That is indeed the thread I was thinking about, thanks!

Wonder where the rest went...

Just curious given it's probably worth a few million USD more than when the bulk of it was donated, and since the promised new forum software seems to have finally arrived. I seem to remember a thread which detailed who held the BTC (maybe there was multisig involved? or just theymos?), but I can't find it now.

I don't need a big discussion, just a link is sufficient.

Gonna stop you right there and cross my fingers. Nowhere did doog say "I'm quitting the business forever and shutting down the site." It's just a hiatus.

Bitmessage is more of an email replacement than an IM one.

I Google'd "nakowa" to see if it was an Australian name (sounds japanese to me, but you never know) so that I could make a terrible joke.

Instead I found it has made Urban Dictionary as multiple nouns, all based on the just-dice player.

Oh, you're right. Normal martingale is only a straight line if you ignore the losses

That's an interesting variation on the martingale, too. It busts much quicker, but it's also a faster earner. Maybe something to try with tiny amounts.

First, I love how martingale charts look. A perfect martingale will be a straight line with periodic drops of varying magnitude, where deeper drops are exponentially more rare.

Second, is there any way to calculate the probability of a bust on a martingale procession while taking into account the ever-increasing bankroll it provides?

Out of curiosity, I noticed that all of those have separate adjustment constants. Are you making those up manually or doing some kind of programmatic fitting?

Not sarcastic. I doubt, for example, that Tradefortress kept all his coins in Input.io's wallet, and that too was supposedly a hot+cold wallet system.

Good to know you have that much confidence in your own system

Nice

I've always been impressed by this post from adam:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=85687.msg1026305#msg1026305


Nobody took it seriously, but reality was pretty close to that. Back in those days, $100 was like the moon. $1 price fluctuations were huge buy or sell signals and the talk of the wall observer thread. Granted, $1 change over $5 is a 20% increase.

Some tradeoffs have to happen. If we send a fixed amount of data on fixed intervals, we can completely preserve anonymity provided the message data stays under that bandwidth limit. Unfortunately, mobile data caps suck, and would make that limit rather small.

Huh? Did I miss something? The max profit is 176.82 BTC, so you should be able to bet nearly 90 BTC on 50% chance.

Here's the problem I see:

- Almost nobody runs an email server on their mobile device or even tablet. They connect to an email server.
- Unfortunately, a third party server would have to either compromise anonymity, or serve every message to the phone (not feasible due to mobile network limits).
- Running your own server requires a server (not free, in contrast to most people's email), or having a home computer reliably on for a good portion of time at least every two days--more if you want to have email-like speed.
- Even if the home computer or server was being run, it's nontrivial to securely connect to it (required if the server isn't serving every message on the network to the client).

It's in ~/.config, where it's supposed to be.


Bitmessage provides a daemon mode, so it would just take someone with the time and motivation to write the plugins. Bitmessage isn't exactly instant though, I'm not sure how well it would work with clients focused around a primarily XMPP based ecosystem.

And in fact, you're probably slightly slowing the generation process down.

It does get you into the donator forum

There's been plenty of discussion on this, and consensus was reached long ago that there will be no change in the BTC-denominated donator prices.

If you want to fund an audit, we'll find out.


There have been a number of concerns over scalability and security which have only been partially addressed. I can't speak too much about them because I've been rather distant from the project for a while, but AFAIK the scaling is still an unsolved issue, practically in the brainstorming stage. There are also a number of unfortunate misconceptions which have been propagated around the interwebs. Whenever Aetheros pops up with a well-reasoned response, he gets crickets. These include:

- But proof of work isn't a viable spam solution!
Email has no spam solution either, and yet it's done well for two decades. Spam in email is handled clientside, and this does not change with Bitmessage. Thunderbird (and other client) integration makes this simple. Proof-of-work is merely used to prevent flooding of the network.

- But wasn't it de-anonymized?!
No, some guy harvested addresses (which are public, because the existence of a particular address leaks no information), then sent out some spam. Users then copied and pasted an unclickable (by GUI design) link to an unknown website from an unknown sender into an unsecured web-browser, and were surprised when their IP address was then correlated with their intentionally disposable Bitmessage address which had no associated metadata. This still baffles me.

- But what about that one post on the Bitmessage forums with criticism?
Yes, we read the post. And then we discussed it. If you believe it contained an as-yet-unaddressed critical flaw, please let me know.

Key word: 2012