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FOR A MOD: Please delete my account
by
delaro
on 13/02/2015, 19:07:36 UTC
Thanks  Smiley
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Chart Comparison: March 2013 - July 2013 VS. December 2013 - April 2014
by
delaro
on 02/04/2014, 14:48:39 UTC

Hello Everyone,

Sometimes the most obvious things are the things that are overlooked the most.
Take a look at this chart.



http://i61.tinypic.com/2nsulo3.png



Yeh, so you've seen this chart before. Big deal. Actually, it is a really big deal. Take this chart and compare it with this February 2013 - August 2013 chart.


http://i62.tinypic.com/1zdlkj4.png

Notice any similarities? If this pattern plays out, which I'm betting money on that it will, we should be seeing a reversal starting anytime in the next month. From the looks of the chart, April 15th - 20th is the most probable time for this to begin.

Note that when this happens, it is likely it won't be a sudden reversal but actually a steady uptrend for another 3 months before taking off. As you can see the second chart, this is about what happened in August and September. Of course, new positive news being released could speed this process up, but without this extreme catalyst, a slow and steady 3 month uptrend to 775 is the most likely scenario in my opinion.

The math that I used to calculate this is based on the fact that the 2013 chart shows a run up from its low of $63 in July to about $130 in September. This $130 is about 2/3 of the price $190 that our trend line was at in the pattern that began around the beginning of April 2013. . Therefore, if you expect trends to stay the same, we should be returning to about 2/3's of our previous trend line high of $1163 in December. This is  about $775.

I also believe that these two charts can be used to set a future price target after the $775 mark that we should see in June-July 2014. By dividing bitcoin's current high of $1163 (Bitstamp) by the $125 price in September-October 2013 that formed as a result of slow increase after the early 2013 crash, we can calculate about a 9.3x run up. Therefore, if past results are any indicator of the future, we should expect a run up from $775 to about $7,200. However, I would caution people not to expect this $7200 figure because I believe we should start to slowly see the law of large numbers taking effect on future gains. Therefore, a more reasonable estimate, based entirely on my gut feeling, might be $5,000-$6000.

After this, the panic stage that we have been in for the last several months is likely to repeat itself and drop the price back down to sub $3,000. I found this number by dividing the 2014 low of about $400 by the high of $1163. This gave me about 0.344 which I multiplied by the future high of $7,000.

I tried to show my math as much as possible in order to try and prove my logic.

Let me know if you agree or disagree with my findings. Smiley
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 24/02/2014, 14:03:53 UTC
IMPORTANT!! Bitcoin Builder is in an upward trend right now and will soon be at 0.38 when it is at 0.30 right now. BUY WHILE YOU CAN!


Daily Goxcoin pump, hope it goes to 0.6 again

Agreed. I made a killing off of that website =D
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 24/02/2014, 13:58:51 UTC
IMPORTANT!! Bitcoin Builder is in an upward trend right now and will soon be at 0.38 when it is at 0.30 right now. BUY WHILE YOU CAN!
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Re: Smoothie's Prediction of timing of next capitulation event etc
by
delaro
on 21/02/2014, 19:55:46 UTC
Next Capitulation to occur between now and Mid April 2014.

Soon there after price will rise steadily to reach new ATH's by mid June 2014.

After that is all "CHOOOOOOOOO CHOOOOOOO".



So you gave us a two month time frame... can you be any more specific?
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Re: POLL How do you store your coins?
by
delaro
on 21/02/2014, 12:50:18 UTC
Offline raspberry pi hooked up to printer! Smiley
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 21/02/2014, 02:45:30 UTC
Bitcoinbuilder back up just now
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 21/02/2014, 02:40:12 UTC
Those walls around $100 are growing. Gox might stabilize at $100 for a few hours.

i would not be surpized to see gox bounce to 200

you can make a killing right now arbing gox and bitcoinbuilder


Bitcoinbuilder is offline unfortunately. Sad
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 21/02/2014, 01:32:16 UTC
bitcoinbuilder down
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 20/02/2014, 22:42:26 UTC
7:40 AM in Japan. Wake up mark! Smiley

On another note, what time have they released announcements in the past?
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 20/02/2014, 18:55:55 UTC
Imagine the profit Bitcoin Builder is making right now with his website. Crazy Entrepreneurship! Shocked
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 20/02/2014, 18:19:25 UTC
goxcoin=~1/5 BTC  

Its frustrating that bitcoinbuilder still near 0,4

I would consider buying at 0.2

Exactly what I was thinking.
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Re: Isn't that Mark Karpeles on Fiverr.com ???
by
delaro
on 19/02/2014, 18:30:09 UTC
I don't remember the last time I laughed so hard on these forms.  Smiley
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 18/02/2014, 22:13:01 UTC
What is happening on gox? Huh
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 14/02/2014, 03:19:38 UTC
I hate that stamp is so fucking slow to react!
Blood is running on the floor and people at stamp be like dory in Finding Nemo.

Haha that mental image made me laugh!  Smiley
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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
delaro
on 14/02/2014, 03:18:12 UTC
10% spread. Talk about lack of liquidity!
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Re: Would be possible to develop a wallet for Pebble?
by
delaro
on 07/02/2014, 13:29:51 UTC
I like your two factor authentication idea. Can the pebble use NFC to communicate with say a check out? That would be easier than pulling out a smart phone.
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Re: I finally figured out how the government can destroy Bitcoin
by
delaro
on 30/01/2014, 19:18:10 UTC
Outlawing bitcoin trading would send the price to the moon. No sense arguing that point, name a thing that costs less on the black market than it costs in a free market. One thing...
All kinds of things... Guns for example.
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Re: Tiger Direct goes live - taking Bitoin now
by
delaro
on 23/01/2014, 18:13:20 UTC
I guess bitcoinstore.com is now out of business!  Grin
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[FAKE] Amazon to start accepting bitcoin
by
delaro
on 21/01/2014, 22:07:51 UTC
aaa