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Showing 20 of 27 results by bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 12/04/2018, 05:00:36 UTC
Im still planning on leaving, but my plans to accumulate certain altcoins were interrupted and im waiting for the next dip. My bitcoin accumulation is over.

TERA, do you mind sharing which altcoins you are accumulating?
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 19/03/2018, 15:38:08 UTC

Not good news, but I am frankly most intrigued by the Google translate "fucking babies"  - anybody fluent in Russian here to help please?


Actually that's not Russian, but Ukrainian famous phrase literally meaning "Such [fucking] shit, kids".

Thanks!
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 19/03/2018, 07:05:11 UTC
New post and it is bad news:

As that sucks everything went. The scenario I proposed is on the verge of failure. To continue it, the price should immediately turn around. Or to turn sharply around $ 6000.

As we are:
- Under the daily sma200 (punching down)
- Under the weekly sma20
- Under daily sma20
- Under the long-term trend (punching down)

The most sad first and last fact.

This means that when the daily smash of 200 is broken down, the medium-term picture breaks down. And the next support is on the lower historical trend - $ 3000.

A bullish long-term picture breaks when it breaks down $ 3,000.

Taka fucking babies.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/PjYa65fU/

everything is going to sink,including bitcoin ,let us come back 4 years  later when the next halving happens.

Not good news, but I am frankly most intrigued by the Google translate "fucking babies"  - anybody fluent in Russian here to help please?
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Re: Mew feature request: quotes of ignored users stay ignored
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 22/02/2018, 04:39:20 UTC
I request a new feature that makes ignored posts stay ignored when they get quoted.

The SMF software displays a post you ignored if it gets quoted.

Great idea, it will be especially useful for the Wall Observer thread.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 21/02/2018, 04:44:11 UTC
Support wont do anything about it unless I sign a message with a bitcoin address but I never posted one. It's kind of an arcane policy.


Ridiculous isn't it? I lost my account too, had to create this one. No one will do jack shit for me because I haven't signed an address.... it's simply asinine.

I also cannot get back control of my old account.
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 15/02/2018, 21:49:38 UTC

Pretty sure he wouldn't mention LTC if he wiped it off his ass.

I know Wink. But other than that, I am not that sure what he means.
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 15/02/2018, 20:02:53 UTC
Masterluc has just posted something very cryptic, I am afraid even Russian native speakers may have problems decoding.

Дecятoчкa мoя, cepeбpянaя
Ha зoлoтoм блюдe пocтaвлeннaя!

Google translate:

Ten of my, silver
On a gold platter set!

My take it he celebrate tens and says that it paves the way to much higher numbers. But some people think it was a prediction of btc/ltc ratio, lol. Wonder what you make out of it. I wish our revered prophet was a bit more specific. On the other thing, crossing 10k, and so vigorously, cannot be a bad thing Wink.
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Re: Financiers ‘keep skills sharp’ by trading cryptocurrencies
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 15/02/2018, 19:43:22 UTC
I don't particularly believe there's much or any skill involved in trading crypto, whereas there is a tad with shares as they're somewhat calmer and more measured.

Crypto is so relentless, shameless and chaotic that I'd assume anyone applying principles learnt elsewhere will get their arse handed to them rapidly.
There are definitely skills involved in trading crypto, but they are crypto specific skills. You learn them only from years of trading crypto. You can't just use your experience from trading stocks. An example is always buying at a certain volume and percentage drop, and learning how walls lure buyers and sellers.

TERA,  sounds very interesting. Can you be more specific? Especially how walls lure buyers and sellers. I'm trying to learn to trade crypto better and you seem to be one of the best traders on this forum Smiley.

Without meaning to jack someone else's answer, (I'd be interested if TERA can add more to it) with walls it seems to just be a case of a psychological phenomenon. When there's a big buy wall that makes people think there's a lot of buy pressure and strength so they put their offers in above that buy wall, and then the reverse with a sell wall. More often than not these walls are never even touched and if they are they're often pulled before being filled.

Thanks, Jimbo. But I can also imagine an alternative scenario, e.g. I am a whale and want to buy a lot of bitcoins without raising price to much, so I wait until there is a big sell wall, and voila, I can have my position without (much) slippage. I was not following prices long enough to know which scenario occurs more often. Knowing this would be one of the "crypto specific" trading skills, I guess Wink.
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Re: Financiers ‘keep skills sharp’ by trading cryptocurrencies
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 15/02/2018, 13:42:48 UTC
I don't particularly believe there's much or any skill involved in trading crypto, whereas there is a tad with shares as they're somewhat calmer and more measured.

Crypto is so relentless, shameless and chaotic that I'd assume anyone applying principles learnt elsewhere will get their arse handed to them rapidly.
There are definitely skills involved in trading crypto, but they are crypto specific skills. You learn them only from years of trading crypto. You can't just use your experience from trading stocks. An example is always buying at a certain volume and percentage drop, and learning how walls lure buyers and sellers.

TERA,  sounds very interesting. Can you be more specific? Especially how walls lure buyers and sellers. I'm trying to learn to trade crypto better and you seem to be one of the best traders on this forum Smiley.
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Re: [Bearish] Bitcoin Risks Crashing to $900 If Dot-Com Mania Is Any Guide
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 14/02/2018, 03:26:25 UTC
We must be really in a bear market, if you add "Bearish" disclaimer to a thread about bitcoin possibly going to $900 - so that nobody think it is a bullish scenario, LOL.

BTW, Amazon trades now around 300x of its post-crash price. So people like us, who are in it long-term and firmly believe in bitcoin's future, have no reasons to be worried.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 10/02/2018, 04:00:33 UTC
Ive been saying for months there would be a bounce from 5.5K to the low teens before proceeding with the bear market. The next bottom after that would be 3K. However, it could take a really long time and there would be other bounces off 5.5K first.

Ya sure I remember at 20K this board had said bitcoin had matured yada yada and the 'big players were accumulating and manipulating it down to 16K'. As if the world's brightest investors hadnt bought at 1K and below and were suddenly interested at buying at a 1600% premium on top of a bubble at ATH. lol. Dont buy all the bull

TERA, thank you for your answer. You also mentioned elsewhere that "we will see 100k before 1k". So do I understand your prediction correctly: 13-14k bump first (your chart), then bumpy fall to ~3k (about a year?) then another bull to ~100k, and then a mega bear market to ~1k?

This bear market is progressing very fast so far, so I wondered if it is realistic to assume that even *if* we will make another lower low, it will be over by a year's end?
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 09/02/2018, 15:36:13 UTC
Last time it breached the 200EMA within 9 weeks of ATH was in 2011 and it wasn't as deep.

TERA, you mean a long-term bear market is coming? If so, what is your bottom target: 3.5-4 or closer to the previous ATH, 1.5-2k?

I still believe in at least 13-16k bounce short term, price is recovering nicely so far, albeit slowly. I read the recent price action as an accumulation by big players.
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 05/02/2018, 05:26:02 UTC

Not a comrade, but rather Mr, but will try:

Re 3 and 4 he said the following in his original tongue:

Teкyщee пaдeниe oчeнь xopoшo oтcкчит в paйoн 13000-15000 в кopoткocpoчнoй пepcпeктивe, гдe cмoгyт pacпpoдaтьcя тe, ктo зaкyпилcя пo мoeмy coвeтy, нo yжe ycпeл пpoкляcть вce нa cвeтe и oбмoчить пaмпepcы. Cливaйтecь тaм, пoтoмy чтo этo нe для вac.

Best translation I can conjure:

The current decline might very well re-bounce into the 13000-15000 region (short term), where those who bought on my advice [I assume his advice re buying below 10K], but already cursed everything in the world and peed their pampers would be able to sell. Dump there, because this is not for you [a.k.a you piss your pampers during the 10K-7.7 K move-refers to those who got scared].

Biodom, he is clearly referring here to his earlier advice to "ruthlessly buy" under 10k. I have been learning Russian for many years, but it is not my first language, so I am struggling to understand subtler points, and the Master likes to sounds mysterious at times Wink. So you think this "sell because it is not for you" advise does not mean he thinks we are going much down again after 13-15k, but is more an advice to the "nonbelievers" to sell there, not at the current bottom?

Re: wave 4. ML clearly thinks it is underway, says in comments it should take a couple months.
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 05/02/2018, 02:09:43 UTC

In your opinion where do you think wave 3 would end?


I really like ML earlier analysis, which is also consistent with BETI:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/


as you can see from this, it all depends on timing. If we go there very quickly, 2-3 months (seems completely unlikely now), it would be "only" 60-70k, if it will take longer, will be 100k or more. I know it sounds a bit like a sci-fi now, but if you believe in bitcoin expenontial netwrok growth/price growth theory, something like that should happen. It is also possible that maturing of the markets will cause flatter peaks and dips, this analysis assumes same relative peaks as in 2013. Anyway, according to exponential growth the "fair price" of btc should be around 13k this August, is around 8k now.
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 05/02/2018, 01:45:16 UTC
I hate to say this but at the moment ENKY is looking more accurate than ML. ENKY's last post mentioned that if there would be a drop past the $9500 level it would go down to $7700 then go back to $9500 then into a bear market.

Not looking good guys.

Where does Enky says that? I only found a post where he says 7600-9500 is a support area - is that what you mean?

In his last blog post https://btctrading.wordpress.com/

Quote
I think that this market is headed well above 20000$ in the upcoming weeks/months, for completeness a possible bearish scenario would imply first a drop down to 7500$, a subsequent reaction to 9500$-10000$ before resuming the fall to new lows. This possible bearish scenario would convince me to liquidate all the bitcoins i bought in 2014-2015. As long XBTUSD stays above 9500$ i’m not worried for my long term position.

I got the 7700 bit wrong though, should have said 7500

Wow. Reading his  blog entries we was wrong a lot.

+1, Master has a much better track record than Enky. However, Master's current wave counts seems wrong to me, I mean saying that the historical wave 3 has ended, not its 3rd subwave (i.e. (3)).
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 05/02/2018, 01:20:10 UTC
I hate to say this but at the moment ENKY is looking more accurate than ML. ENKY's last post mentioned that if there would be a drop past the $9500 level it would go down to $7700 then go back to $9500 then into a bear market.

Not looking good guys.

Where does Enky says that? I only found a post where he says 7600-9500 is a support area - is that what you mean?
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 04/02/2018, 18:22:36 UTC
Yeah, why not? it is already at around Fib 61.8
If it goes down much lower, than it is a longer term bear market, not a 4.
If 7600 is A, then B is higher (to around 14K), then C (back to around 8k ), then much higher to wave 5.

I am really confused, ML said that the "historic 3" has ended, he even changed the name of the community to "witnesses of 5" (was 3 before), during the dump to 7.7 he said that it is nothing in comparison with the next correction. So it seems that he thinks that the 2015-2017 bull market has ended. Elsewhere on the side he said he thinks 4 would last only a couple of months, would be strange for a largest scale bear market, the previous one was almost 2 years.

If the dumps end here, in his red circle, and we go up within a couple of months (which I hope), I do not understand why to say that the historic 3 has ended? Then rise to 19k would be just (3) of 3, and the current correction (4) of 3.

Is the reason ML says historic 3 has ended is because we hit, or even went below, 61.8 Fib? Anyway, his current count seems less logical than all his previous ideas, I still think he may adjust it. 
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Re: $50K or $2,900 (???) which comes First/Next?
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 04/02/2018, 06:31:13 UTC
50k first. Then the big crash, below 10k if this year, but perhaps only low teens if in 2019.
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 04/02/2018, 02:32:01 UTC

I have read on Russian forum (https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga) that vanga thinks Wave 4 finished but he gives low probability that we may see lower lows. Being vague in other words and leaving open option that Elliott Wave 4 is not yet over. I think one can watch the daily 200 MA for clarification:


ML does not think the wave 4 has ended. If you click on "show previous comments" below, in the first one Olga asks him how long the wave 4 would last. Lower, Vanga says "likely not a whole year, a couple months, not enough data to tell exactly" (loose translation).

https://vk.com/bitcoin_vanga?z=photo-130254204_456239696%2Falbum-130254204_00%2Frev
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Re: Analysis
by
bitcoin_is_here_to_stay_2
on 04/02/2018, 01:04:38 UTC
Make a screen shot of that graph as ml is now (temporarily?) banned from at least russian version of tradingview.
He says that he does not know why exactly. Maybe some token service term violation or they don't like his ideas [speculative from him].

Re the question of graph interpretation, he posted in comments that he does not have enough info re the structure of 4, but I, personally, don't really care if it is a flat or a hump with 13-14 intermediate top, then retest higher low as long as we are for a longer term ride to 50-100K.

Yeah, he was very vague about 4. I am not even sure whether he means that there would be a bottom below 7k, before we go to 50-100k? One would think that being in wave 4 must (?) imply this, but this part is left blank on the picture.

If we just crawl up along the trendline from 7.7k, which I personally consider most likely, there would be no reason to call it 4? Or is this scenario also considered likely my ML? I wish I knew  Tongue