2. "~150k$ for 130nm, ~500k$ for 65nm, furthermore much less if you do a 1/N mask" means almost nothing to me
ASIC is a custom chip, they are a built to order to a very specific spec (for bitcoin mining) and in large amounts to be cost effective, usually over 10,000, however really large orders of 200k make it far more cost effective, but larger upfront costs. It's static, unlike a FPGA, so they can't upgrade it once made, it's why it costs so much generally.
So ASIC can be quiet cheap when you compare them per individual chip price, but it's a big start up cost for the designer. FPGA's are more expensive individually, but you can do more with them, and on a small scale the cost is easier to pass on without hurting their accounts.
Roughly how much do you estimate each "Block Erupter" will cost to us customers?
Price could be cheaper than what BFL is offering their ASIC devices at since their first designs are on a older, but more cost efficient for them process, while BFL opted for one over 3x more expensive by the speculation circulating their numbers they saying it will do.
It however is far more efficient hash/s per watt. I'd estimate the Block Erupter chips (just the chip) will only be $5-15 a piece, but that isn't all that goes into them and also they have their own profit margins to worry about, so it won't be that cheap. But below $100 would be reasonable, since we know it's less expensive to make them.
FPGA's and ASIC will play a bigger part in bitcoin by next year, personally I do believe the use of GPU's is going to start fading, just like it did for CPU's. It's a matter of time, but it will eventually happen, some are making the step now and enjoying lower energy bills and often faster hash rates.
Thanks, that gives me a better idea of what to expect for the pricing, however I am still wondering how many chips per Block Erupter? I am assuming either one or two, but that would be a rather big difference obviously. Is there a product website up yet? Does a CAD drawing, or actual prototype exist?
I am looking to reduce the power consumption of my mining equipment, but as far as the difference between the efficiency of Block Erupter vs BFL ASIC goes, that matters very little to me, as either way, this is a huge improvement over my GPUs. Assuming they don't get hit with so many orders for Block Erupters that it takes 7-8 weeks or more to ship, I would be very interested in purchasing these if their GHs:$ ratio is somewhat close to that of BFL ASIC. As it stands now, at the very least it looks like that will be roughly 10MHs:1$, not quite the same as BFL's claimed 23MHs:1$, but if a second chip is included with each Block Erupter, assuming a cost of $100 per unit, that brings it much closer to BFL.