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Showing 20 of 142 results by Strange Vlad
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 02/11/2013, 06:02:21 UTC
That Cube is exactly 100x as powerful as USB Block Eruptor, which also used to be sold for 1.99BTC not so long ago.
Only in Bitcoinland... Smiley
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 02/11/2013, 05:18:43 UTC
I have a question is there a AsicMiner cube from you freidcat

http://www.wtcr.ca/catalog/product/bm-ambec-01

Wow, something new!  Or is it just 3 blades + PSU + hub, packed in a box?
Anyway, glad to see that AM can still offer competetive pricing with gen.1 hardware.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 01/11/2013, 19:57:28 UTC
Don't have the exact quote, but didn't friedcat say that multiple teams were developing in parallel for ASICMINER? That would significantly increase their chances.

Wasn't it Avalon?
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 31/10/2013, 22:05:06 UTC
I think the important thing for AM is "hash density", since deploying new data centers is costly and time consuming. With a 40nm design they could potentially multiply their hashing power by an order of magnitude or more in the same space (cue to the potential need for special cooling solutions).

They don't depend on self-mining though.  There's also franchising as well as sales.

Quote
You point out the price per GH/s as being similar, but is that on a per wafer basis, i.e. without the NRE's, or do you somehow extrapolate the production numbers and include them as well?

I didn't say the price is similar...  Look, I don't know exact numbers of course, but what I wanted to say is that if there were, say, 20x more hashpower per die, but the die costed 5x as much, then the chip would only have 4x greater price efficiency, not 20x. And yes, the costs are greater for both fixed AND recurring costs, so I'm not extrapolating anything.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 31/10/2013, 20:55:29 UTC
IIRC that was AMD's strategy.
Not sure it worked well Tongue

Because x86 is not SHA256  Grin
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 31/10/2013, 20:38:11 UTC
My understanding is that sha256 asics are very simple and basically work in parallel*, so a 130nm design can easily be scaled to a 40nm design by adding more cores.
*I might be wrong about that, but they are connected in some simple way where you can add more cores and not have to tinker too much to make them all work.

This means that for the same sha256 asic design, you should have a performance evolution more or less equivalent to the square of the size reduction from one node to the next (physics permitting - 28nm doing some funky things AFAIK, but 40nm should still be safe).

Actually, the performance increase is even greater than size reduction, because the clock speed is also usually increased.
BUT on the other hand, the production cost for the same die area is MUCH higher for smaller nodes.  NRE costs are also MUCH higher.  Of course, the overall cost per GH/s is still lower, but not that much lower.

P.S. Also, developing smaller node design is not only more expensive, but takes much more time.  For example, at 130nm you can do a full-chip physical simulation, while for 28nm simulating the whole chip would take eternity, so they usually simulate only small parts of the chip, which increases probability of errors and degradations.  The software toolchains are also much more complex and expensive.  That's why 130nm chip can only take a few weeks to develop, while 28nm takes several months at best.  KnC managed to shortcut this by using a standard-cell design (all other existing Bitcoin ASICs are full-custom), but this means that future 28nm chips will be both more cost-efficient and more energy-efficient than KnC.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 31/10/2013, 11:01:55 UTC
If my math his not totally off, a 40nm gen2 will be 10 times as fast as their current 130nm design ((130/40)2=10.5). That means that they can deploy 1PH in the same datacenters they currently use for 100TH. It could be even faster since their first design wasn't optimum.

A single chip might be faster or slower, depending mainly on how physically big it is, but also on many other factors.  So the chip speed is not always proportional to chip area divided by a square of feature size.  But it doesn't matter anyway.

What does matter is cost efficiency (cost per GH/s) and energy efficiency (J/GH).  The former affects how cheap we can potentially sell the HW (and how much do we earn from a given retail price), while the latter determines how much hashpower can fit in any given datacenter.  In both cases the math is not so simple, especially when we add NRE costs and volume savings into the equation.

It is important to remember to avoid randomly entering panic mode, thinking that 130nm is totally worthless compared to 28nm, because the latter is exactly 21.556 times better.
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Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 30/10/2013, 01:58:19 UTC
I'm tipping a 27% increase, or ~495 million.

For it to be as low as 27%, the green line needs to drop below 2.0% in the next couple of days.  I doubt that passionately.
(the picture below is being updated automatically)

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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 29/10/2013, 21:15:44 UTC
It certainly seems to me like nothing you can buy right now can make ROI when measured in BTC, in which case the logical buyer should just buy BTC instead.

Yes.  And it's not even close to ROI, because for now hardware demand greatly exceeds supply.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 27/10/2013, 22:10:43 UTC
I'm staying too.  Not because I'm too confident, but because it's just too late for me to sell at this point.  My logic is telling me to stop losses in this extremely uncertain situation, but my emotions are urging me to hope that AM will somehow get back on track.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 27/10/2013, 13:09:05 UTC
So, today is 27.10 and the time in China is 21:09 (that's 10/27 and 9:09 PM if you are an American Cheesy )
I hope we'll see the report in the next less than 3 hours.  Friedcat's working late, he sure is a busy person...
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 15/10/2013, 14:28:33 UTC
I think it should be simply a price that maximizes profit. Selling more for a lower price or selling less for a higher price. Something in between. Asicminer cant change the buyers behaviour. If they dont buy here they buy elsewhere. And it doesnt matter how much preorders are floating around. Thats something the buyers seems not to consider.

To maximize profit is to set the price (at least) as high as possible for the product to still be selling in whatever volume is being produced.  I'm a genius.
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Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 15/10/2013, 08:17:08 UTC
Possible they might just be observing the network growth and determining efficiency
4.75 Years for 1 and a month for 2
http://thegenesisblock.com/bitcoin-network-doubles-2-phs-four-weeks-first-1-phs-took-4-7-years


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.msg3339745#msg3339745
Jutrauls post +1

One more week and it will be 3 PH/s. Grin
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 15/10/2013, 05:46:29 UTC
So I've bought my shares at around 2.6 on average (I bought in like 4 batches).
Now they are well under 1.0, plus I've got around 0.3 per share for divs.
Well, shit.
I guess there's little point in selling now anyway, so for now I'll just keep holding and hoping.

Lesson learned: investment is not a game for casual amateurs.
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 12/10/2013, 06:11:50 UTC
I wonder, does the board have more info than the public, or exactly the same info?
Of course they have access to more info.  But I don't think they tell us less than we need to know.
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Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: The problem with atheism.
by
Strange Vlad
on 10/10/2013, 12:15:35 UTC
Let me start by making it clear that I am an atheist.

The problem I have with the atheist agenda is that is stops at 'the non existence of God' - the same logic is not applied consistently to the whole of the human condition.

If I examine my life and use this same 'spaghetti monster' logic, I am drawn to the same conclusions about all my actions and activities - they are all as equally pointless and irrational as worshiping God.

If I rationally examine my sense of self I realize that it is just a genetic innovation - it encourages self preservation - genetic selfishness creates a genetically induced illusion of self worth.

My desire to survive is itself as delusional as a belief in God - pain and my fear of pain are a genetically induced survival mechanism I am in thrall to.

If I believe in God and survive then it is no different to not believing in God and surviving - nature will select for survival.

But my actual survival is meaningless whether I believe in God or otherwise.

This is the only conclusion that can be logically formed from a real examination of life.

Atheism is merely another tribal display - a peacock's tail trying to attract a mate through a verbal display of intelligence.

Sorry, I didn't read the thread.

But yes, our lives are totally pointless and meaningless.  So what?  Just follow your instincts and try to have as much pleasure as possible.  That's it, really.

An old wise man once asked a young boy: "Do you know why are we all living on this planet?"
"We are just hanging around to waste our time, you know" — answered the boy, without stopping to play with his smartphone.
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Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 09/10/2013, 18:57:51 UTC
Thanks for the update, friedcat.

We need to get out of the ASIC stone age.

Smaller node chips cost more money and time to develop.  Switching nodes is like shifting gears: you want to shift not too late nor too early but just in time.  Some have decided to shift earlier (or even start on the second gear), and friedcat decided to shift later.  We shall see who got closer to "just in time".

I can't imagine the Herculean workload you are undertaking right now TAT... no one can say that you aren't earning your management fee! Good luck!

He is indeed.  That's why I decided not to transfer my shares right away, but to leave them alone to be auto-converted to direct.  When things settle down a bit, I will import them back.  You know, just to relieve at least my tiny bit of strain on TAT and Ethan.  And as additional benefit, I get to choose the best exchange later than the crowd (could have chosen BitFunder and have additional worry now).  Maybe another exchange appears.  Or maybe I just wait till the Colored Coins are finished and friedcat converts direct shares to them.

I'm not sure a hidden service wouldn't work just as well.  Somebody should just buy Burnside's code and use Tor.  

They wouldn't.  Hidden services are too slow for trading, and too cumbersome for serious investors.  Besides, they would imply association with the black markets, which wouldn't help building trust.

Colored Coins, on the other hand, are elegant, efficient, fast, simple, secure, awesome and sexy.  Only not quite finished yet... Cry
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Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 07/10/2013, 04:52:05 UTC
Yeah, finally here again.

I had a question:
As an ASICMINER-PT holder on btct.co, I'm going to get my shares as direct shares soon.  But I don't wish to keep them direct, as I prefer being able to buy/sell quickly.  So which exchange would you recommend to transfer AM shares to?  I'd be very grateful to hear some kind of comparison of existing axcanges/pass-through options.

Thanks in advance!
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Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 29/09/2013, 12:25:49 UTC
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Board Securities
Re: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It
by
Strange Vlad
on 29/09/2013, 12:22:38 UTC
Could someone remind me the address of the public AM hash-rate meter, please?  I've lost the link Sad