Search content
Sort by
Showing 19 of 19 results by baltasarlicht
Bitcoin sentiment index based on 100% social data - what do you think?
Re: [BOUNTY] Predictive Data Intelligence for Cryptocurrency - Bitcurate
maybe this is something for you:
https://www.augmento.ai/bitcoin-sentiment/
https://www.augmento.ai/bitcoin-sentiment/
that is not what sentiment means!
the real sentiment is seen in the actual market and on the actual charts. everything else is just white noise like a fart in the wind. on all these platforms like bitcointalk and reddit, there are always a lot of trolls who come out of their hiding whenever there is a price drop. remember kuwakduck? these people are the ones you think are the "sentiment" and it is not the first time someone makes this mistake. that's why they keep coming back to fool you.
the real sentiment is seen in the actual market and on the actual charts. everything else is just white noise like a fart in the wind. on all these platforms like bitcointalk and reddit, there are always a lot of trolls who come out of their hiding whenever there is a price drop. remember kuwakduck? these people are the ones you think are the "sentiment" and it is not the first time someone makes this mistake. that's why they keep coming back to fool you.
For sure there is a lot of bots and crap.
But we ARE getting influenced by that. There are many examples that show that also "fake" information has an effect on public opinion:
look at propaganda in the 1930s 1940s, look at the rise of PR (just google the relationship between Freud and Bernays, the founder of PR) or the last US election.
The stories we read and hear do form our opinion even if they are faked or even if we know they are not true (recommended reading: "thinking fast and slow" by Nobel Prize winner Kahnemann).
However, I admit that taking action based on sentiment is a whole different topic.
of course. i am not denying the influence that FUD has always had on this market specially since it is still a small one filled with weak hands. my example was a well known user around here who have been very active in spreading FUD.
but the thing about FUD is that it loses its effectiveness the more it is used. take the China news for example in 2012-2013 when they first said China banned bitcoin and then in following years the panic was big but in 2017 when they said China banned bitcoin nobody gave fuck anymore. in 2018 they tried it again and the news didn't even spread. in 2019 you no longer even heard about it anymore.
interesting perspective regarding the deterioration of the effect of FUD! I suppose this holds true for all types of newd
that is not what sentiment means!
the real sentiment is seen in the actual market and on the actual charts. everything else is just white noise like a fart in the wind. on all these platforms like bitcointalk and reddit, there are always a lot of trolls who come out of their hiding whenever there is a price drop. remember kuwakduck? these people are the ones you think are the "sentiment" and it is not the first time someone makes this mistake. that's why they keep coming back to fool you.
the real sentiment is seen in the actual market and on the actual charts. everything else is just white noise like a fart in the wind. on all these platforms like bitcointalk and reddit, there are always a lot of trolls who come out of their hiding whenever there is a price drop. remember kuwakduck? these people are the ones you think are the "sentiment" and it is not the first time someone makes this mistake. that's why they keep coming back to fool you.
For sure there is a lot of bots and crap.
But we ARE getting influenced by that. There are many examples that show that also "fake" information has an effect on public opinion:
look at propaganda in the 1930s 1940s, look at the rise of PR (just google the relationship between Freud and Bernays, the founder of PR) or the last US election.
The stories we read and hear do form our opinion even if they are faked or even if we know they are not true (recommended reading: "thinking fast and slow" by Nobel Prize winner Kahnemann).
However, I admit that taking action based on sentiment is a whole different topic.
All this data is just a lagging indicator. If you were around those Reddit posts back in Dec 2018 when we hit $3100 people were saying that BTC will hit 3 digits sometime in the next few months. Same with the June 2019 bull market, people were saying that it will hit a New ATH before it goes to $100K
Right now people are saying we will hit $5000. And there was a slight rally since then. So based on this data you can't really trade off it because people start complaining about BTC after it falls and people praise BTC after it rallies, so unless you got some time machine it's useless reading those posts.
That's why you need to learn to trade on your own. Because that way you can't blame other people for your losses.
Right now people are saying we will hit $5000. And there was a slight rally since then. So based on this data you can't really trade off it because people start complaining about BTC after it falls and people praise BTC after it rallies, so unless you got some time machine it's useless reading those posts.
That's why you need to learn to trade on your own. Because that way you can't blame other people for your losses.
You are right, in many cases it is laggin. I think we should take a statistical perspective though. How many times does it need to be right for you to make profits?
For example this backtest from yesterday is based on the same data input
https://i.imgur.com/823IHWy.png
I assume you don't trust other people's backtest... If so, download the sentiment scripts I used, check & control the parameters yourself:https://github.com/augmento-ai/quant-reseach
(scripts are in th folder called examples. you need to run them in the order of the numbers from 0 to 4)
https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoMarkets/comments/dbwlrj/sentiment_just_hit_rock_bottom_reddit_bitcointalk/
Reddit & Bitcointalk have most bears but Twitter stays cool.
Reddit & Bitcointalk have most bears but Twitter stays cool.
Bearish sentiment across Twitter, Reddit & Bitcointalk has not been that high since Dec 2018 + folks start calling the bottom:
https://i.imgur.com/9qZR4Ta.png
https://i.imgur.com/9qZR4Ta.png
BTC bearish sentiment breaks 2018 levels & folks start calling the bottom
Bearish sentiment across Twitter, Reddit & Bitcointalk not been that high since Dec 2018!
And folks start calling the bottom:
https://i.imgur.com/9qZR4Ta.png
And folks start calling the bottom:
https://i.imgur.com/9qZR4Ta.png
Bitcoin's price has dropped significanty, and there is a great deal of FUD and pessimism in the market.
The Fear and Greed index is at 12 today https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/ - close to as low as it has ever been.
The Fear and Greed index is at 12 today https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/ - close to as low as it has ever been.
ah that's nothing. we got down to at least 5 back in august. i agree that sentiment is getting there though---lots of people around here are becoming legit fearful. there's also lots of bears cheering on lower prices.
Strangley or not though, I'm not worried. For me this just seems like part of the plan.
that's one anecdotal indication that we haven't seen the bottom yet.
which is also in line with the index only hitting 12 so far......Bearish sentiment across Twitter, Reddit & Bitcointalk not been that high since Dec 2018! And people start calling the bottom again:
https://i.imgur.com/9qZR4Ta.png
Re: Hi testers: dashboard with long short signal for BTC based on sentiment
You use tensorflow?
Cool AI 😎
Cool AI 😎
Thanks!
Nope do you?
BTC bearish sentiment breaks 2018 levels & folks start calling the bottom again
Long/short signal for BTC based on social sentiment:
https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Re: Sentiment analysis or Technical analysis, which one is best to make good trading
for a live trading long short signal based on sentiment you can sign up for a trial here:
https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
Hi testers: dashboard with long short signal for BTC based on sentiment
Hi all,
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://i.imgur.com/VWFNmC8.jpg
We would be happy to hear what you think and were looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://i.imgur.com/VWFNmC8.jpg
We would be happy to hear what you think and were looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
Re: A hidden markov model for sentiment prediction and price forecasting
Looks advanced what you are doing there.
You might want to check augmento.ai
API with 93 sentiments measured from Twitter, Reddit, Bitcointalkt:
http://api-dev.augmento.ai/v0.1/documentation#rest-api-endpoints
Quickstart to backtest automated strategies based on sentiment:
https://github.com/augmento-ai/quant-reseach
You might want to check augmento.ai
API with 93 sentiments measured from Twitter, Reddit, Bitcointalkt:
http://api-dev.augmento.ai/v0.1/documentation#rest-api-endpoints
Quickstart to backtest automated strategies based on sentiment:
https://github.com/augmento-ai/quant-reseach
Re: Looking for testers for dashboard with sentiment signal (BTC)
Hi ayou
the dashboard is super simple. That's the whole idea behind what we built: making a complex (quant) method accessible for everyone.
Feel free to give it a try: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Would be interested to hear what you think.
the dashboard is super simple. That's the whole idea behind what we built: making a complex (quant) method accessible for everyone.
Feel free to give it a try: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Would be interested to hear what you think.
Looking for testers for dashboard with sentiment signal (BTC)
Hi all,
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://i.imgur.com/VWFNmC8.jpg
We would be happy to hear what you think and were looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
https://i.imgur.com/UEGvN6J.png
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://i.imgur.com/VWFNmC8.jpg
We would be happy to hear what you think and were looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
Looking for testers for dashboard with sentiment signal (BTC)
Hi all,
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
https://imgur.com/t1QgAXx
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://imgur.com/Bba9t6z
We would be happy to hear what you think and we’re looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
We just launched a dashboard with a Bull & Bear trading signal.
https://imgur.com/t1QgAXx
So far only quants use our data. With the dashboard, our goal is to make a quantitative sentiment signal that is accessible for discretionary traders, too.
Some background on our technology:
We spent the last months training an AI that identifies 93 emotions (FOMO, Bullish/Bearish, optimism, FUD, ....) and topics (hacks, scam, technical analysis,...) in social media data (Reddit/Twitter/Bitcointalk) in real-time.
This is the full picture of what our AI detects in online crypto discussions:
https://imgur.com/Bba9t6z
We would be happy to hear what you think and we’re looking for testers who want to test the signal (for free) and provide feedback.
You can sign up here: https://www.augmento.ai/sentiment-signal-signup/
Looking forward to learning if you find this useful
Cheers
What do you think about this strategy?
In the backtest, the strategy made 24x BTC over a period of 2 years.
Do you know if this test was done properly?
https://i.imgur.com/bTRPmEc.png
I think it's interesting that the returns are not correlated with the 2017 bubble ---->
https://medium.com/hackernoon/how-to-build-a-bitcoin-sentiment-analysis-strategy-yielding-2400-returns-5dec35da8e81
In the backtest, the strategy made 24x BTC over a period of 2 years.
Do you know if this test was done properly?
https://i.imgur.com/bTRPmEc.png
I think it's interesting that the returns are not correlated with the 2017 bubble ---->
https://medium.com/hackernoon/how-to-build-a-bitcoin-sentiment-analysis-strategy-yielding-2400-returns-5dec35da8e81