I came across this video: "Artificial Intelligence Bitcoin price prediction. Using machine learning to predict the future price of bitcoin." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O7GMHzC1PbU I hope you find this useful.
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BoardTrading Discussion
Re: How Many Cryptocurrencies Are Simply Following the Market?
An interesting site (your link). As I see it, ETH correlation decreased a few times in the past months, and even went to negative amounts, but every time it eventually returned to near 1.0 numbers.
The correlation between BTC and alts is very complicated IMHO, and it used to be different in the old times. Nowadays most of the alts seem to be closely related to BTC, and it has heavily damaged us altcoin hodlers when BTC is so bearish.
Re: Cryptocurrency Social Sentiment Trading - Resource
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bene_gesserit
on 08/12/2018, 21:18:04 UTC
I see what you mean.
But it might also be true that there is some correlation between the sentiment scores and the price movements. This is what the guy in the video said, right? For example, look at this: https://enroyd.com/BTC_Sentiment/ The sentiment score decreased when the prices decreased.
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BoardTrading Discussion
Statistical Arbitrage Trding
by
bene_gesserit
on 08/12/2018, 20:45:44 UTC
Hi,
does anybody have experience with "statistical arbitrage trading"?
I came across this video, but I'm not sure if this stuff makes sense or not:
Re: Cryptocurrency Social Sentiment Trading - Resource
by
bene_gesserit
on 08/12/2018, 20:31:14 UTC
Ok, these are all very valid points.
But don't you think sentiment could be used as an additional factor? Couldn't you try to trade based on a combination of sentiment scores and other technical indicators, like RSI, Bollinger Bands, etc. ?
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BoardTrading Discussion
Cryptocurrency Social Sentiment Trading - Resource
A decreasing correlation IMO is not a good indicator for a rally. In fact, most of the traders don't even pay attention to correlation coefficients. Most of them focus on determining the current market sentiment(which I believe is biased on the site you have linked OP) and news. Even if correlation coefficients go down, I would not swap my altcoin portfolio to bitcoin unless I see it profitable to do so.
Thanks for your reply! Why do you think the sentiment is biased? Could you please elaborate? The price seems to follow the evolution of the sentiment score (or the other way around.... who knows): https://enroyd.com/btc_sentiment/
I've been trying to think of a strategy that combines correlation and sentiment... well, and also the price predictions by sites like enroyd or walletinvestor. Not sure if this makes sense....?
I was wondering if a decreasing correlation could be indicative of a BTC rally. Do you think this makes sense? Would you swap alt for BTC when the correlation coefficients go down? Does anybody have any experience with this?
Thanks! Bene
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BoardSpeculation
Re: Bitcoin back to $7000 today?
by
bene_gesserit
on 17/08/2018, 18:03:46 UTC
The market sentiment is (still) too negative for a bull run. Look: https://enroyd.com/btc_sentiment/ You remember that study published by Yale? https://cointelegraph.com/news/yale-research-proposes-factors-for-crypto-price-prediction This is what they found out: "Apart from the momentum effect, the Yale researchers mention the factor of investor attention, which is a correlation between crypto prices and the number of posts and queries for cryptocurrencies on social media and in search engines."
Hence, as long as the market sentiment doesn't improve, I don't think we'll see a huge bull run.
What do you guys think?
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BoardBeginners & Help
Re: day trading
by
bene_gesserit
on 07/08/2018, 18:09:12 UTC
I'd recommend Enroyd.com. It's not about technical analysis, but those guys use Machine Learning. I use it to spot interesting coins and trends (or possible trend changes).
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BoardTrading Discussion
Re: Who believes in HODLING?
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bene_gesserit
on 04/08/2018, 21:30:36 UTC
Hodl or die trying!
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BoardTrading Discussion
Re: Bitcoin now below 8000 time to buy now
by
bene_gesserit
on 04/08/2018, 21:29:00 UTC
The market sentiment doesn't look very bullish today: https://enroyd.com/btc_sentiment/ But Buffet told us to buy when there is blood on the streets, right?