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Showing 20 of 125 results by iruu
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: $0.85 transaction fee is absolutely ridiculous!
by
iruu
on 27/05/2017, 19:17:20 UTC
if you don't do Address reuse
How is address reuse related to fees/tx size?


Welcome to reality and stop shilling some centralized shitcoins.
Apples and oranges for eth, average fee includes big smart contracts. Simple transfers work fine with <1 cent fees.
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Board Off-topic
Re: Would YOU choose to live forever?
by
iruu
on 27/05/2017, 18:42:12 UTC
Yes and I suspect those saying 'no' would change their mind very fast if a real option appeared.

A 'no' answer is functionally equivalent to planning to suicide at a set age.
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Board Exchanges
Topic OP
Does any card with FX fees <3% exist?
by
iruu
on 27/05/2017, 14:21:30 UTC
I looked over several but the 3% rate appears to be uniform.
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Board Games and rounds
Re: 1000 BTC GIVEAWAY! From your friend rekcahxfb
by
iruu
on 03/08/2016, 17:10:43 UTC
1KVaiYunMRhFFTD9mjdphf2t6iNjn9V8Tc
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Board Services
Re: 100[btc] Bounty
by
iruu
on 04/10/2015, 11:33:03 UTC
So basically
1. some guy created a wallet on blockchain.info, added a watch only address with 20 btc in it and gave you login to the wallet
2. you sent him fiat money and set 2fa on a wallet
3. he didn't give you a private key

What this means: You don't have any control over the address, you can't block it. He controls the address. You have been scammed and, unless you can find the guy, that's it.  

To do what you wanted correctly, that is, capability to block the address if no key is provided:
make the other party send btc to a 2-of-2 multisig address (google it), one key yours, one his. He will either give you the key/sign a transaction or the funds will be locked.  
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Board Exchanges
Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
iruu
on 09/09/2015, 14:21:11 UTC
New bank notification today:

CTBC BANK Co., Ltd.
5F, No. 17, Sec 1, Cheng De Rd., Taipei City 103, Taiwan

Another bank change.  I'm not going to post the details for fear it'll soon be outdated.

Check your deposit page before wiring any money.
I still have CTBC BANK Co., Ltd., just as you posted in your previous post. 
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Board Exchanges
Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
iruu
on 13/07/2015, 05:09:53 UTC
If you had no coin balance, it seems like that buy limit order ignored leverage limits (it opened at ~7x). Which would be a bug.  
Try writing at r/bitcoinmarkets on reddit.  

Probably the same thing as this

There is an interesting bug which gave me an initial margin of about 7:1, which was very interesting, it came with the delayed order filling, where order was accepted and filled but did not appear in the status for many minutes and when it did, I was short way more litecoins than I could afford even on the maintenance margin (or maybe just that amount?!)

that was interesting...
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Board Exchanges
Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
iruu
on 31/03/2015, 08:50:17 UTC
Until now, of course, but I care about the future, not the past. I'm not talking about account security and that kind of stuff, but about they running with the money, or the website being an scam. I'm lending since like a year ago, and I'm very happy with the returns, but I don't feel comfortable enough to deposit more.
 
Look at trading and lending volume and their fees. I would estimate bitfinex is going to make at least 5 million in profit in 2015.  
Given that this is a market with potential for explosion (the kind VCs salivate on) bitfinex is worth at least 50 million dollars, probably much more (barely profitable Twitter, after years of losses, is worth 32 billion...).    

If the money on the lending market is the majority of all deposited funds (hard to believe it would be a minority), in addition to risking prison, they would lose money by stealing money. So no, it's definitely not a scam and they are not going to run off with your money.  

The only real risk is theft by non-owners (hacking, disgruntled employee, etc), enormous losses from margin calls, their bank going bankrupt and similar. Same for all other exchanges.  
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Board Exchanges
Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
iruu
on 15/03/2015, 21:54:24 UTC
I figure but tell me why would anybody do this unless they had a plan in mind and why hasn't this happen in like ever before? Don't tell me there are people that expect the FRR to rise above 0.6 in the next two days lmao. Look at the rate when FRR wall was huge. Never was it pierced and now suddenly it happens all the time and gets ridiculous? Look at the orderbook.....Also why would it work this way to begin with? mjr has clearly said multiple times that people are comfortable with lending their money with FRR. You think someone is comfortable with having his money sitting at 0.1172 while funds at 0.7 get taken out? Where is the logic in this?

This makes for a absolutely ridiculous price discovery as well as making predictability of swap market as mess.

Again: This is the next swap manipulation in the making and it will probably again take months until somebody finds out that the guy taking out money at 0.7 was not stupid but knew something most didn't.  

EDIT: Interestingly enough the calculation on margin trading for going long and short seems completely botched. Untick "include variable rates" and check and it still says 8050 btc available at 0.11 to 0.43 per day. Couldn't be further from reality.
Maybe someone with big amounts lent on frr thought out he would earn more by increase in frr than he paid in one hour interest in that spike? It doesn't have to be true, he just had to think that. Assuming it was not a mistake.  

In the extreme, if literally everyone else was using only frr, you could set frr rates at will by lending $100 to yourself, at the cost of a 15% fee on interest
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Topic
Board Economics
Re: Why does anyone pay attention to people that study "economics"?
by
iruu
on 18/01/2015, 20:39:49 UTC
There's nothing weird in infinite expansion. The expansion is in utility provided. Making and storing a good movie, a game or a book doesn't consume much energy or resources, except that needed to sustain the human makers, which exist anyway.  
There indeed are theoretical thermodynamic limits to this (Bekenstein bound), but they are so high there's room for millions of years of growth.  

Utility gained per marginal energy unit is dropping for decades now. Eg. there are physical limits to how much food a human can consume.  

In the future per capita energy use will probably drastically decrease, at the same increasing the quality of life. Outside of obvious things, like increases in efficiency, consider improvements to humans themselves. For example, the eye - what would happen if everyone could get an artificial eyes with much, much higher light sensitivity? Energy expenditures for lighting would drop by orders of magnitude and never recover.  
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Re: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading
by
iruu
on 04/11/2014, 20:45:41 UTC
Regarding FRR. I like the delta option, provided it creates fixed rates (ie. they move only on the offer book). Computing variable frr+delta offers into frr could have funny effects.  

FRR isn't efficient because swap market is inefficient. Swap market is inefficient because it's impossible to speculate that the interest rate is going up. If I have a crystal ball that tells me rates are going up tomorrow, how can I act on that? I can't, at best I can stop lending and wait. Thus market stays inefficient. It's unrelated to the FRR, thus there's no fix to the FRR that can make it really better.

If I think rates are going down this works ok already.  

Possible solution:
Allow to reoffer borrowed (unused) swap, provided the swap time allows it (so if I got a 30 day swap I can lend it for 29 days).
In the case that the difference between rates is negative (ie. I borrowed swap for 30 days at 0.1%, I offer at 0.09% for 2 days) lock the difference for the whole maximum period. In addition to speculators who expect to make the difference later, this allows traders to reserve good (in their opinion) long term rates cheaper, at the additional cost of being locked for 2 days max (or other period they choose).  

This should decrease rates volatility, especially 1% spikes. At very high rates some traders might even close their longs to relend their swaps.  
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Board Economics
Re: Selling call options on your bitcoins
by
iruu
on 07/10/2014, 22:07:44 UTC
I don't think option trading not on full, liquid exchange can work well.  
Selling options is shorting volatility (a bet that implied vol will be higher than realized vol), which needs to be hedged. On exchanges, hedging automatically provides collateral, ie. sold atm call option for 1 btc is perfectly hedged by a ~0.5btc long, so even at impractical 100% collateral, you only need 0.5 btc more. The total is always 1btc.

On a purely options exchange with 100% collateral, you need 1 btc + enough collateral to go long 0.5 btc on another exchange, and in the worst case, enough to go long 1 btc. That's two times more expensive and requires additional hassle.    
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Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: bitcoin changing my ideology from socialism to libertarianism! What about you?
by
iruu
on 07/10/2014, 19:24:41 UTC
Bitcoin, or just wealth or promise of it you got due to bitcoin?
In a free (libertarian) society, poor and stupid and lazy, or really unfortunate (ie. quadriplegics) people literally starve to death. Sufficient charity to alleviate that for everyone can't exist.  
So if you think you're in that group (either because you really are, or you just have heavy depression) supporting socialism is the only logical choice.  

Libertarianism only makes sense if you either can support yourself now or you believe you will be able to without today's government regulations.  

So what it is that really changed? Did you start a bitcoin related business?
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Board Service Discussion
Re: Caution advised when using Bitfinex - High default probability
by
iruu
on 13/09/2014, 15:15:38 UTC
Current interest rates are the proof that your theory is completely wrong. Unless dropping bitcoin prices drastically decrease default risk, which is absurd, because the reverse is true (margin call cascade risk). 
Dropping bitcoin prices will actually increase the default risk, not decrease it. The vast majority of positions are long leveraged positions on bitfinex.
? That's exactly what I wrote...
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Board Service Discussion
Re: Caution advised when using Bitfinex - High default probability
by
iruu
on 10/09/2014, 04:12:21 UTC
But is it wrong if it is not completely accurate?
It's completely wrong on two levels. The first is that very high rates in the past were not due to lenders' risk estimate but because of insufficient supply (the interesting thing is as bitcoin price rises swap supply shrinks because some lenders buy bitcoin, possibly with margin). This is consistent with the fact that rates are dropping for a long time now.  
The second is because the information to evaluate risk isn't available to majority of lenders. Thus the risk as perceived by 'the market' is meaningless. It's obviously riskier than government bonds, sure, but that only sets a very low floor.  

There's also another thing, some people keep money on exchanges to be able to buy bitcoin fast after some event, bank transfers can take even a week from some countries. For these people the rate is not related to risk at all (which they already accept), but to perceived opportunity cost of having to wait (at worst) 2 days to buy bitcoin.  

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Bitfinex for example is apparently registered on tax haven the BVI
It's one thing to be an exchange, but they're also offering anonymous interest-bearing short-term deposits. It would require a lot of very costly red tape (like a banking license...) in most countries, probably turn out to be impossible in many.  
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Board Service Discussion
Re: Caution advised when using Bitfinex - High default probability
by
iruu
on 08/09/2014, 17:46:18 UTC
Current interest rates are the proof that your theory is completely wrong. Unless dropping bitcoin prices drastically decrease default risk, which is absurd, because the reverse is true (margin call cascade risk). 
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Board Service Discussion
Re: Caution advised when using Bitfinex - High default probability
by
iruu
on 12/08/2014, 01:08:12 UTC
These numbers would only be incorrect if market prices aren't "right." The problem is, markets are always right, unless there is some manipulation involved. If that would be the case, then there would be even more reason to avoid BFX. After all, it wouldn't be more than a scam-platform.
Perfect price requires two things - perfect information and infinite demand & supply.  

There's no perfect information here - how can an average lender compute the chances of default? He doesn't know how bitfinex's finances look like. He doesn't know how the future btc prices look like.  
There's no statistical model to make. Just a mostly irrational hunch.  

The second. Even given perfect information, the price is right only if both the supply and demand side is infinite. In real world mispricings are everywhere, and they only disappear once someone actually takes 'impossible' profit.  

The whole thing about probabilities tells us that no price is perfect, because an event either happens or it doesn't. On a perfect market with perfect information the probability of default today would be exactly 0%, until the actual default day, at which point it would be 100%. If you have other odds it means you don't have perfect information.  

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Especially liquidity providers should be aware that by providing liquidity at BFX they are running a bigger risk than by buying into Bitcoin.
Barring theft, serious incompetence or similar circumstances, the only possible situation in which lenders can lose money is serious, fast price drop where there's not enough demand to close the trades without lenders' loss.  
In this situation, bitfinex can and should just give the lenders bitcoin it can't sell. If the price doesn't rise afterwards, they would lose dollars, but their situation would be either equal to holding bitcoins or better (if bitfinex is able to return part in dollars).  
Stopping trading in this situation, which is what happened already, is exactly that - bitfinex was waiting for enough liquidity.  
Note also that bitfinex can, in a critical situation, sell bitcoins from margin called trades on other exchanges (or just wait for arbitrageurs). So what really matters is the entire bitcoin's potential demand, not just bitfinex's orderbook.  
Thus, lending is less risky than holding bitcoins.  

The reverse situation for btc swaps is theoretically possible but I don't think it's a remotely realistic scenario.
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Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [NEM] NEM -New Economy Movement - No Envy Movement - Updates+Discussion thread
by
iruu
on 08/06/2014, 20:38:58 UTC
Is the account number (if nem is going to have them like nxt) generation algorithm already know? 
It would be nice to publish a script and/or a website where the stakeholders could generate their account numbers and then register their stake to them, probably by pm.

I know there are NXT AE's stake assets, but they have a limited validity period.
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: Proof of stake instead of proof of work
by
iruu
on 21/05/2014, 18:20:12 UTC
Is that because of transparent forging?  Could you explain how NXT might be more immune?
25% of active stake is not enough, you need majority.  

Thanks for your reply.  I am interested in proof of stake but still missing something.  I don't understand some details of the NXT algo including the universal random number (just reading http://www.docdroid.net/cckd/forging0-4-3.pdf.html)

Yes:  total BTC miners revenue in a day is 3600 coin.  Before accepting 3600BTC and making a physical delivery from a source with zero trust I would wait about that long.  Lets look at NXT for comparison:

Total Forgers Revenue: 5500 NXT
 
So in a perfect liquid market of stake, I would want to wait about a day before accepting 350 mBTC worth of NXT.  
A miner just a tiny bit worse per W than best miner is literally worthless, on a perfect market. Which means there's no risk to factor into because there's no capital to risk. While lending nxt, lender would have to calculate possible risk of lending his coin, which would include the risk of currency collapse, especially as any serious lender would ask for your other liabilities.  

In practice, sooner or later there's going to be a ton of miners worse by few percents than top, sold for next to nothing, so achieving non-profitable hashing power will be very easy. However, borrowing more than half of nxt or other PoS currency would be next to impossible.  

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Yes, I understand that the big stakeholders now holding the 100% premine might not want to accept my offer of a little extra doublespend revenue to borrow their stake because they are afraid the word could get out and this would affect the value of their personal holdings.  But isn't concentration of power in the hands of a few and requiring the network to trust them part of the problem we were trying to avoid?  If we want to trust a central entity, this whole blockchain system is a waste.  
Why is currency operated by all holders less decentralized than bitcoin's two-three pools (mainly few big farms), which control everything? Proof of stake is the epitome of decentralization.  
Mining monopoly is unavoidable. It can be as well already true, just hidden between few pools.  

You can become a currency owner even for $0.01, you can't mine for that amount, you can only rent, and you're not going to make any money even with expensive miner due to lack of scale.  

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Indeed.  Bitcoin hardly seems perfect.  But imagine if the 21million BTC  (that's 10 billion or so dollars) were all premined in the hands of a small team.  They could run a country on that, especially with their total control of the transaction record for all time.  Institutionalized double spending, here we come.
That's not argument against PoS, but NXT. PoS doesn't require big IPOs, in fact you can use sell just a few percent and allow people to mine the rest. Or other method of distribution. 
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Board Altcoin Discussion
Re: Proof of stake instead of proof of work
by
iruu
on 21/05/2014, 12:31:45 UTC
Yes, that account is huge and I get the fact that he can double spend.  It is in his power to do so. 
No it's not.

Also, Nxt has different algorithm than all described here.