I may have been reading the Block Shares graph on the Blocks page incorrectly.
So if the Actual (orange line) and Average (green line) are below the Expected (blue line), does it mean:
1. it took us less time (less shares) to find blocks OR
2. we found less blocks
In the last hour we had a 108% luck (unlucky), yet if the first case above was true, it would mean we have found blocks quicker than expected, right? However, the Block Overview below shows the opposite and makes me think the second case is true.
Can anyone confirm or even elaborate further?
Each point on the chart is a block, you will notice it skips numbers, so it does not show us blocks solved by other pools, otherwise it would have gaps in the chart.
If the Green is under the Blue, we are getting lucky, finding more blocks than typical.
You have some points accurate and some backwards. over 100% is unlucky, meaning we needed more shares(orange) to solve a block than was expected by the difficulty(blue).
All this does is compare shares we used, against shares it thought we would need. If we had 3 blocks that were fast, but 1 very slow block, that could result in us being unlucky for the hour, while the green line would dip under the blue for a little, but then come right back up.