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Board Economics
Re: Freicoin: decreasing fees by charging demurrage
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 19:27:41 UTC
Let's concentrate then in another advantages.

1) Transaction fees are not a problem, but demurrage fees reduce them. Bitcoin holders are receiving a service that bitcoin transactors pay for in form of transaction fees. I mean in the future, currently holders also pay through monetary inflation. But in the future it will be an externality.

2) Demurrage fees increase the velocity of freicoin. That is good for merchants that will make more sells.

1) I see transaction fees as being quite separate from demurrage. As you say, with demurrage there is no need to use transaction fees for ensuring currency stability or as a reward for miners. I don't understand why in the future currency holders would pay through monetary inflation, or how that would be an externality. Care to specify?

2) Yes, agreed that demurrage increases velocity of circulation, and thus make the currency better for commerce.


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Although miners prefer bitcoins over freicoins for their superior speculative value, with merged mining, miners will get the bitcoins the namecoin and the freicoins and sell the ones they don't like for whatever they get, because they don't have additional hashing costs. At 1 satoshi per freicoin, I will buy all the freicoins if no one else want them, so mining won't be a problem.
The problem is acceptance from users and that relies heavily in the acceptance from developers entrepreneurs. We need them to adapt the current bitcoin software and services to also work with freicoin.
Well, first we should code freicoin...
Making a fork from namecoin or collaborating with multicoin (that already have merged mining) seem the better alternatives for now.

Merged mining seems a good idea.

I think users will accept freicoins, but I have some doubts about the ease of use for commerce with the software as it is now. It isn't to everyone's taste to be deal with bugs in transfers or complications with wallets. Things will have to get simpler from the end user standpoint, if the currency is going to have wide appeal. 


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A currency that stabilizes its price through changing the monetary base is being discussed in another thread, and I think it could be done better with demurrage than with destructive fees.

I don't want to change the stable monetary base feature of bitcoin, because I don't want the people in the forum to confuse demurrage with monetary inflation. In fact, the monetary base is more constant in freicoin than in bitcoin because it recovers lost wallets.


Thanks for that link. I posted in the other thread.

I can understand why you would like to keep the two things separate.

It is difficult enough to explain one concept at a time...
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Topic
Board Project Development
Re: Goldcoin and Stablecoin proposals
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 18:56:20 UTC

Stablecoin

With Stablecoin, you have the same bitcoin like program and exchange as with Goldcoin with only a couple modifications.

The exchange is in USD. However, instead of targeting USD directly, we target a specific date. Let's say we use the date Stablecoin comes into existence. From then on, we keep track of how much USD has inflated/deflated using something like CPI or the Billion Price Index or even a combination of indices. If USD inflates say 1% we increase the target to $1.01 for one Stablecoin. On the other hand, if USD deflates by 1% we target $0.99 for one Stablecoin. Over time the increase and decreases would be added together to get some strange multiple as the target for Stablecoin.

The ultimate goal for Stablecoin would be to target a value not a price, and thus never inflate or deflate over time.

Stablecoin would be a great benefit to any merchant. They could simply price their goods and services in Stablecoin once, and never have to change the price again. They also know, no matter how long they hold Stablecoin, the value of Stablecoin would never increase or decrease significantly. If it does, they can wait until it makes it back to it's target.

Once Stablecoin is used to price goods and services online, you could then drop the use of CPI and Billion Price index and simply use a basket of goods priced in Stablecoin. If merchants start charging more or less on average for their goods, Stablecoin could adjust the number of coins accordingly.

Stablecoin could become the perfect currency for merchants. Which would make Stablecoin perfect for customers who want to buy from those merchants. Once enough merchants and customers adopt Stablecoin, everyone else would follow.



I very much like the idea of stablecoin. This would be a version of bitcoin that's better suited for commerce than the original. In order to use a currency in commerce, stability is very important. No merchant wants to constantly have to change prices.

What I do not like in your proposal (and in your subsequent amendment to 1971 coins) is the proposal to target a certain dollar value. Someone said Euro would be better, but I think we could do away with targeting a fiat currency value altogether.

We would need a good way to release more coins into circulation (which is available in the bitcoin software, as it is).

We also need a good way to lower the number of coins in circulation, in case the user base contracts. jtimon has proposed to do this by introducing demurrage, i.e. to take a small percentage of the amount transferred at the moment of transfer, and to destroy that small percentage. The percentage would increase depending on the time the coin had been held onto before being spent, making demurrage a powerful incentive to not hold on to stablecoins but to actually use them in commerce.

How to achieve stability without external input

The way to have a stable currency without the need for either a price index or a steward of the currency holding the value constant, is to target a fixed ratio between the size of the stablecoin economy and the total number of stablecoins extant. It is not really important what value that ratio produces, the important thing is that the ratio can be kept stable with only internal inputs.

The inputs we would need are:

- volume of trades in a determined time interval (I believe the system can supply that data).

- number of coins existing at the moment (also a system internal datum)

Using a fixed ratio (I am saying just for example 1:10 but it could be anything that's decided) we can now calculate the target amount of coins. 5,640 in trade would give us a target of 56,400 coins. Please don't hold me to the numbers, it's just a made up example.

Since demurrage is constantly lowering the amount of coins in existence, we can now adjust the degree of difficulty of creation of new coins to get us as close to the targeted coins total as possible.

Since we have the volume of trades as an internal input, we can constantly update the targeted coins total.

Since the value of a currency depends on the number of coins times velocity of circulation in relation to the volume of trade, we have a reasonably stable currency that does not depend on external inputs.

We do not know what the value of each coin will turn out to be before putting this in practice, but it is of no concern because all we want is stability of the value of each coin over time.

Could that work?

Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Freicoin: decreasing fees by charging demurrage
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 13:45:45 UTC
When the 21M bitcoins are produced, miners are supposed to earn bitcoins only by charging fees.
I have another proposal. But probably is a change so drastic that can't be applied to bitcoin.
Freicoins can be created forever as an incentive and still have a fixed monetary base if the amount of newly created reward for miners is equal the amount of destroyed freicoins.
How can freicoins be removed from circulation?
Each time a transaction is done a percentage of the freicoins in the transaction are destroyed depending on how much time the freicoins have been hold since the last transaction. This is called demurrage.

So the problem you are trying to solve by introducing demurrage into Bitcoin is fees. Reading some of the answers however, it would seem that fees are not seen as a problem. Miners could perhaps exist on fees alone, after mining has tapered out and the full complement of coins has been achieved. It seems like you are trying to solve a problem that isn't perceived as a problem by the Bitcoin community. As a matter of fact, I also see little difference in whether a miner is rewarded by a fee or by the fact that bitcoins continue to be available for mining because demurrage destroys some of them and therefore fills up the reservoir of unmined coins.


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It reduces interest rates. Concretely, it attacks the basic interest or liquidity premium. Defined as
gross interest = basic interest + risk premium + inflation premium
Demurrage has other benefits. For example, money with demurrage is crisis resistant: it will continue to circulate even with deflation.
Also, interest makes the financial market "think" in the short term.

Interest also doesn't seem to be much of a problem (yet?) in Bitcoin. It is true that, just like interest, demurrage will tend to make a currency more fluid, meaning they will both induce holders of money to spend it or to make it available to others to spend. I haven't seen much discussion here on the subject of interest, and I don't think that interest is perceived as a problem worthy of solving either, in this community.

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For more information about demurrage you can read Silvio Gesell's main book on the web or in pdf.
I think the main flaw of Gesell's proposal is that he wanted the government to issue his freigeld, but there wasn't the block chain back then.

It is true that a digital currency is much easier to apply demurrage to than a state-issued currency. Still, you will have to find a good reason to do so. What is the added value that demurrage would bring to Bitcoin, what is the real problem - also in the eyes of the rest of the Bitcoin community - that would be solved by introducing demurrage. Just last week I was talking with someone in Italy who also wanted to introduce demurrage to Bitcoin, but there was also no mention of a real reason to do so, other than it would be nice for reasons not connected to Bitcoin itself...

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With merged mining, freicoin can co-exist with bitcoin.

Merged mining - hmmm. I see they talk about merges mining between Bitcoin and Namecoin. So what you are proposing basically is to establish Freicoin as a fork to Bitcoin, a separate flavor of the currency that includes demurrage. Still, you'll have to find and point out a real advantage to having demurrage over not having it.

There is one point in favor of a Bitcoin flavor with demurrage, which is that the currency will be tending to be spent more readily. But as it is right now, most of the users that have gone into bitcoin mining have done so with the expectation of an increasing value of each coin. They are banking on making profits because the currency is set to appreciate with time, and they would not want to follow you into a currency that does not do that. However there may be many new and potential users who don't care about speculating on their coins increasing in value, and who would welcome a more easily spendable currency.

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One can say that demurrage is worse than inflation for savers, but I think that's not true.
Other common criticism is that no merchant would accept a money with demurrage, but there's many local currencies with demurrage operating today.

There is an important problem with Bitcoin that would benefit from a Gesellian cure.

As Gesell points out, a currency, to be stable in value, has to be commensurate with the market it serves. The total amount of units of the currency in circulation and the mean velocity of circulation has to be in line with actual exchange being mediated by that currency.

In the case of Bitcoin, there is no mechanism to ensure this.

Therefore, Bitcoin is not well suited to trade. It tends to appreciate greatly, if the user base grows. That is good for miners and for speculators, but it is hardly good for businesses who want to accept Bitcoin for what they sell. Who would want to change their prices constantly because the currency is changing its value all the time? Think about real trade, like a business selling things. They would have to follow the Bitcoin exchange rate constantly so their prices continue to reflect the real value of what they sell.

So we have a problem, which is the currency is not stable in value. Freicoin could solve that problem, but it would need demurrage to do so.

Freicoin would have to set, for its target amount of coins to be issued, a number that is the product of the payments made through the system in a certain period x a multiplier (to be determined). This variable number would replace the fixed amount of 21.000.000 coins which characterizes Bitcoin.

The difficulty of calculating block chains would have to be automatically adjusted taking into account the currently issued number of Freicoins and the difference between that number and the (adjusted) target number.

Mining adds coins to the Freicoin economy, demurrage drains coins from it.

This way, whichever way the user base goes, whether the Freicoin economy expands or contracts, the value of each unit of Freicoin would be stable in value, as it is continually adjusted to the size of the economy that is being served by the currency.

I suppose what would be needed would be some programmers who could appreciate the importance of a stable Bitcoin flavor, and who would program these parameters into what would be a fork of Bitcoin.
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: How does Bitcoin work? Technical news
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 12:34:23 UTC
Because it is a peer-to-peer exchange, related to the central authorities have no more money or have to track transactions. Instead, "this action is jointly managed by the network. Technology news declared " Bitcoin value of a trade-only users who wish to come to accept it. This is a "global, personal, and untraceable," says Britain's Guardian, and "Preferred Financial Libertarians, geeks, business, and, possibly, a system for drug kingpins."

Right now, Bitcoin seems to generate excitement and expectation of would-be speculators and miners as in a gold rush. Lots of people upgrading their computers in an effort to spend some electricity to mine the coins (the goldrush) and lots of people actually buying Bitcoin to sit on them in the expectation that their value will go up and the owner gets a bit richer.

There is precious little going on by way of trading with bitcoins, as far as I understand.
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: MyBitcoin REALLY is back up, with an announcement
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 12:26:06 UTC
There is a new announcement on the page:
Quote
Friday, August 5th, 2011

From the desk of Tom Williams, operator of MyBitcoin.com

We are in the process of building a claim procedure for the remainder of the holdings now. We expect that we will have it online soon.

The claim process will consist of a online form where the claimant will be required to enter their MyBitcoin username and password. Their balance will be displayed along with the percentage of remaining Bitcoins that we still have in our holdings. That percentage will be paid to a Bitcoin address of their choosing. This percentage will be based on our current total liabilities vs. our existing assets. We will disclose these figures as soon as they have been totaled.

Each online claim will be written to a ledger and will be manually approved within 48 hours of being filed online. We have decided to have a manual claim approval process for better security. The last thing we all need right now is for someone to breach the claim form. We are confident clients will find this satisfactory.

Tom Williams


So this is someone who has taken bitcoins from everyone who would give them to him for a relatively moderate amount - I say relatively moderate because 250k $ is not much in business - and who is either unwilling or unable to stand up and pay back the money (value) he took in to safeguard. Evidence is his babble about a "claim process" which predictably will yield little or nothing for those who gave him bitcoins in the first place.

It's a lesson to be learned:

Don't trust ANYONE with your bitcoins. Keep them in your wallet on your computer, with a backup handy just in case.

I wonder how many of those cases it will take for people to realize that there is a price to pay for being improvident...

And yes, going to the police will only hasten the demise of bitcoin as a whole.

You either are independent of the authorities or you aren't. Police investigating and courts deciding means you aren't.
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: bitcoinexchange.cc has not sent my $$ for TWO WEEKS
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 12:06:52 UTC
Isn't .cc blocked by google for spam/viruses?

you mean by google's gmail?

.cc certainly comes up on google searches...
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Howto setup minig for a windows machine, then exhange to euros
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 11:56:05 UTC
It should take about 2 weeks (if you are running 24/7) to make 0.1 bitcoins (~1 euro). You will spend a lot more than that in electricity though.


Sounds like a bad deal to me  Sad
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Board Beginners & Help
Re: Buy mini Bitcoins with PayPal
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 11:54:00 UTC
Not sure if you guys can post in the exchange section..but I just opened a brand new exchange that accepts paypal

http://minibits.weebly.com/

will transfer to a .com if I get a good amount of orders

Sounds like a bad idea to use paypal if they have a policy of not allowing bitcoin trades and exchanges over their network. It's a competition game, and a dirty one at that, and paypal always wins. They have the lawyers and the conditions of use tweaked so whatever you do they can best you. Freeze account, take your money, report you... I would rather stay away from them.
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Board Beginners & Help
Re: It's Over
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 10:23:05 UTC
I sold all my bitcoins when it was $13. I made a profit of $600 but now it's not economical to mine anymore. I am selling all of my equipment(or refunding) for the amount I placed into the investment. This was a good run but bitcoin is falling apart on many fronts. I will keep 67btc in my wallet for now but im done.

Maybe I haven't understood anything yet, but to me it seemed that bitcoin was supposed to be a means of payment, an electronic form of money.

You are treating it like it was an investment, some financial product that is somehow miraculously supposed to grow.

Those two uses of money are actually incompatible. When money is used for payment, it needs to circulate. When it's used for investment, it needs to be fixed. Money can't do both at the same time.
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Introduce yourself :)
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 09:17:11 UTC
Hi, I'm just here making some of the obligatory posts before being allowed into the arena Wink

I'm Sepp (yes, it's my real name) and I have been studying to understand money systems and finance for over two decades.

Silvio Gesell's "The Natural Economic Order" makes a lot of sense to me. I would like to see whether his work and bitcoin can somehow be connected. There is a string of discussion about this, but with newbie rules and all, I can't (yet) participate.

Patience.
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Topic
Board Beginners & Help
Re: Newbie restrictions
by
Sepp
on 06/08/2011, 09:12:24 UTC
Stupid barriers u put up here!
Do u want to get more members to the bitcoin community or do u want to scare them off?

Different approach: Let the first 5-10 posts of newbies be revised by admins before posted in order to filter out the troll posts (and users), in that way u have instant posting opportunities for new members and also control over whats being posted.

And now CLEAR ME ALREADY i got some IMPORTANT thread to launch (about a new indicator for price level development if u excuse)!

regards,
ur newest pissed off member XXX

Well, don't call anyone or anything here stupid, you'll have trouble making your important announcement.

I have some interesting (I believe) things to say myself, and I actually did make some posts in the old forum before these newbie restrictions were decided upon.

Well, I guess I have to just wait and make a few noises to get out of prison and be allowed to post.

Good thing the number of needed posts got restricted from 50 to 5!
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Board Economics
Re: Deflationary currency? Really?
by
Sepp
on 31/03/2011, 10:35:29 UTC

Stability an arbitrary goal, even as growth is an arbitrary goal. The difference is that an inflationary currency is inherently unstable, continual inflationary growth at any rate will ultimately become unsustainable. This unsustainable condition defines the limit of an inflationary economy. OTOH the limit of a deflationary economy is defined by the lowest price limit. With a currency that is not very divisible this is rather limited by the smallest divisible unit. For example it may be reasonable to pay one penny for a potato, but less reasonable to pay one penny for a ton of potato, transactions become unwieldy. This is not the case for a currency that is essentially infinitely divisible... which is something we have never had before.

Stability is something of a relative thing. There will always be market segments that are unstable and you can not fix this by managing a currency or a monetary system. What you would have to do, in effect, is to micromanage the availability and demand for each individual commodity... Ain't gonna happen...

Not talking here about stability of an economy as such.

The stability I have in mind is price stability.

And if price stability can be attained by relatively simple means, why prefer eternally sliding prices until one day we (might) run into the physical limit where prices can no longer slide because they can't be expressed, as the unit has been subdivided by too many decimals?
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Board Economics
Re: Deflationary currency? Really?
by
Sepp
on 31/03/2011, 10:29:57 UTC

Why is stability is a good thing compared to deflationary economic growth?

I suppose you mean to compare stability (of a currency's value) with deflationary development (of that currency's value). They do not really have anything to do with economic growth as such.

To answer the question, as I understand it, stability of a currency (in relation to the goods it buys)

- avoids continual change of prices of goods as expressed in a currency (think of having to change a price list frequently).

- simplifies comparative analysis of economic activity over time (think balance sheets).

- promotes public confidence in the currency.
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Board Economics
Re: Deflationary currency? Really?
by
Sepp
on 28/03/2011, 17:56:01 UTC
Deflationary, inflationary, both are undesirable in a currency.

Can't we talk about having a STABLE currency, and what it would take to keep a currency reasonably stable?

Prices, ideally, should neither increase, nor should they decrease. The ideal for any currency is stability.

Bitcoin is a great step forward in the direction of having a stable currency, but it does not seem that its creation algorithm is directed towards obtaining stability. We will have gradually increasing difficulty of mining, until a few years from now, mining will practically come to a halt.

Now if bitcoin were to serve a substantially stable market, meaning there is a community of bitcoin users that does not either substantially increase in numbers nor decrease, the currency could be said to be stable in the long term.

I do have a feeling though, that the long term intention of the creators and the early adopters of bitcoin is to expand the user base to hundreds of millions, perhaps even to billions of users.

Since stability of a currency is a function of demand (user base) and availability (fixed in our case after the target amount of bitcoins programmed by its creator has been reached) in a long term view, this means that bitcoin will very likely be a deflationary currency, i.e. that prices, as expressed in bitcoin, will be continually falling, as the user base grows.

For stability, the target amount of bitcoins should be ajustable - preferably by some automatism - to follow the growth of the user base.
Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Self-regulating spirals
by
Sepp
on 28/03/2011, 11:03:34 UTC
Quote
I imagine these forces would not swing back and forth between such extremes, but would rather balance each other out somewhere around the middle.  Once new bitcoins are no longer being produced, I foresee that fairly constant ratios of coins will remain in circulation and in savings.  The inflation/deflation rate should tend to zero, excluding the very important effects of population growth, economic growth, etc.

Do others agree with this assessment?

You are probably right about the extremes balancing each other out somewhere in the middle, especially as the bitcoin ecology grows.

The last assumption however, that inflation/deflation rate should tend to zero is not a given.

The overall inflation/deflation rate depends entirely on how much request for bitcoin there is to do its main business, which is to be used as a payment medium.

Large changes in user base will inflate/deflate the currency.

Double the user base, and you will roughly double the value of each coin = deflation.

Cut the user base in half (because - let's say - users leave for a different bitcoin implementation) and the value of each coin will roughly be half = inflation.