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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: What happen?
by
blogospheroid
on 18/01/2018, 23:18:01 UTC
It may be because of China NY
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Board Games and rounds
Re: DirectBet Ice Hockey Prediction Game *** Win Free Bets ! *** Free to Enter !
by
blogospheroid
on 07/01/2017, 23:36:41 UTC
New York Rangers 5 @ 6 Columbus Blue Jackets
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Board Games and rounds
Re: DirectBet Basketball Prediction Game *** Win Free Bets ! *** Free to Enter !
by
blogospheroid
on 07/01/2017, 02:42:59 UTC
Memphis Grizzlies 105 @ 116 Golden State Warriors
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Board Games and rounds
Re: DirectBet Basketball Prediction Game *** Win Free Bets ! *** Free to Enter !
by
blogospheroid
on 17/12/2016, 00:00:35 UTC
Charlotte Hornets 104 @ 97 Boston Celtics
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Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][TK] Timekoin Market Open
by
blogospheroid
on 18/02/2014, 05:36:13 UTC
Sincerely asking, how does timekoin solve the byzantine general's problem? From what I have read, it doesn't seem to.
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Board India
Re: Any solutions for a problem?
by
blogospheroid
on 27/12/2013, 09:49:25 UTC
The simplest solution, I think, for a crypto currency to eliminate the exchange as an achilles heel, is to become what was called in the stable coins discussion as a "mordor coin".

i.e. no issuance limit. coin issue being tagged to energy use. i.e. coins being issued as long as it is certain to burn a certain amount of energy. The currency experiences atleast 3 drops in value when the technology transitions from  CPU to GPU, GPU to FPGA, FPGA to ASIC and then stablilizes forever.

The name mordor coin comes from the wasteland of mordor since the incentive is to keep running the mines as long as you have access to energy. It is not a pretty picture, but it is a solution to incentivize people to run their own mines instead of approaching exchanges, whenever the price of the coin increases too much from what people can gain by just running their own machines.



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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: StableCoin
by
blogospheroid
on 26/04/2013, 19:13:58 UTC
Continuing my conversation with Etlase over here.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=179918.msg1948749#msg1948749

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By reducing the velocity of money--a drastic measure. Are you familiar with the MV=PQ equation? Either P (price level) or Q (goods and services available to the economy) could be increasing that results in an increased V (velocity of money) assuming that the M (money supply) is unchanged. You are worried only about P and do not see that Q has an identical effect from the standpoint of transaction fees. Designing a system with some linear idea of how the economy is likely to expand is destined to be wrong. It is not a predictable process by any measure. Adjusting V will not make P stable.

The idea is not to make P totally stable. The idea is to make MV move along a certain growth path, and keep P stable within a certain range. This will be the expectations anchor in the proposed currency, like the certainty of the money supply is with bitcoin


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Then what do you think will happen when people are cut off from trying to spend their money?

If the specs are published and discussed, then anyone joining in a new currency will be aware. It is just like those who buy freicoin even after they are aware of the demurrage.

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If there are more fees being spent and the system encourages it with printing more money, then even more fees will be spent and even more money will be printed until the coin collapses due to hyperinflation.
See the thing is, more fees being paid do not necessarily encourage the system to print more money, at least if we're talking about Decrits. Fees, on their own, have absolutely nothing to do with it.

No, my comparison was not with Decrits. It was with a coin that printed more as transaction fees increased.

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Only the willingness for a large group of people to invest time, hardware, and energy into minting new currency. For that to happen, Decrits must be worth more than their cost to produce. Even if a massively irrational actor decides to inflate the currency, all he has done has turned his effort into coins for other people. He cannot continue this behavior forever.

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There needs to be a written down growth path for some indicator.
If you want instability, sure.


For bitcoin, it is the monetary base itself.

Case-in-point.

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I'm discussing the possibility of using the nominal transaction fees as an indicator.

The term I was looking for and used in the last para - expectations anchor. Every currency will need one.

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Even spam protection throws this off. I would imagine you'd need a minimum transaction fee, Decrits proposes 0.01, so that microtransactions do not tax the network. If microtransactions are popular, this would throw off your indicator by several times as it would see much higher fees than actual activity. "Too many microtransactions this week--LOCK ALL THE COINS!" You could argue to use actual amounts instead, but then you run into the significant problem of off-chain transactions/clearinghouses being left out of your indicator (which is also the case with tx fees).

Nothing can be done about off-chain transactions, those are not visible to the chain. We have to design around them.

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The way I look at it, there is a component of proof-of-work/mordor coin that has to be incorporated into every coin.

It sounds like you think that Decrits doesn't have a proof-of-work component. It does. Maybe you're generalizing. But the whole hyperinflation thing seemed to be directed at it.

No, the hyperinflation point was directed towards a theoritical currency that had a feedback loop that encouraged more coinage as more transactions happened. I don't remember enough offhand about decrits to make such a comment about it.

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The question seems to be how to minimise it and still maintain stability.

I haven't seen you propose any way to minimize it, only how to hamfist a stable price based on incomplete information. What is your plan for this part of the equation? I've twice quoted how Decrits addresses this in this thread. I understand you're still developing your idea and I apologize for being harsh, but all of the concerns you state about what I've proposed are not really concerns and are things I have thought about and designed with in mind. You're using the same, weak arguments that everyone else does after getting an idea of what it is that is incorrect and not even bothering to quote the salient response points. I'd much prefer to argue my actual ideas rather than ones that look poor compared to yours; otherwise we go around in unproductive circles.

My initial idea, as quoted was to have a pure mordor coin during an early phase of bootstrapping and transaction fees level targetting after that, minimising the need for energy after that. A steady growth in transaction fees has a good chance of encouraging some miners to stay with the coin.

I appreciate the patience that you have shown with my ideas.  Almost nothing I entered here is a criticism of decrits. Those are, my half baked ideas for a stable coin. I truly hoped that others would respond as well, to get more views. If the price of admission to a stablecoin thread is full understanding of decrits, then i can say that is a high price to pay.
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 26/04/2013, 10:28:24 UTC
Hi Etlase2,

Do you already have another thread where this discussion can be taken, or should I start a new one?
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 26/04/2013, 07:08:34 UTC

I'm sorry but I think this is a terrible idea. You propose the exact opposite of what you should when the economy is expanding--you are strangling it instead of encouraging it. All to prevent price inflation temporarily if something other than expansion is happening (and cause deflation if it is expansion). Assuming the currency creation base is stable, the value of the money should continue to oscillate around that point. Hell, even without the idea of price stickiness, merchants in a system like Decrits would not need to constantly reprice because of DCR->fiat fluctuations if they could be fairly sure of the stable currency creation base. This will take time and market penetration though.

Messing with account balances or locking coins is going to leave a terrible taste in everyone's mouth, and I don't think it accomplishes anything worthwhile.

The thing that is being curbed is nominal transaction fees. Without a trusted Oracle, we have to rely on within-network indicators. Nominal transaction fees is a within-network indicator, that is relatively secure.

Any indicator that affects further results will be prone to abuse. And sorry, I believe the direction of the feedback you describe is not correct. If there are more fees being spent and the system encourages it with printing more money, then even more fees will be spent and even more money will be printed until the coin collapses due to hyperinflation. There needs to be a written down growth path for some indicator. For bitcoin, it is the monetary base itself. I'm discussing the possibility of using the nominal transaction fees as an indicator. One can try to model a good growth path that is high in the beginning and lower later, that is beside the idea of targeting a level of nominal transaction fees.

Hope I've made things a little more clear.

The way I look at it, there is a component of proof-of-work/mordor coin that has to be incorporated into every coin. The question seems to be how to minimise it and still maintain stability.

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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 26/04/2013, 04:38:05 UTC
Another thought.

From Decrits, I got the idea of using transaction fees as a proxy for GDP. In a corner of the blogosphere, targetting a level path for the nominal value of GDP is being talked about as the correct way to target the money supply of an economy. i.e if by a certain time, nominal gdp is not as high as the level calculated by the growth path, then print money. If it is more, then withdraw money from the market by selling assets.

I, personally am in favour of such a policy for statist monetary policy. NGDP does look better than inflation targeting or money supply targeting.

So, a policy appropriate to crypto currencies could be to target a steady growth in nominal transaction fees. Have an initial booting up period where anyone who can bring in a certain amount of hashing power, brings it in and gets coins. It is a pure mordor coin during this initial period. After that (2-3 years, maybe, anybody have any ideas on how to determine when a crypto currency has stabilised?), the targetting mechanism takes over.

If the transaction fees paid in a certain interval of time (maybe a week or fortnight) exceed the level target, then automatically lock up a percentage of the money in every account. Coins that can be used now, lets say block height 99, get locked so that they can't be used till block 149. Ownership is maintained, but usage is constrained
 
If the transaction fees paid are below a level target, then automatic unlocking of locked coins occurs, Coins locked till block height 140 get changed so that they can be used in block 90 and so on.

The level target for transaction fees could be a linearly increasing one, exponential or sigmoid.

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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 23/04/2013, 13:22:48 UTC
The question is, does it add a little more stability or not?

Whether it does or not, you have not come up with a way to incentivize it, and thus no one (rational) will do it.


I agree. The incentivizing aspects need to be discussed.

My first thought is that similar to what you suggest for distributing new coins to transactions and accounts, it can be modified to transactions and locked coins, maybe weighted by how long they keep it in freeze.
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 23/04/2013, 08:33:17 UTC
To what real end? Something I've learned over going through the process of doing the whole stable currency idea is that you can't brute force the price to some acceptable spot, you've got to let it run free a little. Your view here is colored by bitcoin's heavy one-sidedness that comes along with its currency distribution scheme, and I think your fears would have very little place in a currency where the supply of new money was not so heavily restricted.

I cannot deny that bitcoin's structure influenced me on this. And I know that the price will run free, even if only a certain percentage of the coins are transactable at any given moment. The question is, does it add a little more stability or not?

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If hoarders hold back in an attempt to increase the price, minters create new currency for a profit and bring the price back in line. Hoarders are no better or worse off, though the value in the economy has arguably increased (hoarders chose not to revert back to fiat). Any rash of selling below the cost to produce coins is a lot less likely, because everyone has an idea what currency can be created for. It's a braking mechanism. Bitcoin's cost to produce tends to move with the price of bitcoins; a stable currency's cost to produce should try remain as stable as possible. So while bitcoin can lose or gain hundreds of % in a day and market movers can take advantage of fear, anyone manipulating a stable base cannot take advantage of that fear.

I'm sorry if you've answered this one before, but what prevents this from becoming a mordor coin, burning up resources indiscriminately?

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PS - An interesting side effect of the Decrits proposal, where people purchase 1 year shares for a meaningful amount of currency and receive a portion of transaction fees as payment for helping to secure the network, during periods where there is mild inflation due to whatever reason, buying shares for a small but guaranteed return will temporarily lock money. Periods where price inflation is experienced are even more beneficial times to purchase shares because the tx fee is a percentage of each transaction. Thus, inflation = more fees. It encourages temporarily removing money from the economy, and this locked money is an easily verifiable thing and part of normal network activity.

Decrits sounds like a very interesting proposal. I need to read it in more detail.
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Topic OP
A potential automated ripple
by
blogospheroid
on 23/04/2013, 06:49:39 UTC

Question for the community - Does ripple already do the below?

Datamine the blockchain and find out if there is a possibility of informing everybody on a fully completed money loop (money that you sent out coming back to you) that they form atleast in miniature, a fully solved double-coincidence of wants problem, and they can potentially, take their transactions off the blockchain or use just notional amounts to transact.

Money is needed for solution of a double-coincidence of wants problem, but if the loop is closed, then everyone in the loop has some goods that the other desires. I understand that for one-offs, this may not be the case, but for business, it could definitely be done, right?

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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: [StableCoin] Welcome and Introduce Yourself...
by
blogospheroid
on 23/04/2013, 06:02:35 UTC
Hi All,

Not much to introduce about myself. Very little technical knowledge, but have an interest in economics and alternate ways of organization of society.

Here are my thoughts on the issue of a stable crypto coin. Caveat, They don't form a coherent whole.

[Thought 1  - Locking of coins] 

There are 2 sources of inflation in a crypto-currency. There are the new coins generated and there is the influx of already existing coins coming into the market on the sell side.

I asked a question earlier in the forum about "locking" of coins, rendering them unspendable for sometime. This would create a clearer picture of the money supply that is in actual usage now.

Right now, people say that a lot of their coins are in cold storage, but we have no way of verifying the same. They can appear anytime in the nearest exchange and drive down the price to whatever the market will bear at that time. So stablecoin needs to have a way of clearly placing coins in cold storage in plain sight, with clear indicators that during the next few hours, days or so, more than X number of coins or Y percentage of coins, simply cannot be traded. Thus, not only is the money supply (M1, is it?) in plain sight, but money placed in short term and long term locked coins (bonds?) is also in plain sight.

The issue really is that these bonds will also be traded and we may be back at the same place where we are now, but atleast merchants who deal only with the coin can be more assured, I think. How to incentivize people locking up their coins publicly, not really sure.

I read a few threads on this and realize that all of your thinking on this is much more advanced, but my above point was not made explicitly anywhere, so I thought it is better to put it out there.

[Thought 2 - Liquidity, Velocity, etc.]

The best suggestion that was made in this regard was coin days destroyed, but coin days destroyed could be manipulated by round tripping to one's own account. To counteract that, one can have a minimum transaction fee. A transaction fee however, is something that should be decided by benchmarking against competitors.

[Thought 3 - Demurrage]

The simplest forms of demurrage are flat percent off every account and a flat fee off every account. One is a flat tax, the other is a regressive tax. For a currency, the first one seems to be the better. An authority imposing a currency may have the second to persuade people to centralise their account (maybe with a bank).

A progressive demurrage may lead to people choosing to split the currency across many accounts, thus not yielding much more than a flat percentage.

[Thought 4 - Incentive]
List of people to incentivize
1. People holding the currency, but not too much
2. Verifiers/miners
3. Merchants providing new and needed products to the community
4. Publicly locked coins

So, there they are, my thoughts or a incoherent ramble, as some might portray it.
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Board Press
Re: 2013-04-17 americanbanker.com - Governments Must Co-Opt Bitcoin to Avert Disaste
by
blogospheroid
on 19/04/2013, 03:58:59 UTC
Can someone brighter than me answer this one?

Is it possible at all to use one-time pads as he advocates, in any form of crypto currency?
Infact is it even possible to use for a digital currency with a central issuer?
Because if the key is sent out from a central location, isn't it vulnerable to man in the middle attacks?


Post
Topic
Board Politics & Society
Re: The taxpayers' oligarchy - A way to organize large societies
by
blogospheroid
on 08/04/2013, 05:18:52 UTC

How is this different from today? If you take away 'taxpayers' and put in 'donations'. It putting the power of control over the many in the hands of the few (elite) that have the money.

Formalism and informalism as I explained.

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If I were very rich and so inclined, I'd pay my high taxes, then use my political power to undermine all my opponents and get policy and law to favour my businesses, forcing out all other competition so I have the monopoly on my particular business, then I would proceed to make sure that government and the society I lived in relied 110% on my particular business and that no other competition could ever gain ground. Then my wealth and power grows, it won't matter on the taxes I paid anymore, as government and society would not be able to run without my business and I could control vast influence by changing my prices up/down to those I favoured, thus controlling other business elements and politicians.

Every favour you seek for your own business is counted as a payment to your business, reducing the net tax paid by that much and reducing your own political power by that much in the next election. This needs a slightly different way of thinking compared to present day institutions. It is possible to imagine an independent body which studies every tax allocation not given out to every person in general (like a negative income tax) and reduces the weight of the taxes paid by the recipient for the next election cycle.

Informal lobbying efforts have a huge return in the present scenario. In the taxpayer's oligarchy, it will be greatly reduced because the payments are out in the open.

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My thoughts on this are most definitely not original .. look at big pharma (vs natural medicine) the 'drug war' , the oil and energy industries (vs free energy) .. Competition is made illegal, competitors killed or locked up.

I'd still be paying my high taxes, and as my wealth and power grew I'd continue to pay even higher taxes to assure my dominance. The difference being from this scenario to our world is that in the 'tax scenario' I would be completely legit.

It's a very scary thought..

In a slightly larger context, I am in favour of competing jurisdictions. This is a suggestion for one such jurisdiction. If a community degenerates this way into a banana republic (banana being whatever commodity/industry dominates), then it becomes highly possible that it will face a talent drain.
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Board Politics & Society
Re: The taxpayers' oligarchy - A way to organize large societies
by
blogospheroid
on 07/04/2013, 04:02:14 UTC
Jobe7,

Thanks for you honest opinion.

The difference really boils down to formalism and informalism. Or the difference between a price to be paid for a service and a bribe to be paid for the same.

In situation 1, the price for a good is very clearly laid out and printed in the open. The good is available for anyone who can pay the price.
In situation 2, the price is nominally very low, but the good is often in shortage and somehow, it is only those politically well connected  or those who bribe the keeper, who seem to get access to it.

Situation 1 is the free market and Situation 2 is every socialist license permit raj that has existed.

The situation in contemporary democracies is similar. Nominally everyone is the same. Politicians are guided by the popular appeal and secretly, whatever the lobbyists tell them to do. The policies that result are complicated, filled with exceptions for the lobbyists.

I am not saying that the taxpayers oligarchy is foolproof. But the greatest political power will be with the highest taxpayers and that is a good thing, those who provide the money that the governments works with. The taxpayers ar bthe honest rich. We want to encourage the honest rich and discourage the dishonest rich.
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Board Speculation
Re: 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m.
by
blogospheroid
on 04/04/2013, 15:28:46 UTC
Guys,

I'm reposting my comment from another thread as it is relevant to this thread as well.

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The pseudo-anonymous nature of bitcoin will prevent anyone from legally claiming that they lost it. 
So, even genuine losses like hacks cannot be offset as losses for tax purposes. What effect this will have on bitcoin as a store of wealth is something unknown.



You're thinking too far ahead.

They have to prove you have them first.

If I'm a genuine business accepting bitcoins, paying my taxes and doing due diligence, then my addresses will be public knowledge. I don't understand what you're trying to say.

Imagine an anarcho-capitalist scenario, insurance covers damages and competitive courts act as arbitrers. Even there, I will not be able to genuinely claim I have been hacked as no one can genuinely say that the hackers address is not something I'm controlling with a sock-puppet. In the case of other stores of value, I can.
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m.
by
blogospheroid
on 04/04/2013, 13:16:13 UTC
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Quote from: oakpacific on Today at 03:32:16 PM
Quote from: blogospheroid on Today at 03:08:02 PM
Guys,

I'm reposting my comment from another thread as it is relevant to this thread as well.

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The pseudo-anonymous nature of bitcoin will prevent anyone from legally claiming that they lost it.  
So, even genuine losses like hacks cannot be offset as losses for tax purposes. What effect this will have on bitcoin as a store of wealth is something unknown.




If the BTCs never get moved, then they are lost. If they do someday, then it's tax evasion and jail time for you, it's very easy for the authority to set your address on watch, and sends them an alert whenever an activity is detected.

You can always say that someone hacked your account.

EDIT : forgive the formatting, I meant to reply to agree with Gordonium's statement.

Precisely, I meant that only.

You cannot prove a loss.
You cannot claim insurance.

With stocks you can do one, with art or buildings, you can do the other. This will make many rich people vary of holding wealth in bitcoin.
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: 20 calls a day from large asset managers looking to invest up to $100m.
by
blogospheroid
on 04/04/2013, 09:38:02 UTC
Guys,

I'm reposting my comment from another thread as it is relevant to this thread as well.

Quote
The pseudo-anonymous nature of bitcoin will prevent anyone from legally claiming that they lost it. 
So, even genuine losses like hacks cannot be offset as losses for tax purposes. What effect this will have on bitcoin as a store of wealth is something unknown.