Crash and burn! Slowly digging a hole that I won't get out of for the contest. I guess wrestling is the most important martial art in the UFC, and generally should bet more on the fighter with the better wrestling credentials who can control where the fight goes. Holland looked like he was more concerned with making jokes tonight. Best of luck everyone

Got killed on march madness the other day, especially Tennessee (guess that's why it's madness). Probably doing too many parlays for the contest and should be doing single bets (oh well, having fun). Betting on ESPN UFC tonight. Parlayed Tuivasa under 1.5 rounds and Holland ml.

I think Tai Tuivasa-Harry Hunsucker will end quickly.
Tai Tuivasa's replacement opponent tonight Harry Hunsucker (https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Harry-Hunsucker-239513) in all his past 10 fights never leaves the first round. Tai Tuivasa to win @1.21, Tai Tuivasa by ko/tko/dq/sub @1.36, under 1.5 rounds @1.36, and Tai Tuivasa to win in the first round @1.7 seem fairly likely. Puncher's chance has Harry first round @11.0, Harry by ko/tko/dq/sub @5.5. It seems more likely that Tuivasa wins based on experience, and if you look at Tuivasa's past (https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Tai-Tuivasa-133745) most of of his wins happen in the first round. But Tuivasa has only won 1 of last 4 fights. He's facing an unfamiliar opponent. There's a small chance Tuivasa doesn't do enough in the first round to finish Hunsucker, and stops him in the second round (Tuivasa to win second round @6.5 seems to be value for that chance, but will it even get there).

I also think that Holland will win against Brunson.
https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Kevin-Holland-108999
https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Derek-Brunson-68494
Holland is younger (28, Brunson is 37), has been more active (5-0 in 2020 vs Brunson's 1-0), has a 4 inch reach advantage, and appears more confident. Brunson has good wrestling and frequently ends fights after taking down opponents, but Holland appears to have decent defensive wrestling, and is able to pose a threat from all positions. I think the longer the fight goes the more advantage Brunson will have, and he will want to basically win rounds by wrestling/dominant position. I'm banking on Holland to win the striking battle, and to ko/tko or win enough rounds by being more offensive in a close decision.

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @2.03
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15244828
Kevin Holland - Derek Brunson
Fight Odds
Kevin Holland @ 1.50
Tai Tuivasa - Harry Hunsucker
Total Rounds
Under (1.5) @ 1.35

Risk 0.03 mbtc
Kevin Holland - Derek Brunson
Method of Victory
Kevin Holland by KO,TKO,DQ or Submission @ 2.00

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 4.21
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15242071
Adrian Yanez - Gustavo Lopez
Total Rounds
Under (2.5) @ 1.60
Max Griffin - Kenan Song
Total Rounds
Over (2.5) @ 1.46
Kevin Holland - Derek Brunson
Fight Odds
Kevin Holland @ 1.49
Tai Tuivasa - Harry Hunsucker
Fight Odds
Tai Tuivasa @ 1.21

https://nitrogensports.eu
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15241500
Tai Tuivasa - Harry Hunsucker
Round Betting
Tai Tuivasa to win in round 2 @ 6.50

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 5.31
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15221730
North Carolina Greensboro @ Florida State
Match Winner
Florida State @ 1.15
Eastern Washington @ Kansas
Match Winner
Kansas @ 1.15
Maryland @ Connecticut
Match Winner
Connecticut @ 1.61
Kevin Holland - Derek Brunson
Fight Odds
Kevin Holland @ 1.52
Brighton & Hove Albion FC - Newcastle United
Match Winner
Brighton & Hove Albion @ 1.64

https://nitrogensports.eu
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15217792
Dallas Mavericks @ Portland Trail Blazers
Half Time/Full Time (Inc. OT)
Portland Trail Blazers / Portland Trail Blazers @ 3.30

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 11.02
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15196005
Fulham FC - Leeds United
Total Goals
Under (2.5) @ 1.80
Betis Sevilla - Levante UD
Total Goals
Over (2.5) @ 1.80
Arminia Bielefeld - RB Leipzig
Total Goals
Over (2.5) @ 1.67
Parma FC - FC Genoa
Total Goals
Under (2.5) @ 1.67
Oregon State @ Tennessee
Match Winner
Tennessee @ 1.22

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 4.86
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15195708
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Margarita Gasparyan
Match Winner
Ekaterina Alexandrova @ 1.26
Marion Reneau - Macy Chiasson
Fight Odds
Marion Reneau @ 2.75
Oregon State @ Tennessee
Match Winner
Tennessee @ 1.22
North Carolina Greensboro @ Florida State
Match Winner
Florida State @ 1.15

Is anyone in the contest following or betting on March Madness college basketball? Did you fill out a bracket?
Tomorrow a match I like is Tennessee to beat Oregon State. I took Tenn -8.5 (and the Tenn 1.22 ml is worth adding to a parlay imo).
https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game?gameId=401310902

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 10.09
Risk 0.03 mbtc
Ticket ID: 15193906
Oregon State @ Tennessee
Points Spread
Tennessee (-8.5) @ 1.96
Vancouver Canucks @ Montreal Canadiens
Money Line (Inc. OT & Pen)
Montreal Canadiens @ 1.54
Cheyanne Buys - Montserrat Ruiz
Fight Odds
Cheyanne Buys @ 1.27
Syracuse @ San Diego State
Match Winner
Syracuse @ 2.31
North Carolina Greensboro @ Florida State
Match Winner
Florida State @ 1.14

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 9.35
Ticket ID: 15143292
Manchester City - Borussia M'gladbach
Spread
Manchester City (-1.75) @ 1.80
Real Madrid - Atalanta Bergamasca
Total Goals
Over (2.5) @ 1.64
Fabio Fognini - Stefano Travaglia
Match Winner
Fabio Fognini @ 1.73
Boston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins
Money Line (Inc. OT & Pen)
Pittsburgh Penguins @ 1.83
Risk 0.03 mbtc
https://www.flashscore.com/match/8KGyBbK3/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/n5SSCKki/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/QLSes8Hd/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/OEo6g31e/#match-summary

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 3.27
Ticket ID: 15142338
Anaheim Ducks @ Colorado Avalanche
Match Odds (Regular Time)
Colorado Avalanche @ 1.50
Fabio Fognini - Stefano Travaglia
Match Winner
Fabio Fognini @ 1.73
Ann Li - Tamara Zidansek
Match Winner
Ann Li @ 1.26
Risk 0.03 mbtc
https://www.flashscore.com/match/Q1t1eAEh/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/QLSes8Hd/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/pnNGqtWc/#match-summary

https://nitrogensports.eu
Ticket ID: 15141005
Real Madrid - Atalanta Bergamasca
2nd Half - Winner
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio @ 3.07
Risk 0.03 mbtc
https://www.flashscore.com/match/n5SSCKki/#match-summary
---

https://nitrogensports.eu
Parlay @ 3.04
Ticket ID: 15141305
Real Madrid - Atalanta Bergamasca
Spread
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio (+0.5) @ 1.68
Fabio Fognini - Stefano Travaglia
Match Winner
Fabio Fognini @ 1.81
Risk 0.03 mbtc
https://www.flashscore.com/match/n5SSCKki/#match-summary
https://www.flashscore.com/match/QLSes8Hd/#match-summary

It looks like there is a consensus around Liverpool to win or draw today against Wolverhampton. Maybe if the match goes scoreless for a while a good live betting play would be Liverpool ah+0 (draw no bet).

https://nitrogensports.eu
Ticket ID: 15126709
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool FC
Spread
Liverpool FC (-1.0) @ 2.11
Risk 0.03 mbtc

https://nitrogensports.eu
Ticket ID: 15125994
Philadelphia Flyers @ New York Rangers
Match Odds (Regular Time)
Philadelphia Flyers @ 2.32
Risk 0.03 mbtc

https://nitrogensports.eu
Ticket ID: 15125829
Edmonton Oilers @ Calgary Flames
Match Odds (Regular Time)
Calgary Flames @ 2.29
Risk 0.03 mbtc

https://www.flashscore.com/match/z9Prqy09/#match-summary

https://nitrogensports.eu
Ticket ID: 15123870
Boston Bruins @ Pittsburgh Penguins
Match Odds (Regular Time)
Boston Bruins @ 2.32
Risk 0.03 mbtc