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Showing 20 of 1,544 results by mmortal03
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 07/06/2023, 19:44:30 UTC
Just noticed www.moonmath.win is up again. (The model hasn't been updated, though.)
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 09/11/2022, 00:08:31 UTC
Bump again! MoonMath.win is down! All we got is this: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/

There's actually two slightly differing models here, if not more online by now, not just the blockchain center version of the chart.

1. https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/
2. https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/


I prefer the lookintobitcoin one, but, unfortunately, it only updates at a resolution of one day, so it isn't necessarily showing the lowest price points.
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 24/08/2022, 09:05:07 UTC

Clearly it's not arbitrary when LookIntoBitcoin have modified the logarithmic curve, and haven't referenced the fact it's arbitrary or lacks any scientific basis. Probably because it's a mathematical based curve, nothing to do with science. The irony being that a logarithmic curve in itself isn't arbitrary, it's simply how you style it (connect the dots), even if the original remains arbitrary and unchanged.

You didn't get me. The Log curve is an approximation of price history (logarithmic regression). That is the scientific part.  But the rainbow is made by duplicating that curve parallel to itself with certain intervals that are not somehow "scientifically" linked to volatility, ATHs ant Lows.

And it does not look like they have modified the curve either. Here is my view of the trend as for now https://i.ibb.co/q9MmZx3/BTC-Plan-17.png

Like I said, just change the file extension to jpg (the server already has it) and it will show the image:
https://i.ibb.co/q9MmZx3/BTC-Plan-17.jpg
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Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 21/08/2022, 09:24:53 UTC
⭐ Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

P.S. I dunno how do you guys paste pictures here so they are displayed




I think it works if it's a jpg.
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 18/06/2022, 09:54:50 UTC
Bump again! MoonMath.win is down! All we got is this: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 22/05/2022, 19:07:33 UTC
Bump! MoonMath.win is down. People should buy him some pizzas.
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 22/12/2020, 04:20:52 UTC
does anyone here know how to calculate Trololo's equation?

It's on the moonmath site, on the right side above the chart once you click on "trolololo's 2014 Logarithmic Regression Projection": https://www.moonmath.win/
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 16/06/2020, 19:24:15 UTC
Looks like the charts on https://www.moonmath.win/ have disappeared?
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Topic
Board Economics
Re: Stephen Reed's Million Dollar Logistic Model
by
mmortal03
on 03/01/2020, 05:49:02 UTC
You might like this chart, instead: https://www.moonmath.win/
LOL yes I already know this tool. It shows how most of permabullshit models are currently failing.

It must be getting close to the time to buy the dip. Smiley
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Topic
Board Economics
Re: Stephen Reed's Million Dollar Logistic Model
by
mmortal03
on 28/12/2019, 06:46:33 UTC

Very interesting model, thank you very much for your work man.
Do you know/think John McAfee used your model to make his predictions?

You might like this chart, instead: https://www.moonmath.win/
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Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 30/09/2019, 14:58:54 UTC
So... what's the current status of this rainbow? Grin

lol, it's chillin' over here: https://www.moonmath.win/
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Re: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer
by
mmortal03
on 25/06/2019, 15:18:22 UTC
I just saw this: "GRAYSCALE BITCOIN TRUST TRADING AT 40% PREMIUM; ‘BIG MONEY COMING IN’"
https://bitcoinist.com/grayscale-bitcoin-price-premium-sparks-another-big-move/
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Topic
Board Announcements (Altcoins)
Re: [ANN][XCP] Counterparty - Pioneering Peer-to-Peer Finance - Official Thread
by
mmortal03
on 30/12/2018, 13:23:41 UTC
Counterparty 9.56.0 released! Adds support for segwit, a bitcoin version bump, and many other improvements.
All users running servers are encouraged to upgrade ASAP (hardfork ~January 7th)
https://twitter.com/CounterpartyXCP/status/1078798546931994625

I'll have to read more about what SegWit support entails. I also noticed the following:

Quote
Warning
Update should be done with at least a week in advance of the hard fork (activation of Segwit is around Jan 7th 2019) as indexd-server takes 2-4 days to sync initially and build all the indexing data (some community members will be providing torrents for downloading the initial synced database to speed up this process).
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Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value
by
mmortal03
on 16/12/2018, 19:41:39 UTC
⭐ Merited by ssmc2 (1)
Looks like the moonmath site has been revamped and added Trolololo's projection: https://www.moonmath.win/

Here's a screengrab:


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Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis
by
mmortal03
on 09/12/2018, 18:53:01 UTC
Conclusion : Be a lot more patient, and look at a longer time horizon !

And always buy the dip! Tongue
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Board Service Announcements
Re: BitcoinWisdom.com - Live Bitcoin/LiteCoin Charts
by
mmortal03
on 09/12/2018, 18:52:12 UTC
Yep, .io has removed the stale exchanges at the top, for example.
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Topic
Board Speculation
Re: GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer
by
mmortal03
on 06/12/2018, 16:05:54 UTC
"203,000 BTC: Grayscale Investments Now Holds Over 1% of Bitcoin's Circulating Supply":
https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2018/12/btc-grayscale-investments-now-holds-over-bitcoin-circulating-supply/
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Board Speculation
Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis
by
mmortal03
on 05/12/2018, 08:45:36 UTC
It is hard to believe but we could be heading over 90% undervaluation soon.

Only if you bought solely at the very top. You can always dollar cost average in.
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Merits 1 from 1 user
Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis
by
mmortal03
on 01/12/2018, 10:07:07 UTC
⭐ Merited by Iris_Colt (1)

Excellent work! Finally something real-time with the dates labeled.