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Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
@CryptoJelleNL
The previous cycles both lasted 1064 days.
If that pattern repeats, we're about 60 days away from a
Bitcoin top.
I personally am more leaning towards the metric of how many days after the halving, which I believe points to a top in mid-September. Still, not a bad idea to be on top watch if you’re planning to cash some out this cycle.
Did we just break out a new all time high for Bitcoin? I’m just looking at the chart and we appear to be right there.
NOpe, sorry, we were above $123k already this year/cycle/generation.
Never know which exchange is the one that people refer to but my app does show that you are correct. It appears (from what I’m looking at) that the all time high remains $123,091.61 while today’s high is $123,018.72. We are damn close… I’d really like to see a proper breakout to keep pace with the M2 chart, but it’s coming. The next 30 days are going to be boner-inducing for lack of a better description.
Bitstamp... 14th July 2025 - $123,236.00
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (1)
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Warming up the locomotives....
Do you need a tetanus shot before getting into the one in the back...
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
@CryptoJelleNL
The previous cycles both lasted 1064 days.
If that pattern repeats, we're about 60 days away from a
Bitcoin top.
https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1955612135154925661
In case anyone was wondering that would be Friday, 24 October 2025
I guess that will be a confirmation of another Bitcoin price cycle!
Time does seem to move a lot faster the older we get!
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Been awhile since I have posted anything that is some what meaningful... Hope everyone has is well.
Been hearing a lot of "selling now and possibly buying back lower"
Years ago I'd came up with a formula that may give you a little more insight to what you are really doing and the conditions needed to "Buy Back Lower" especially for those who live in a country where the Capital Gain Tax isn't that friendly... was crafted to convince someone what they were planning wasn't going to end well...
D = Perc Decline from Sale Price
S = Sale Price
C = Cost Basis
CGT = Cocky Government TShakedown (The T Silent)
D = ((S - C) * CGT) / S * 100
Decline % Sales Price Cost Basis CGT
29.75% $118,000.00 $1,000.00 30.00%
28.73% $118,000.00 $5,000.00 30.00%
27.46% $118,000.00 $10,000.00 30.00%
24.92% $118,000.00 $20,000.00 30.00%
22.37% $118,000.00 $30,000.00 30.00%
19.83% $118,000.00 $40,000.00 30.00%
17.29% $118,000.00 $50,000.00 30.00%
14.75% $118,000.00 $60,000.00 30.00%
12.20% $118,000.00 $70,000.00 30.00%
Not to mention the psychology of price declination. I bet 99% of people didn't buy enough bitcoin or any during the bear market! so what makes you think you would now...
The only slight benefit, and I stress, slight, is that you increase your cost base. Which to me feels more like a taxation on un-realised gains.... especially if you fall within the declining %.
Been hearing a lot of "selling now and possibly buying back lower"
Years ago I'd came up with a formula that may give you a little more insight to what you are really doing and the conditions needed to "Buy Back Lower" especially for those who live in a country where the Capital Gain Tax isn't that friendly... was crafted to convince someone what they were planning wasn't going to end well...
D = Perc Decline from Sale Price
S = Sale Price
C = Cost Basis
CGT = Cocky Government TShakedown (The T Silent)
D = ((S - C) * CGT) / S * 100
Decline % Sales Price Cost Basis CGT
29.75% $118,000.00 $1,000.00 30.00%
28.73% $118,000.00 $5,000.00 30.00%
27.46% $118,000.00 $10,000.00 30.00%
24.92% $118,000.00 $20,000.00 30.00%
22.37% $118,000.00 $30,000.00 30.00%
19.83% $118,000.00 $40,000.00 30.00%
17.29% $118,000.00 $50,000.00 30.00%
14.75% $118,000.00 $60,000.00 30.00%
12.20% $118,000.00 $70,000.00 30.00%
Not to mention the psychology of price declination. I bet 99% of people didn't buy enough bitcoin or any during the bear market! so what makes you think you would now...
The only slight benefit, and I stress, slight, is that you increase your cost base. Which to me feels more like a taxation on un-realised gains.... especially if you fall within the declining %.
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
If you can't doublespend, you have no chance of creating any fractional reserve. You can lend your "fake bitcoins", but that is useless to everyone else not part of your system.
I'd say we're not that far from such a situation. Many people already fall for "wrapped" Bitcoin, which it nothing more than a promise to real Bitcoin coming from a company hiding in the Cayman Islands. And yet, people fall for it.Hence, why we still get emails from a Nigerian Prince, claiming to have my money!
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
You can not lend out 1,000btc, just because you got 100BTC in your wallet.
Sure you can! Just not on-chain. Just like a bank can lend out a million dollars without having a single physical dollar in the entire building. As long as the dollars (or Bitcoins) only exist on their own accounting system, they can pull it off.If you try to withdraw a million dollars, the bank won't let you. The same will happen to Bitcoin if they get their way.
I'm not giving them my coins, nor my keys
If you can't doublespend, you have no chance of creating any fractional reserve. You can lend your "fake bitcoins", but that is useless to everyone else not part of your system. You're comparing two different monetary system!.. one far more superior than the other and as far as i am concern, can not be manipulated!
I am sure Jamie and the other bankers are trying to developed their own little scams, but i don't think a fractional reserve of Bitcoin is on the table.
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
I don't believe there will be any fractional reserve Bitcoin. If you can not double spend bitcoin, you can not have a factional reserve!... You can not lend out 1,000btc, just because you got 100BTC in your wallet. That's the beauty of Bitcoin! My Node will tell me if you got the real stuff, or not!
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)
Looks like the DeepState is up to the Final Boss!!!
Dan Bongino - Under DeepState Control
Kash Patel - Under DeepState Control
Pam Bondi - Under DeepState Control
JD Vance - Laying Low (Waiting to be POTUS)
Trump - ROUND 1 - DeepState
They all talked a mean game!! but ultimately too many skeletons in the closet...
Dan Bongino - Under DeepState Control
Kash Patel - Under DeepState Control
Pam Bondi - Under DeepState Control
JD Vance - Laying Low (Waiting to be POTUS)
Trump - ROUND 1 - DeepState
They all talked a mean game!! but ultimately too many skeletons in the closet...
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
You’d just need to hit 1 block…
Or you could just buy a lottery ticket.
You'd likely have better odds with a lottery ticket given that one single hash currently gives you a probability of 1 in 522,527,040,489,789,521,218,189.3 of mining a block.
No way. A Cybertruck could power 2 Antminer S21s 24/7 while needing to be recharged about every 17 hours. That would give you a 1 in 31 chance of hitting a block over a year period (if Grok is to be believed). Sure, 1 in 31 chance isn’t great, but compared to the lottery this is a no-brainer. Especially when you consider the YouTube revenue and value of your brand that would grow.
This is basically a way to get paid a quarter million dollars in a year, get a free cybertruck, a free S21, & build a YouTube following. You just have to be the 1 in 31.
or buy 2 s21xp and earn 30 a day on regular viabtc
that is 108k in a year
so the truck is 110k the gear is 14k
this means 124-108=16k in the hole after 12 months
in 14 months you are at 126k
thus you now have 2 free s21xps and 1 free truck.
$30 x 365 = $108,000.00
?Last time I checked it was $10,950.00
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
You’d just need to hit 1 block…
Or you could just buy a lottery ticket.
You'd likely have better odds with a lottery ticket given that one single hash currently gives you a probability of 1 in 522,527,040,489,789,521,218,189.3 of mining a block.
No way. A Cybertruck could power 2 Antminer S21s 24/7 while needing to be recharged about every 17 hours. That would give you a 1 in 31 chance of hitting a block over a year period (if Grok is to be believed). Sure, 1 in 31 chance isn’t great, but compared to the lottery this is a no-brainer. Especially when you consider the YouTube revenue and value of your brand that would grow.
This is basically a way to get paid a quarter million dollars in a year, get a free cybertruck, a free S21, & build a YouTube following. You just have to be the 1 in 31.
1 in 31 doesn’t sound right… let me crunch some numbers…
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
⭐ Merited by jojo69 (1)
What's the point of using an electric automobile to power a Bitcoin miner?
You still have to plug the car in to charge it.
You still have to plug the car in to charge it.
I agree it is stupid (but still cool). I also am sure your question was rhetorical…but Tesla does occasionally sell cars with free lifetime supercharging. There are also parks/hotels that offer free charging. I can’t imagine it would be worth the effort, but if you put in enough effort long enough, I bet you could get a free Cybertruck and all the mining hardware by financing it all with the right deal. Would make one hell of a YouTube video. You’d just need to hit 1 block…
Ripoff MrBeast video. Can you live in a Cybertruck and mine Bitcoin until you hit a block?
Be the longest YouTube video ever! Statistically speaking…
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
$112,000 hit on Stamp.
Feels good to see price discovery, with any luck this leg could take us to $140,000 before a correction.
Feels good to see price discovery, with any luck this leg could take us to $140,000 before a correction.
Hey Mate, I hope you have re-thought your sell strategy and wait for a few more chopper post before considering pulling the trigger.
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Wow! Everyone take a moment with this!
I just found myself staring at each block on the bottom row and remembering the good, the bad, most of all the painful times!!..
For some, the next row will be life changing! For others it could be the 3rd or 4th row! Just don't forget to stay grounded and always remember the rows before!
<insert some inspirational quote here or just let Bitcoin do it's thing!>
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
⭐ Merited by sirazimuth (1)
Now it is official!
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
107 plus
now 106 and change maybe tonight we move on up and over 109
now 106 and change maybe tonight we move on up and over 109
We are so close to price discovery I can taste it. I think we see a new all time high within the next 13 hours.
I’m still absolutely floored by the silence I’m seeing in my regular life surrounding Bitcoin. People who have gotten excited about the bubbles in 17 & 21 are seemingly just sitting on the sidelines.
#FOMO will kick in later this year!... If you have friends and acquaintances like me, they will be the indicator that the top is near!
Tell me more about these clairvoyant friends of yours. I will write a script and turn them into Tradingview indicators.
Lol! Already done, if you look up "Stochastic FOMO Friend Will Call You To Buy Indicator", once it is activated you have approx 7 days to take advantage of the top of the cycle!...
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
⭐ Merited by philipma1957 (1)
107 plus
now 106 and change maybe tonight we move on up and over 109
now 106 and change maybe tonight we move on up and over 109
We are so close to price discovery I can taste it. I think we see a new all time high within the next 13 hours.
I’m still absolutely floored by the silence I’m seeing in my regular life surrounding Bitcoin. People who have gotten excited about the bubbles in 17 & 21 are seemingly just sitting on the sidelines.
#FOMO will kick in later this year!... If you have friends and acquaintances like me, they will be the indicator that the top is near!
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
https://x.com/boomer_btc/status/1923439897177657707?t=FSAfTSPSzaDj1KE49ikPAg&s=19
someone shared on X their experience using Bitcoin for payment @Steaknstake.
Never liked Monday but we Off on a good Start.
They don't accept fiat cash? The food is priced in dollars.
The listed payment options all involve third parties or transfer fees. Cash is free, safe and anonymous.
Would that mean more expensive? how about the blockchain confirmation here? how is it manage?
Done via Lightning Network!
Looks like their LSP is ZeusLN
https://1ml.com/node/031b301307574bbe9b9ac7b79cbe1700e31e544513eae0b5d7497483083f99e581
Will be opening a 25,000,000 SAT channel to help bolster the route!... Hopefully, other WO LN Node operators, can do the same thing!