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Showing 20 of 36 results by meliquiades
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Board Gambling
Re: exbet.io | The Bitcoin Betting Exchange
by
meliquiades
on 18/10/2019, 14:48:44 UTC
Any news on the launch date yet?

I took part in the beta and am looking forward to trading some real BTC on the platform. Have been waiting for a decent bitcoin betting exchange for far too long...
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Topic
Board Gambling
Re: exbet.io | The Bitcoin Betting Exchange | Closed Beta ANN
by
meliquiades
on 27/09/2019, 13:40:31 UTC
1% commission is very attractive given current alternatives. Put me down for the beta please.
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 27/09/2019, 13:36:55 UTC
Nice, been waiting for something like this for awhile. Will check out the beta.
Post
Topic
Board Speculation (Altcoins)
Re: Gambling altcoins - are they fundamentally undervalued?
by
meliquiades
on 11/04/2019, 22:53:02 UTC
Has anyone been using the TRON-based casinos? They have created a number of dedicated tokens that entitle users to a share of profits, some with quite significant market caps.

Good breakdown here: https://www.cryptogamblingnews.com/best-tron-casinos-2019-top-tron-gambling-dapps/
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 11/04/2019, 11:21:11 UTC
Anything that adds certainty to crypto has a powerful creative effect for all the business that then can take place.  BTC being around 10 years even though its been up and down, accumulates into some certainty for business to expand.    Reading this thread seems like crypto lay betting could possibly be superior to betfair for some people, which is surprising how much its developed as an industry.   Makes me more bullish for crypto overall.

Agreed, crypto sports betting is maturing, just as so many other parts of crypto-industry are maturing. A Betfair for BTC is surely just a matter of time.

This is an interesting one. I remember sports betting in the early 2000s and the state of most sportsbooks was pretty dire. It was always a nightmare to find the market you wanted to bet on, the UI was horrible. It is basically where we are at with the vast majority of crypto sportsbook today.

It does seem the tide is beginning to turn though...
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 29/03/2019, 12:42:08 UTC
I've just noticed that BetBTC.co has switched away from the exchange model and is now a straight up sportsbook.

Interesting move, but disappointing to see so little love giving to us exchange users crying out for somewhere we can trade sports with BTC.

More details here on the switch here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=856175.1840
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Topic
Board Gambling
Re: 🎲EOSBet.io - Licensed Casino Platform 🎲Provably Fair 🎲Passive income 🎲
by
meliquiades
on 06/03/2019, 12:51:55 UTC
Please could someone talk through the referral program and exactly how it works?
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Lessons from poker
by
meliquiades
on 27/02/2019, 14:52:43 UTC
Maybe he was trying to say that the op is not a pro gambler because he is depending on his algorithms or methods/strategies  .  pro gamblers are already aware that there are no working strategies because gambling only based on luck   .   if they lucky they win and they save thier winnings  , they use their winnings on other profitable and less riskier activities but they play still gambling on other times  .

Poker is more like trading. You need to cut losses and know when to pass even if you already put tones of money on table. Here strategy might work because you don't play against casino where you have 47% probability of winning where casino has 53% (roulette example). In poker, you play against another player. Before looking into cards you and your opponents has exact the same probability of winning and this probability changes after each card you see. With bad cards you have low probability of winning that's why you should cut losses. And that's strategy that would work in poker.

This raises a bigger philosophical question of what exactly is gambling.

It could be argued that when I was playing poker full-time, I wasn't really gambling. Sure, luck impacted whether or not I won on any particular day, but I played several million hands over a few years, and I had enough data to predict very accurately how much money I would make over, say, a period of 100,000 hands.

Equally, if you play slots, are you really gambling when you know the payout is 94% (or whatever). Is it gambling when in the long-run you will lose all your money (if you were to gamble into infinity).

Once you introduce certainty into a game (which you do the more you play it) does it cease to become gambling?
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Merits 6 from 2 users
Topic OP
Lessons from poker
by
meliquiades
on 26/02/2019, 12:05:36 UTC
⭐ Merited by LoyceV (4) ,SyGambler (2)
During the online poker boom of the mid-2000s, I played full-time for a few years.

I'd be hesitant to describe myself as a "pro"; I was young and not playing particularly high stakes. But I was churning out hands (playing 24 tables at once) and making an hourly well ahead of what anyone would pay me at the time.

Anyway, I haven't played poker (online) for many years now, but a lot of the lessons I learned during those years have served me well when sports betting. Here are three of them:

Don't be results orientated

Poker is very much a game of ups and downs. It is common for good moves to backfire and bad moves to pay off. Accordingly, it was extremely important to separate your actions from results. For instance, if I managed to get an opponent to bet all their chips against me with a worse hand, only for them to hit one of the only two cards in the deck they needed to beat me, I needed to keep my head up and acknowledge I'd done the right thing, despite losing.

But equally, if the roles were reversed, I couldn't celebrate knowing I'd made a bad play.

When it comes to sports betting, it is much the same. If I call a tight game between strong defences, bet on a 0-0 draw, and then watch a tight game finish 1-0 due to a freak goal out of nowhere, I know to tell myself that if I keep doing what I'm doing, I'll come out top in the long-run.

Information is power... but only if your opponent doesn't have it too

People who play poker a lot tend to run programs which provide thousands of statistics on their opponents. This is fine, and the information is great for informing decisions. But it becomes worthless if the other players has the same information, and knows I have this information. If the stats show a crazily aggressive opponent, but that opponent knows I have this information, they can easily adapt their game to fool me.

With sports betting, it is easy to get carried away with information. "Messi is injured so it makes sense to bet against Barcelona". Well, no, because obviously the bookmaker knows this too, and has already adapted their odds accordingly.


There's no system, only constant improvement

I eventually fell out of love with poker and stopped studying the game. My results quickly went downhill. It is the same with sports betting. Finding an edge is hard, but possible. The thing is even if you find one, don't bank on keeping it very long. For a couple of years, I had a lot of success betting on football from very obscure leagues. I had an algorithm which was great at spotting games where bookmakers had not priced up correctly. But very quickly this edge vanished, as the bookmakers improved their own pricing strategies.

Would love to hear from anyone else who played poker seriously online and now bets on sports...
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 18/02/2019, 11:34:37 UTC
I keep seeing people complain about liquidity at Fairlay but every time I check it out myself, I can see some pretty big orders there, for sure more than 1 BTC for even the lines I bet,,, I do not think there are that many whales who go for exchanges!

Keep promoting them and they will grow, just like OP says, Betfair took a long time to become popular and that is with fiat which almost everyone could use.

I don't know what liquidity is like there, but the website is a nightmare to look at, let alone use. They have some very odd features and a lot of tech issues historically around bet matching errors. But they seem to be honest and doing their best, and that is to their credit.

I am not looking to 'promote' any product.. If the product is good and provides me with value opportunities, I will be a user.
I am amazed the BTC space doesn't yet have a dedicated betting exchange that is built to professional standards.

I know you are not looking to promote anything, do not worry,,, I did not think that. And I agree that Fairlay website does not really look very friendly, it took me quite a while to understand how to use it, and the fee structure is very confusing if you do not read it properly.

Bet matching errors are common with new platforms just like as Betfair used to face, so that is only natural.

Bitcoin is still tough to understand for technical people, so they are surely doing their best but we just have to be patient. I mean look at even normal exchanges they are still so terrible in general even years after Bitcoin being in existence!

Very true - still staggers me how bad the UX of some of the normal exchanges are given hundreds of millions of $$$ is traded through them each day!
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 18/02/2019, 11:24:19 UTC
You can use a betting agent with Bitcoin such as AsianConnect88, BetInAsia and others - and deposit your Bitcoin with them and withdraw via Bitcoin with them as well.

They can open for you an account with Orbit Exchange or 9Wickets which are BetFair clones!

This way you would participate, indirectly, in the real BetFair website - and would pay even smaller commissions (3% instead of 5% on the winnings).


Couple of questions:

(1) My understanding was betting agents are only really for high rollers. Is that not the case anymore?

(2) Do Orbit / 9Wickets allow BTC deposits?

1) no they aren't for high rollers , been using them for over a year a now and did many small deposits and withdrawals ( I'm using Asianconnect88 )

2) thing is that you aren't directly depositing to orbit or 9wickets , you create an account with asianconnect then you ask their support to open an account for you in orbit
they will create your account and send you your login details

after that you deposit bitcoin to asianconnect and transfer it to orbit , so both of your deposits and withdrawals are through the broker ( which is Asianconnect in my case )

they are really great and I'm using them a lot for horse racing

This is really interesting - always thought I needed to be betting large amounts to go through a broker.
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: UEFA Europa League 2018-2019
by
meliquiades
on 15/02/2019, 11:31:09 UTC
Amazed after last night's matches that Chelsea and Arsenal are favourties and third favourites respectively to win the whole thing.

Would expect both to lose to the first decent team they face (in Arsenal's case, the first half-decent team as we saw last night...)
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 15/02/2019, 11:26:11 UTC
You can use a betting agent with Bitcoin such as AsianConnect88, BetInAsia and others - and deposit your Bitcoin with them and withdraw via Bitcoin with them as well.

They can open for you an account with Orbit Exchange or 9Wickets which are BetFair clones!

This way you would participate, indirectly, in the real BetFair website - and would pay even smaller commissions (3% instead of 5% on the winnings).


Couple of questions:

(1) My understanding was betting agents are only really for high rollers. Is that not the case anymore?

(2) Do Orbit / 9Wickets allow BTC deposits?
Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Is there a "betfair" for bitcoin up and running yet?
by
meliquiades
on 14/02/2019, 23:39:00 UTC
Betfair user for as long as I can remember (since early 2000s).

I haven't used the two Bitcoin sports betting exchanges mentioned here, but neither really look anywhere close to the experience.

It took awhile for Bitcoin sportsbooks to get close to the likes of bet365 (IMO they are still a little behind, but closing the gap fast). I fear it may still be awhile until we see a Bitcoin sports betting exchange that can compete.

Would be happy to be proved wrong...
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Criteria of a good gambler
by
meliquiades
on 13/02/2019, 13:29:08 UTC
Another point relevant here: don't play games where the odds are statistically weighted against you.

However much you think you have a winning strategy at roulette, you haven't.

Stick to games where it is possible to gain an edge. Poker is a good one. Sports betting too - although generally you'll have a better chance trading on exchanges than betting against a bookie with high margins.
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Criteria of a good gambler
by
meliquiades
on 12/02/2019, 14:51:23 UTC
The people who have lot of money can be a good gambler because they won't get much life problem even if they lose money in gambling so when you want to gamble make yourself rich.

Tell that to the many multi-millionaire ex-professional sportsmen who have lost their fortunes gambling...
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Criteria of a good gambler
by
meliquiades
on 12/02/2019, 14:25:42 UTC
A good gambler has no interest in gambling. They either see a spot where they have a edge and exploit it, or they pass on the opportunity.

Of course this doesn't mean they will always win, but then anyone who is overly results-orientated is not going to succeed in the long run anyway...
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Are gambling altcoins undervalued?
by
meliquiades
on 12/02/2019, 14:12:35 UTC
decent read. i am still getting to grips with all things blockchain, bit i think i agree with may of the responses already - BTC and maybe ETH have become like real money, and people only want to gamble with real money. So any other "altcoin" blockchain projects have two options:

1. allow betting with BTC or ETH
pro: this is what people want (real money betting)
con: what is the altcoin token for then? what 'job' does it do and why would it appreciate in value?

2. allow betting with your altcoin
pro: ?
con: why bet with what is really just play money?

i don't really know much about funfair or edgeless, so can't comment on them directly, but the above is my general take.

Broadly agree with this. Ultimately there has to be a compelling reason for someone to choose to gamble with a dedicated altcoin, and so far no-one has provided it.
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Are gambling altcoins undervalued?
by
meliquiades
on 07/02/2019, 16:28:02 UTC
Came across an interesting article looking at gambling altcoins and their value versus the rest of the crypto market and other gambling companies.

The conclusion was that gambling alts (like FunFair, Edgeless, etc.) are undervalued given that gambling is a key use case for cryptocurrencies.

Of course, FunFair at one point had a $900m+ marketcap (now just $21m).

Do you think these coins will bounceback? Will new ones emerge? Or do you think most people betting with crypto will stick with Bitcoin?

Here's the article: https://www.cryptogamblingnews.com/crypto-gambling-undervalued/



You also need to understand that Bitcoin and Ethereum are a reference for the rest of the market. When the market of those two is down since people tend to generalize they think that the Cryptocurrency market is down and for that reason the whole market goes down.

It's all down to personal preference but you will see that when the price goes up again the investment in altcoins will increase also.

IMO this is a reflection of the immaturity of the market and the lack of genuine use cases that are being adopted by a sizeable audience.

When/if that changes, alts that have high demand and circulation because they are linked directly to a world-class product or service should be able to stand alone.
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Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: Are gambling altcoins undervalued?
by
meliquiades
on 07/02/2019, 16:13:20 UTC
The reason its undervalue is because there are no other place to spend other than specific gambling site, and with a lot of coins with the same purpose then the alt coin will slowly losing its transaction volume due to the diversify, when the gambler see the coin that they won keep on decreasing they will find other coin to used, its better just to used bitcoin for now because it can be used in alot of place and the price is more stable than other crypto

Not sure I agree there. Of course bitcoin has more uses, but at gambling coins have a use, which is more than can be said for a big chunk of crypto projects.