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Showing 20 of 284 results by Shinobi
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Re: Dwolla stopped from dealing with MtGox!
by
Shinobi
on 14/05/2013, 21:12:23 UTC
Your attempts to downplay this look pretty silly.

Yes it's best to transfer bitcoins to another exchange, sell there and get your money out safely, instead of MtGox
Or just use international bank transfer or another method to save you some trouble and get a better price for your coins.  (Unless you only have a tiny amount to sell, which any exchange can handle.)

I don't quite understand the drama this causes.  SEPA withdrawals are delayed 4 weeks now, and have been disabled many times.  This hasn't caused much disruption to the price.  Only 30-40% of MtGox customers are based in the USA, and almost all of them have other options to get money in and out of MtGox.
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Board Speculation
Re: Fundamental Analysis Speculation
by
Shinobi
on 03/05/2013, 00:28:12 UTC
Quote
People have forgotten the drama surrounding Bruce Wagner and Bitcoinica.

I've never gotten a satisfactory response as to whatever happened to that guy. Last I remember he was trying to get some sort of Bitcoin Conference in Pattaya, largely because he'd have open access to backdooring young Thai ladyboys.

The best part of Bruce Wagner was the "conference" he held in New York. It was billed as this super-organized, polished event (you know,  the same overselling of nearly everything Bitcoin-related) and the few pictures and "live feed" from the "event" showed it to be a room with a few chairs and tables and was filled with a smattering of people who looked like this was the first thing to break them away from the computer in their mom's basement for the past 10 years. Think LukeJr. An overpromoted dissappointment (much like every star-studded Bitcoin venture since).

But at the same time, I can't fault the optimism - it was new, Wagner was a dedicated con-artist and it seemed as if things were progressing.

It's hard to buy in to the optimism here now, and I'm willing to bet that many of the folks that populate this board, and lauding it as the next coming of Christ, are new to BTC.


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Re: Fundamental Analysis Speculation
by
Shinobi
on 03/05/2013, 00:08:32 UTC
Finally, a sensible, even-keeled understanding of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is not going to bring a new world order.

Bitcoin is not going to bring down the Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin, or more likely a successor (which isn't so limited in available coins), will provide utility in allowing for pseudonymity with online transactions - a true equivalent of cash-in-envelopes transactions for the internet. And for this reason will hold some value.

ElectricMucus - what is your opinion on BTC and it's price in general. I'm asking because you're the most efervescent here and I really want to know.

It changed very much over the time.
Initially I was your run-of the mill bull, hoping that bitcoin will change the world. Then after witnessing the whole drama surrounding Bruce Wagner, the advent of Bitcoinica I became very bearish. That attitude hasn't changed since. Still I kind of anticipated this bubble, although I didn't really capitalize as much on it ("only" 10x before the pop, which I have increased some since). You guessed it I think we are still in Bubble territory.
I became largely annoyed by the thing we call the cargo cult: Guys playing financial experts, playing monopoly man and chanting the gospel of Bitcoin to be the biggest best thing ever.

I don't really believe in things like Bitpay, other payment processing, Bitcoin ATMs, Bitcoin "Supernodes" or Bitcoin stock exchanges. I think Bitcoin is an incredible useful tool as a financing model for non-profit websites, small webhosts, oh and of course Silk Road and the rest of the online black market. I also like Satoshi Dice and Seals with Clubs, great. Bitcoin has already found it's niche. It can be incredibly successful in it, possibly it can even sustain prices like we have seen this month in a few years.
But the gold-rush mentality has to stop. Bitcoin currently doesn't work as a currency not because it has insufficient market cap but because the crazy price swings make it unsuited to use it as such unless absolutely necessary.

That is as I would like Bitcoin to be, idealistically. For me personally the more dumb money there is in it the better. The volatility is incredibly predictable which is great for my way of trading, I kind of expect it to last as long as the current paradigm of the hype way of doing things holds.
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Re: BFL shipping announcement, what about BTC price?
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 16:03:04 UTC
Newsflash: most people don't believe in BTC. This is a casino. If the volume of investment currently in BTC was made by people who believed in BTC, Mt. Gox wouldn't still be running the show.

It's allowed to continue because the volatility posed by such a shoddy and centralized exchange is precisely rollercoaster needed by the gamblers to play their hand. Everyone knows Mt. Gox is dirty, but they don't care because they are hoping to ride their coattails to quick profit.

... but those people didn't really believe in btc in the first place, they are just in for the quick buck and will lose out in the end.

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Re: smart or dumb?
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 15:55:08 UTC
Wow Wuji,

I think you need to pitch yourself to join Warren Buffet's employ. Even he could use a mentor like you.

How can anyone really be shocked something based on speculation and greed which is overvalued is overpriced?  I remember when Greenspan spoke of Irrational Exhuberance and the world laughed at him then cried over the dot com bubble, I was day trading and shorting and made 100s of thousands.  I remember telling grandma not to spend $1000s on those "collectible" beanie babies which are now worth nothing.  I bet people thought tulips would never run out of style.  I remember calling credit default swaps stupid gambling and pointing out even those that invented them can't explain how it works.  I remember asking my poor Uncle who lost all his stock in Enron to explain how their system could continue to work forever and he had no answers pre-crash.
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Re: What a coincidence, value plummets and MT. Gox magically lags.
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 15:49:43 UTC
I think its because its intentionally built to mitigate flash sell-offs, so MtGox can front-run and unload their coins at the front of the line. Front-running is a *guaranteed* occurrence here, and MtGox doesn't even forbid their employees from holding BTC.

Come on folks, you are being played by Mr. Karpeles. For the BTC community to not have moved past such an obvious front-running operation is truly a product of a gathering of magic.


That's because MtGox can only handle 36 transactions per second:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1cc72b/the_maximum_number_of_trades_mt_gox_can_handle/

as more an more orders come in the lag builds up.
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Re: The bear market is on....
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 14:23:52 UTC
Confidence shatters. It's a long slide down folks.
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Topic OP
What a coincidence, value plummets and MT. Gox magically lags.
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 13:51:59 UTC
Come on folks, you are being played by Mr. Karpeles. For the BTC community to not have moved past such an obvious front-running operation is truly a product of a gathering of magic.
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Re: Bitcoin ATM - Jeff Berwick (Dollar Vigilante) official withdrawal
by
Shinobi
on 02/05/2013, 13:36:44 UTC
He supposedly had a "top" financial advisor of this caliber, yet signed on to a project without recognition of the complex rules surrounding money transmission? He sounds about as mature and grounded in reality as the 23-year olds he sought to do business with.

Hilarious stuff.

Quote
I then went to San Diego last week to nail down the final specifics with the two young entrepreneurs and flew in my top financial advisor, a past CFO of numerous billion dollar companies who has done business for decades worldwide, and what we uncovered was that this was not going to be as simple as we had hoped.
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Re: How long until Oprah discusses Bitcoin? What effect will it have on the price?
by
Shinobi
on 01/05/2013, 21:14:37 UTC
She'll talk about it when they become accessible, liquid and easily kept safe. The Bitcoin community has failed to achieve any of these goals in significant measure, because there is money to be made by exploiting these weaknesses.
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Re: manipulation and collusion in btc pricing
by
Shinobi
on 01/05/2013, 21:08:35 UTC
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GOX is NOT Bitcoins

But it is.
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Re: manipulation and collusion in btc pricing
by
Shinobi
on 01/05/2013, 21:05:50 UTC
This is it in a nutshell. Bitcoin is an experiment that has served to reveal, among many lessons, the necessity of regulation, despite the wet dreaming of the anarchists/libertarians.


Market manipulation like this is illegal in other markets, but not here.  Also, add in the small market cap and this is almost a guaranteed way to make money.
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Re: Request for Satoshi
by
Shinobi
on 30/04/2013, 00:09:47 UTC
I think the time has come to exit the closet from which I have hidden for the last 4 years.

I am Satoshi.

In the tradition of my culture, I answer your question with a Koan. Study this deeply and the answer will become clear to you:


Such is the nature of life,
His master is his only adherent.
Underneath the Cherry Tree,
The student ponders the meaning of the the moon.

Teacher before have only positioned
Heaven as their only goal,
Even as the lotus leaf meanders along the stream.


Forget that which you know, said Shidoshi
Use what is now before you.
Can you hear the sound of prosperity?
Kindness is the note of harmony.

Unless you listen intently to that which is in you,
Peace will never blossom under the Cherry Tree.
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Right now: Are we just before the big "boom" for Bitcoins?
by
Shinobi
on 29/04/2013, 23:59:26 UTC
Circlejerk alert
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Re: [poll] Is the correction over?
by
Shinobi
on 28/04/2013, 03:36:36 UTC
I love it. This cracks me up. All these "TA" gurus like to sound knowledgeable with their "oscillations", "triangle", and "side knife" bunk.
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: [REQ] MagicalTux please desist from live TV interviews
by
Shinobi
on 28/04/2013, 01:19:50 UTC
The shock is not that he is expected to be conversant in English, the shock is at the astoundingly poor judgment exhibited by him to even appear. This guy controls 80% of the Bitcoin's liquidity and these is how they present themselves?

The cult of Bitcoin has you apologists bending over backwards to explain away this trainwreck, eh? Good god.

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Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Bitcoin outgrowing Bitcointalk?
by
Shinobi
on 27/04/2013, 05:35:47 UTC
I think you are kidding yourselves thinking that there are significant communities discussing Bitcoin outside of this forum.
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Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Wallet Hack on 4/25
by
Shinobi
on 27/04/2013, 05:27:03 UTC
Thank you for the thoughtful reply. What I think, however, that you are missing in your comparison between BTC and electronic fiat  payment systems - and which is absolutely fundamental to why such fiat systems hold consumer confidence - is that there are "consumer protections" built-in to the electronic fiat infrastructure: reversibility of transfers, limited liability for fraud, etc. Whether we admit it to it or not, we use our credit cards with confidence because of the transaction protection built-in (and for which we admittedly pay a steep price in the form of high interest rates).

Admittedly, the transaction of fiat in its traditional form as cold, hard cash does not carry this benefit, and in this way, is identical to BTC in irreversibility. But BTC shares the worst of both worlds - the ease of theft introduced by the digital medium in which it exists and through which it is transferred and the fact that, for all practical purposes, it only exists in this medium.

The average person knows how to protect paper currency - hiding it in his pocket. If the average corporation continues to struggling with preserving data integrity, how can we expect an individual to safeguard his/her Bitcoins or, as importantly, feel comfortable enough in the safety of the medium to invest significant value?

This is why I feel that Bitcoin's success will have to come at the hands of a well-funding backing that can develop mature infrastructure. If we rely on a room of engineers in an office suite in Tokyo to be the de facto standard of security, along with a few open-source/not-for-profit organizations, then there really isn't much to offer the mainstream. But of course, this flies in the face of the anarcho-libertarian wet dream of a decentralized currency.



I would side with you at times on this Shinobi, but then you need to really step back and realize the lack of understanding of most things that people engage with on a daily basis.  You use VISA and pay your bill at the end of every month, but very very very few people understand the mechanics behind credit card transactions, payments via the ACH rails or anything else involved with day to day financial life in 2013.  Yet there are trillions of dollars spent each year by people typing in their passwords to online bank accounts and pull pieces of plastic out of their wallet that is representative of fiat money (which is a whole other rabbit hole altogether).
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: Wallet Hack on 4/25
by
Shinobi
on 27/04/2013, 01:21:56 UTC
I read a thread like this and it just blows my mind that anyone thinks that Bitcoin will ever move away from a fringe casino hobby.
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Re: In the long run, bitcoin will be worth $0.
by
Shinobi
on 26/04/2013, 12:18:17 UTC
Tesla, you are right. But the ideological allure of a "crypto" currency, i.e.  the anarcho-libertarian wet dream of decentralization, is the one aspect that most assuredly won't be part of the digital currency that ultimately becomes successful. That's why so many folks are butthurt. Infrastructure is necessary and the deep pockets necessary to maintain it - the kind that can only come from state sponsorship of some sort or shape - is becoming more and more obvious. Without it Bitcoin remains a fringe speculation game with two-bit exchanges seasonally arising and dying and wild-west-style robberies remaining the norm. The only paradigm-shift I see coming from "crypto" currency, is that the state sponsorship needed to maintain viability and confidence in the currency may shift from that of the nation-state to a corporate entity. It will serve to make direct the dynamic that is, in effect, already in place.

Don't any of you find it ironic that the results of Bitcoin debacles (like Bitcoinica and others) has been for the victims to seek the courts' help for redress? Is that begging for oversight and regulation, or what?!