a bit surprised the price hasn't gone down, since people do have the chance of selling while new money is not available.

On monday the action will likely pick up a little bit, but it's still a western holiday so it'll probably be much quieter than a normal monday. Come tuesday, the game is back on. Even as us geeks spend loads of time online 24/7 and here in bitcointalk it's fun to look at how the coin is doing, it doesn't mean the rest of the world has got nothing better to do during holidays.

The lower volumes can be explained by the holidays, not by us being close to $100.
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Re: We'll be back at 90ish by the end of the week...
by
KTE
on 29/03/2013, 12:29:02 UTC
Quite simple math IMO

It is simple. Doesn't mean you got it right tho.
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Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker
by
KTE
on 28/03/2013, 20:06:56 UTC
Yes, log scale is relative in the sense that at a fixed slope the relative growth for any time point is the same as any other time point.

1 to 10 has the same height on the y-axis as 10 to 100 etc

To be precise, the relativity is a feature of a lin-log scale, that is, one axis is linear (time) and other axis is logarithmic (price)
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Re: Parity watch -> Congo
by
KTE
on 28/03/2013, 08:37:57 UTC
ceveden, Bitcoin's M0 is also its M1, M2 and M3.
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Re: The most honest post you will find here
by
KTE
on 21/03/2013, 20:33:06 UTC
That's not the long-haul club, that's cashing out and leaving a nominal amount to bitcoin just so you can say you're still invested.
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Re: Cyprus, Spain, etc. will save us?!
by
KTE
on 21/03/2013, 19:36:52 UTC
Whats the chances of shops trying out bitcoin if they have to run around putting new prices on everything hourly? "They can just display the exchange rate" doesn't cut it, if vendors can't display the prices in BTC then it will be a second class currency. For now the fluctuations are great to get interest and investment but crap as an exchange of value.

The higher the value of Bitcoin rises, the smaller relative changes in value are. At $10 000 per bitcoin a change of $10 in BTC price is 0.1% in total value. Any shop understanding this will understand that they have minimal risk in accepting bitcoin, as it is likely to go up in value, not down. So if they don't update their prices that often, they usually get extra money.

This is one of the reasons why buying BTC now is such a good thing. There's only two possible outcomes: $0 or A LOT.
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Re: [POLL] Benjamin parity by end of April?
by
KTE
on 21/03/2013, 18:44:24 UTC
The active thread titles and general content of replies point to a shift in attitudes. The exact reaction to this poll, sure I don't know what it would've been, but there's clearly been an attitude change from two weeks ago.
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Re: [POLL] Benjamin parity by end of April?
by
KTE
on 21/03/2013, 18:36:53 UTC
Kind of expected this shift in attitudes here. Talking about a $30 increase in price within a month seems like nothing now .. so far only 10% think it's not gonna happen.

Two weeks ago, or even a week ago the reaction would've been quite different I believe.
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Re: For everybody who is considering selling - Quote from Jesse Livermore
by
KTE
on 21/03/2013, 18:22:06 UTC
It's worked for me so far.

Likewise.